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closetojumping

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by closetojumping

  1. In reality, most schools, including ATM and Miami, checked into the Cook situation as he left Texas. Almost all of them passed on the guy due to his serious underlying issues and his attitude accordingly. When ATM passes on someone they can starfuck, it should tell you that there is some serious shit going down with that player. Fisch/UW and a couple of other programs thought the old girlfriend trope of “I can fix’em”. UW noped the fuck out of this one immediately, though. They still received praise for their portal class and got to mock Texas in social media for being the idiots who let Cook walk, so I guess they still get a win somehow here?
  2. I wish positions and class designations and the team mascots were all proper nouns. I may just start always capitalizing them because fuck all of the rules these days, I guess. Plus, I know it will irritate you, Huck and various other proud pedants participating on this board. We don’t know enough about Michigan yet in order to truly determine if they’re always looming like a gargoyle over any recruitment they want. That is actually the case with Oregon. Ohio State is a peer at the head of the class. Being in the top 1% makes us a BSD, but not the only one, IMO. I think most of the recruiting regulars agree and understand. We cannot do anything to prevent ignorant hubris from infecting clowns on the football board and the random morons on this board that most of us have on ignore.
  3. Oh, you give a shit. And here’s the kicker, I wasn’t criticizing Taaffe in any big way a year ago. I just know that you are full of shit.
  4. This is a non-response coupled with an ad hominem attack. You still have time to say “I got out over my skis and talked shit when I had no basis to do so, my bad. “ but you’re trending towards just being someone who needs to be condescending but has no history to support the rest of us being willing to let you pull that bullshit.
  5. Tell us why? I don’t remember you telling the rest of us how amazing he was last year or the years before it. Probably because he wasn’t. He knew where to be and didn’t get there. Now he’s caught up physically and we all love it. But I checked your posting history and I can’t find any predictions or defenses in favor of Taaffe in your posting history. So tell us why people rightly judging Taaffe on performance then and now is funny. I have an easily searched posting history here. Feel free to be less passive aggressive and put into sharp relief for the board those moments where I ever dismissed Oregon or Ohio State as threats to anyone’s roster due to NIL, including Texas. Michigan’s backing from Ellison is new, the other two aren’t. So “now”? No. Always has been the case.
  6. I’ve never used drugs so I’m not sure what does what, but wouldn’t meth also be possible?
  7. I don't agree. The hit rate for 5 stars is higher than 4 or 3 stars and they don't cost what an AA or CFP starter will cost as they contribute early. Sometimes they're not going to work out, but often they do. There's arbitrage available for teams with money in two ways. Overpaying for 5 star HS guys because they're still "cheap" by comparison to major CFB starters and, separately, having a rich, old billionaire who wants to win a title before he dies and just letting him spend so much money that it causes everyone else to throw in the towel for major CFB starters. Texas has taken advantage of the first scenario and has been beaten up like everyone else in the second.
  8. Two media guys in the state of Kentucky just making shit up to make Louisville look better or some shit. Texas isn't pushing anything like that out there for mediocrity from the portal.
  9. It's not nothing, though. That's two 5 star recruits who were starters on an outstanding defense. Sucks to lose them, if indeed they both go. I expect there to be more pain than just MM (and perhaps DW), personally.
  10. Are his hands elite? I don't recall any/many drops. I feel like that's something that isn't valued in the draft though.
  11. He's also a transfer risk. He thought he would be playing early and often. Anyone worried about safety is likely justified in being so.
  12. More concise response that I was writing but deleted. Everyone regularly on this board should know this and understand it is part of how those involved with NIL and roster management (Sarkisian, Harris, scouts, major donors, etc.) have to think about things.
  13. Derek Williams is buddies with Cook and Muhammad. He's scheduled to make less this next cycle than he did as a freshman.
  14. Unless a program and collective is run by a band of imbeciles, the money is distributed over the course of a 9 or 12 month period. One season rentals can gets as low as 4 months. Nothing is beyond a year, usually.
  15. I've played the role of Darth Vader/JR Ewing in some folks' mind over the year in various circumstances. The peace I've always made with it comes in two parts: 1) rationalizing how I am in the right and they're the clowns and then 2) fuck'em if they can't take a joke. It's worked out well and I see that as the right approach for us as a fanbase with how the collegiate landscape views and discusses Texas. Just fucking run amok and do what we want because we're going to hear all of the whining anyway. Regarding Niblack, they're fighting to keep him, for whatever that is worth. What has occurred that has spurred you to believe he was way off base? One guy leaving for outsized pay versus performance? Who has left that you wanted to keep besides Muhammad? Do you think Texas is finished adding players, also? ************** One thing yet to be discussed, btw, is what happens with the allocation tied to MM. I'm guessing that gets put to good use.
  16. It's Robert Killebrew for me. He immediately comes to mind as someone who frequently infuriated me with his asinine penalties and terrible mechanics. The thing about recruiting is that there's a lot more history supporting how programs perceive value. A 5 star can command $1M because of what they can do if they're playing the right position. Dakorian Moore picked up $1.3M from Oregon. That's the most I've heard of outside of QB, but that's also Oregon. Generally, though, by position a 5 star will go from $100k to $1M. Falloff is gradual but accelerates downward to $0 for many recruits. There are so many risks in terms of the HS recruit profile. Can they handle pussy in college? Learning and not playing much early? Getting hit or hitting others of the same talent level and size? Can they sort a playbook? Handle 100,000 people and that noise in a stadium? Classwork? Etc. So many of those perceived risks are canceled by college production. Yet, there's almost no history of paying for CFB production. What is a multiyear starting CB for a repeating CFP team worth to someone? Apparently $2M, allegedly. How about a proven Edge like the guy at SCar? $1.5M per year. Betting Simmons is now going to be in that range, probably a little higher. The list goes on, but that shit is going to continue to change and develop in each cycle. There's no proven equilibrium yet. If someone's team is one All American WR from a title, how much is that guy worth? Probably a lot more than $1.3M.
  17. It's kind of comical that the SEC decided to block in-conference transfers in the second window period later this spring. This isn't 2015 any more. The teams spending the ridiculous amounts on players are no longer located anywhere within that conference except for the state of Texas. The giant schools within the Big 10 are the actual threat now, dummies. It's also interesting that the volume of money allocated in acquisition has gone in a lopsided manner towards the portal versus high school for many schools. 5 stars will still paid, but the real money is set up for producers at the CFB level. That will probably accelerate. We all speculated on this premise and now it is coming to fruition.
  18. My view is that those guys are a lost cause. Hildebrandt came up with 20 reasons why he wouldn't participate and it was obvious from the beginning that guys putting in effort with him, God bless them, were working a dry well. I don't think Dell's ever even returned a call or taken a meeting. Could be wrong, but I don't think he's done anything whatsoever. It's often been discussed that, one day in the future, Texas will be decimated by tampering in the portal because not enough of the big money has offered to help and the big money that has is fully fatigued. The theory goes that once that happens, a number of non-participants will call in and try to bitch about this stuff, because that's what a lot of the old guys with money do when it comes to things they cannot put their name on at Texas. When those calls come in, someone is going to be able to better illustrate at that point that this day of reckoning happened because of their insouciance. Good luck with it if today is that day. I'm dubious about the viability of that theory, in any event. The price of poker continues to go up. If you're a top program, and Texas clearly is, then the war for roster acquisition and retention isn't solely with the other titans. The war exists on that front, no doubt. However, there's a second front to this thing and it's going against the Lilliputians. Any school can go crazy for one player of need, whether Colorado State, Michigan State, UCLA, Kentucky, whatever. If your program produces an inordinate amount of well-developed talent, your program is targeted more often. That means ponying up crazier and crazier totals. Texas had the biggest payroll in the sport this past cycle, along with Ohio State. Forget whatever else you read if it is counter to that. These are facts. Ohio State goes now to $30M from $25M and they have less they're trying to retain. In order for Texas to fully counter that in the arms race, it needs more than $30M in this cycle. Fuck me and fuck you in terms of expecting that to happen without serious pain and anguish from numerous corners of the ecosystem.
  19. I guess I'm not sure I understand what needs "rethinking" in this landscape. Texas is a have, not a have-not, but it isn't the only one and a few are bigger. If Oregon or Michigan or Ohio State wants to turn everyone else, including Texas, into a developmental school, then there's no recourse on our end. Dell, Hildebrandt and others with 11 figures are not participating with Texas. Guys like them or with even more money than them are playing roles for other groups. We cannot crowdsource our way out of that problem. He sucked in the playoffs, and that directly follows the beginning of shit talking in social media. He's been paid really, really well. If someone wants to pay something absurd for him, and he's checked out, so be it. The guy has made close to $2M since stepping on campus two years ago. We can and will get angry at whoever is buying him, but I also don't begrudge anyone who has a problem with the player here also.
  20. Muhammad has been talking shit about leaving and "not shorting himself again" for more than a month. I'm assuming he's gone. I assume others include Wingo and Hill with the way everyone is acting.
  21. Texas just signed the #1 class in the country. NIL and those aiding it aren't an issue. There's not really anything that can be done if a billionaire comes in over the top for someone or if an aggressive collective offers a ridiculous pile of cash to someone. An entire roster has to be managed.
  22. Sounds like everyone needs to prepare their anus and some things are about to get ugly.
  23. I think I wrote this elsewhere, but with unlimited coaching roles available for hire, Sarkisian could easily create an "Offensive Red Zone Coordinator" position and hire someone with a proven background as a playcaller/designer in the red zone and short yardage situations. That person would collaborate with Sarkisian and have those circumstances as their main focus. The red zone and short yardage situations have been a problem from day one for Sarkisian. He's fucking inept with those concepts. If he doesn't put in the work to fix it, which is not just film study but actually needed outside thinking and influence, then Texas will never win the whole thing with him at the helm. He doesn't just need to polish up. He's incompetent and needs someone else managing the work in this regard.
  24. Gerry's posted an in-state top targets by position for the 2026 and an OOS version as well. I've spoilered the OOS version in this post and will do the same in the next post for in-state. For the multiple posters with the attention span of a gnat and the reading comprehension skills of a dead marmot, these are lists of the very best target, in Gerry's view, for each position. Accordingly, these lists inherently exclude other players at each position that will also be targeted. Also, I like the formatting and I don't give a shit about people using dark mode or apps to read this and you're welcome. In-state tops:
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