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BehoId, The Underminer!

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Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!

  1. Nate Cohn with an interesting article about turnout actually mattering this time. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/30/upshot/election-turnout-trump-harris-polls.html?unlocked_article_code=1.WE4.fMCX.byzvATpBdX5U&smid=url-share
  2. The memo they put together on the last coup depended a lot on holding those levers already. There was the part about "just declare it fraud, don't ask permission, make the D's complain and bring it to the courts, where they've already said its non justiciable." That requires you to be the one "declaring." D's in power make that harder. Of course, they are brainstorming that stuff all the time, but my bet is it is much much harder when you don't hold any of the key offices.
  3. Yeah, locking down Puerto Rico's imaginary electoral votes is a step below huge.
  4. wait. are you saying he had a pager in his pocket?
  5. The Puerto Rico thing is double nice because it both offends huge swaths of voters and causes Trump to back down, which offends the rest of his voters.
  6. dude's going to be in cuffs by sunset
  7. it would also be treating one poll out of 10,000 as the god poll
  8. If a 10 point shift from 2020 is detectable in KS, don't be surprised at wildly different results in 2024 from 2020 at a bunch of places.
  9. so many scandals ago i had to google it
  10. yeah, it was clear when he said something about "Puerto Ricans coming to our country" in the joke, too.
  11. ah man. i was hoping for a totally different ending.
  12. Js pointed this out yesterday, but 2022 showed late polls going right. Maybe this is the same thing. Fetterman won this by 5%.
  13. oh. that's . . . . very different than what i saw
  14. Ton of great info here on 2020. Here is Georgia 2020 https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/GA.html In-Person Early Votes by Gender Gender Count Percent Female 1,469,516 54.5 Male 1,164,784 43.2 Unknown 60,463 2.2 TOTAL 2,694,763 100.0
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