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BehoId, The Underminer!

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Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!

  1. Never mind. Never Read the Replies, but I did read the replies and they convinced me Nate’s theory doesn’t stand to too much scrutiny. One, predictit has similar numbers but whales don’t exist because of $850 price cap and two the markets basically mirror the same perceived jump in PA for Trump, which isn’t really a statement on overall popular vote.
  2. Nate makes good points re:Polymarket.
  3. my prediction for NC is that more ballots are affected than the difference in votes there. it might be close to that in FL too. bigger spread expected, but closer to vote time.
  4. Article on the Muslim drops in Michigan. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/07/us/politics/michigan-harris-arab-muslim-jewish-voters.html?unlocked_article_code=1.QU4.DqXi.apqZEVrDSSMR&smid=url-share I bet Kamala is going to air a lot of stuff about the Muslim bans Trump did. A lot of interviewees in there said they're voting third party. Some go to Trump.
  5. the richest person in the world also is very lucky at name draws.
  6. Either joking is going on on this page or I ❤️ Jim Crow laws is going on on this page.
  7. It’s a continuation of this. The voices you hear are likely to be educated. You can see more every day what those people think of the right.
  8. 1) Stipe is a boomer is the craziest thought. 2) It made me actually google it. Even google's generative AI is in denial about it (because he totally is). AI Overview Learn more…Opens in new tab No, Michael Stipe is not a boomer, as he was born on January 4, 1960, making him a member of Generation X. Stipe is the lyricist and frontman of the band R.E.M. He has been described as a rock legend who helped define American independent culture. His songwriting style is elliptical, and his lyrics are poetic and range from manic melancholy to post-apocalyptic hope. Stipe has also been involved in other creative projects, including: Producing an album by Athens singer-songwriter Vic Chesnutt Sponsoring a Deep South night at the New Music Seminar to showcase young Dixie underground bands Co-founding the nonprofit film company C-00, which produces public-service announcements and films
  9. william the conqueror henry harrison, imo
  10. The entire history of the U.S. in four presidents. WHHarrison: 1773-1841 Grover Cleveland 1837-1908 LBJ: 1908-1973. Any of the living presidents. Carter: 1924-present, Obama, Clinton, Biden, GWB. or wood.
  11. It would skew old, so that points R, but recall that early Covid impacts were almost all urban.
  12. Interesting article about female Gen Xers having outsized support of Trump. https://wapo.st/3ZGWAI0 Premise is shaky, but it is this: (Author acknowledges premise is shaky later in the article. Maybe that poll cited is just wrong). She goes and contacts some of the people polled who said they're open to discussing. Reasons include the retarded: Not really any conclusion drawn except that this is a generation of scared people.
  13. the finger wag is a classic
  14. yeah, shifts i bet aren't huge. but i do bet that there is real affect on actually getting to the polls. people are going to be living hand to mouth for a while there and won't have the ability to worry about esoteric things like voting.
  15. Here's the map of flooding here's the map of voting. obviously, western NC is blue Asheville and red elsewhere.
  16. It's the October Minus Two surprise.
  17. My impossible-to-verify prediction: the North Carolina destruction changes more voting behavior (either preventing people from reaching polls, spurring people to get to polls, or changing minds) than the winner's margin in that state.
  18. Yes, very few Americans realize that.
  19. With NE2, Harris just has to win the right half of this chart. Spend as much in PA as humanly possible.
  20. you're leaning on the exactness of polls where even the biggest poll believer would acknowledge very ordinary error exceeds the margins.
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