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BehoId, The Underminer!

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Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!

  1. I would also recommend never visiting.
  2. yes, it’s child slavery. But is it really a scandal?
  3. You of all people know the answer is yes.
  4. reduced enthusiasm is always good. the flip side is i've always thought the white trash branding that Rs do these days has to be a net negative. maybe they're wising up to that too.
  5. Basic decency is lacking more than basic intelligence. People were a lot less educated 100 years ago but figured out how to elect Lincoln
  6. then implement my plan for an aleutian beach condo!
  7. I don't really understand the question, but I think Nate was saying that by registration, in 2020 it was R+3 or something and now it is R+6.1. That is, for every 1000 D registrations, there was 1030 Rs in 2020 and now 1061 Rs.
  8. Nate Cohn tweeted this morning that AZ by voter registration is 3.1 points more red than in 2020. Hard to be confident that could be overcome.
  9. Word. T Roosevelt should never look like a dweeb.
  10. That’s one of my all time favorite clips.
  11. There are post 2024 reasons as well. You let a state go and it'll keep going.
  12. A daily conversation: "I'm thinking we should migrate." "But to where, sweetie?" "To a country we hate." "Not the US then. They have rules against that."
  13. Sounds like he understands it pretty well.
  14. I just looked at AZ 2020 and they have a crazy right wing county up near Las Vegas that completely undoes-and-then-some the Maricopa county D advantage. So it ends up being Tucson/Pima versus the rest of the state.
  15. Straying quickly into jlaw.okay.gif-land
  16. Someone posted this the other day for NC which I thought was insightful. You can get a lot of insight from how an individual state will do if you know the overall national baseline to start from.
  17. edit: (i mean: " happened to align with the results of ONE group (biden votes).)
  18. seems to me there are two possible explanations. if something says, say biden 51 trump 44, and the final result is biden 51 trump 49, then either (1) js's theory that they nailed biden number but missed on all late deciders, or (2) they missed really bad. a 7 point lead ended up a 2 point win. it was happenstance that the bad miss on three groups (biden, trump, undecided) happened to align with the results of two groups (biden trump votes). seems to me that 2 is more likely. i just did the thatsbait.gif because he and i have discussed polls in opposite directions multiple times, and that was going to get me discussing it again.
  19. if you don't think there are fact/statistics to back up the polls missing in 2020, i've got very bad news for you.
  20. also, lulz at the 'you must really love trump' sign-off.
  21. i only respond to correct the record when obvious cheerleading pumps out disingenuous stuff. if that happens to always be your posts, well then ...
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