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statsman

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Everything posted by statsman

  1. I don’t fit here. I’m not on the extreme progressive 20% left. Surly CR and DT is like the great film critic Pauline Kael. After Nixon won in an overwhelming landslide over George McGovern in 1972, she wrote- “I don’t know how Nixon won. I don’t know anyone who supported him”.
  2. Oh, Bolverk, you always have it all figured out! Question- you call the Gaza war a “genocide”. When I think of genocide, I think of the Holocaust, the Armenians, the Tutsis. If, the Nazis, the Turks or the Hutus had ever offered, in the middle of their genocide, an offer to stop and turn the entire authority to a neutral international body, favorable to the natives, even allowing them to stay where they were but under new authority, the respective Jews, Armenians and Tutsis would have immediately agreed. Hamas hasn’t agreed. Its Allie’s in the west support it in not agreeing. I can only assume they believe they can get a better deal if they wait. Is it possible that this isn’t a genocide, but a war, and it is only called a genocide so as to remove any moral authority from the Israelis? One more question- you obviously care about people, just people, of all ethnicities. The Sudan Civil War, which began the spring before the Gaza War- it has hundreds of thousands dead, with maybe half a million dead to forced starvation- who is on the right? What is the right role for the U.S.? I have been trying to learn of it, but it is tough; there isn’t a lot of coverage.
  3. I read it. It sounds like Mr. Guevara has a good case.
  4. I have a few questions- you say Mr. Guevara entered legally in 2004, and applied for asylum in 2005? How did he enter in 2004- student visa, tourist visa, or just (as was common once) walk across to a border town for a visit, just showing an ID? His asylum request- is he legit at risk if he returned to El Salvador (hasn’t El Salvador’s governance changed a few times?)? Or, is that just a way to apply for legal residency after overstaying a visa? Is it correct to assume that at no point in the intervening 20 years that Mr. Guevara never visited El Salvador, because, you know, he was at risk? I notice that from 2005-2025, Dem administrations were in charge, and presumably not hostile to immigrants, especially asylum seekers and refugees. I’m curious as to why he was not able to gain legal status. A little googling shows that an asylum seeker may be employed, but must get a renewable permit to work. These permits must be renewed every 150 days. Honest question- is Mr. Guevara diligent about legal filings and the system is just that difficult, or was he lax about some elements, figuring it didn’t matter?
  5. Is that your idea of a sick burn? We’re down because our team, Texas’ flagship, lost to Florida’s flagship. Meanwhile, TT beat UH in the battle of the SWC’s last two joiners. Next Saturday, I’ll be in the Cotton Bowl, cheering on the Horns in the annual blood match with Oklahoma. The nation will be watching. I looked it up on Wikipedia. Next Saturday, TT hosts Kansas. Do you care enough to go?
  6. I’m not taunting because I want TT to stop aspiring. I’m taunting because it’s fun to watch you try and fail.
  7. No, I’ve been roasting TT for being a program that has never done anything. But, you’ve got me- you beat Utah and UH, two programs that have accomplished a fuck lot more than Tech ever has.
  8. Look, boys, we have a badass here! This Texas Tech fan is going to explain football for us!
  9. I’m pretty sure that this is just another example of the decades long global conspiracy to hold TY down and keep them from their rightful success.
  10. This is clearly a well thought out post. Since you have researched so much, I have a couple of questions. 1. You say Israel is “hellbent on wiping out every single person in Gaza”. Over the past two years, the Gaza Health Ministry has reported over 65k deaths from the war. It doesn’t distinguish between combatants and non-combatants. It is up to you to guess why; there are a number of possibilities and they range from charitable to Hamas (no man is an island and the loss of any one of us diminishes us all) to damning to Hamas (their most extreme rhetoric says that every Gazan is to be a Jihadi or a martyr). Naftali Bennett (the out of power party’s leader) discussed this a while back- he said the IDF stats show (when the deaths were at 63k) 10k natural deaths (would have died without the war), 20k combatants and 33k noncombatants. So, my question- you compared this to the Holocaust, saying it is equivalent. Clearly, that is hyperbole, right? Follow up question- there are a lot of definitions of genocide, ranging from the charnel house death camps of Nazi Germany to ethnic cleansing. Do you think one of the definitions of genocide applies here? And if so, which one? Final question, Upper Westside- clearly you have studied this in detail. Yes or no, is Hamas trying to minimize loss of Gazan civilian life? For example- the IDF has an app (most Gazans have smart phones) to let Gazan neighborhoods know when they are coming in, so civilians can leave. Is Hamas facilitating humanitarian corridors, so people can evade the IDF strikes?
  11. According to Sagarin, Florida would be a 1.5 point favorite over Tech on a neutral field.
  12. This year will be an interesting test. TT has an incredible history. Since joining the SWC, they have had two seasons of less than four wins (1979 and 1981). They have had two aeasons of more than ten wins (1976 and 2008). They have never won a conference title or even appeared in a CG. They are like a small town west Texas office building- the basement and penthouse are two stories apart. They remind me of what detailed said about Brazil- “it’s the country of tomorrow and it always will be”. Can TT parlay an overwhelming financial advantage in an era where that overcomes all drawbacks into a dominant season? I have my popcorn out, waiting to see how they screw it up.
  13. Baylor’s overarching goal was to suppress news and details. They had won the conference, made NYE6 bowls, built the new stadium (their first campus stadium) and the last thing they wanted was for the world to k ow that their program’s most successful period was built on a team culture of initiating new players by roofying co-Ed’s and running trains on them while unconscious. Baylor would write any check necessary to buy silence from victims, and even from Briles once it was clear he was done there. I don’t blame any of the victims for taking the payout, because it was also made clear that anyone who wanted their day in court would not get out unscathed. That tactic worked in that it kept the story suppressed, and had the added benefit of allowing Baylor (and Briles) to run their own narrative about it all being overblown.
  14. Yeah, it will look more like the NFL, where no one cares if KC lost five regular season games, or the NBA, where a 53 win team can win the championship (college basketball already made that transition decades ago).
  15. Thanks for bringing this up. It’s very interesting. The B1G schools’ ADs get more media revenue than anyone but ND. It is telling that all but Michigan and tOSU (who are hesitant) are interested. Couple of points: 1. Private Equity sells itself as maximizing revenue in ways that ADs can’t. 2. Every one of those schools has business schools that claim to be able to teach students how PE works. Can they really not figure out how to maximize revenue on their own? I suspect that this is a function of ADs struggling to meet their House Settlement $20M annual nut, while trying to do everything else they are on the hook for. There is an alternative- Michigan, the Buckeyes, and the other schools that have enough revenue for the demands of this new era, can break away into their own Premiere League division.
  16. How awful for you that you have to read my posts! It certainly is quite a burden for you to bear. 😢
  17. Oregon does not have a great history. Oregon has always relied on recruits from elsewhere. Oregon does not have a great mass appeal. Frankly, Washington is better than Oregon on all of those items, much better on a couple. Without Phil Knight’s money and influence, Oregon would be ACC, B12 or PAC. They are freeriding. I am interested in ratings because, in the post-House Settlement era, ADs need revenue. Rating are showing that the SEC and B1G ratings are much larger than the B12 and much of the ACC. I suspect the next media contracts will reflect that.
  18. I was collecting viewer data for another snarky put down of the B12, and I noticed something interesting. Fox’ Big Noon usually has a floor of 4M viewers, when it has decent B1G teams or good B12 teams. Exception: week 3, Oregon at NW, Big Noon had 2N viewers. That’s awful. During realignment, I contended that Oregon was free riding, propped up by Nike’s influence. That program has no intro sic fan base and has to buy recruits from other regions. When they might have the best team in the country, they can’t attract viewers. I really wish they had been consigned to the ACC.
  19. Sounds like you and Fontana have it all figured out.
  20. Actually, no. The Overton Window is the range of acceptable discussion. It changes over time. For example, there was a time in our world’s history where two people discussing the impact of witchcraft on crop yields was in the Overton Window, and the possibility that crop yields could be affected by tiny living organisms, too small to see with the naked eye, was outside it. There has been concerted efforts to control the Overton Window, using social media. For example: attempts by progressives to promote some tenets of Critical Racial Theory, for example- Kendi’s claim that “racial discrimination is required as an antidote for racial discrimination”, and then refusing to debate that claim in the public sphere (to disagree merely proves the opposition as white supremacists). Such a claim is within this message board’s Overton Window, but not that of the public at large. They don’t buy it. There are other examples- the campus protests where this board’s consensus is that the group scrawling swastikas on walls of Jewish meeting places are actually the anti-fascists. Another example- the contention that the 46th president had absolutely no cognitive issues and any claims to the counter were scurrilous slurs and disinformation. That was the official stance of this message board, strictly enforced with negs and mocking of any who said different. Until that day he demonstrated his all too obvious failings to the nation at large. (Note- I am not making any claims of mental soundness or health for 45/47). Cloak Room and Daily Texan are tightly run ships and the realm of acceptable political discussion is tightly enforced. It’s just badly out of step with mainstream America. (I notice CR thread about the assassin of Charlie Kirk still states the assassin to be a right winger) All of which is fine. I just choose not to comply.
  21. Some people feel the Overton Window should form organically, and others think you have to help it.
  22. Texas claims the NCs where the team walks off the field saying, “We just won the NC!” (In 1970, that was the last game of the regular season😄)
  23. Herman used to welcome guys back from the portal. Frankly, it became a thing on the roster-if you wanted the head coach to listen to you, you entered the portal to get his attention. Sark put an end to that. From his first day, his stance was- “when you enter the portal, you have left the team”. (Not to say that guys don’t get a response by threatening to enter; that seems to be a thing)
  24. Yes, a LA based orthopedic did not register on SoonerScoop to give comfort to Sooner fans.
  25. OSU did not win a NC in 1945. They did not. This was your 1945 NC: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1945_Army_Cadets_football_team Army was an all star team (literally, players were snatched from other squads, like freshman AA Bill Yeiman plucked from the Ags). Army had two Heisman winners. They shut out five opponents, two of whom were ranked in the top 10. Army was undefeated 1944-1946. Army received every single #1 vote in the final AP poll. It may be the most dominant team in a season, ever. OSU finished #5, really good for a MVAC team. They may claim a MNC, but no rational person acknowledges it.
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