Royalfan5
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Posts posted by Royalfan5
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I’ll note that after locking limit lower Monday, cattle futures are back above where they closed last week.
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1 hour ago, Biff Tannen said:
They went 74% for the dotard in 2024. Just saying.
I’m just going to note that a large percentage of the laid off workers likely aren’t eligible to vote.
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I’ll note this town is 60% Hispanic population now too, with a significant African refugee community as well.
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13 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:
Because there just aren't enough beeves to process?
Yes and they are losing their asses on the ones they get bought
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Tyson is closing the Lexington NE plant January 1st. Call it 3.5% of daily US capacity. Losing 3k direct jobs in a community of 10K. (A town that had doubled in size since the plant opened in 1990)
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48 minutes ago, UT_OB1 said:
I’ll be damned. The more you know.
So do you butcher the overweight cows by hand somewhere else or something?
A local locker can probably handle them, but not very fast.
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27 minutes ago, UT_OB1 said:
I love reading your updates but don’t understand half of the jargon. Do you literally mean they can’t get some cows inside of…a chute or something? And it’s because they let them grow too big trying to get a higher price?
You will literally bend the the chain and hook line the animal goes down to be disassembled. The animal is gaining everyday under full feed, and guys really started to see dollar signs and went for it. Flip side is the packers paid up to keep going which encouraged them, and then didn't get all the meat moved as we came out of summer demand and now have to move a perishable product into ham and turkey holidays.
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It always warms my heart to see red cattle, as someone who grew up around a lot of red Gelbvieh before the Balancer stuff really took off.
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Hearing a lot of chatter this week that some feeders dug in their heels a little too much on selling and now we got some 1800-1900 pound steers that won't fit a packing line. That being said we might run 600K through this week which will be the biggest week in awhile so will see if the lots can get current, and the packers can move enough beef to get current.
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11 hours ago, F250 said:
Fox Sports SW and TNT Basketball being replaced by Bally's, ESPN and Amazon Prime is the eshittefication of the NBA. Jesus, Amazon's coverage of the NBA is fucking ass.
Amazon legitimately did a great job with their small NASCAR package, but getting beyond that seems to be too much for them
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18 hours ago, Shoxthemonkey said:
Very much like when the county I'm from notably railroaded some people for a murder they didn't commit, then lost the lawsuit, and in the meantime dropped their insurance so the tax payers had to eat the full deal.
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The futures market continues to be nuts, locking limit higher across the board, 2 days after putting in fresh lows for the move, and after a sharp down move in early action. We are almost back to cash so maybe it calms down there.
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On 11/1/2025 at 1:02 PM, Kennythetiger said:
In my little world I think that although steak increases are the most visible, steak eaters are still going to eat steak. They just like to bitch about the price.
My worry with the grocery store shoppers are the quiet ones who are buying chicken instead of $8/pound hamburger.As I tell my wife, pork producers pay me too, and there is a lot of bang for your buck in pork shoulder and such if you know what you are doing
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8 hours ago, crash_davis said:
During the Great Egg Shortage of the 2020s, we reached out to other countries to resolve the Supply issue of the Supply Demand slopes to help drive down cost. I don't remember egg farmers bitching about that move.
Why is it bad to do the same for beef prices?
I'll hang up and listen.
independent egg farmers don’t exist as any sort of factor in the mass egg market. It’s contract or corporate production all the way down. So there’s no one there to bitch.
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5 hours ago, Al_4_ISU said:
I don't believe in any of that kind of stuff, but a weird thing happened to my brother that I've had a hard time explaining.
When I was 5 and he was 3, my dad and uncle bought a farm with a building site, barns, and relatively new (compared to the place we were living) prefab ranch house. We moved into the house shortly thereafter. It had been owned by an old bachelor who had died a couple years prior and it took his nieces and nephews time to sort it all out. So this dude actually died before my brother was born.
Within a few months, my brother started telling my mom that he would talk to the ghost of Otto Bartz (that was the guy's name) at night when he couldn't sleep. My mom asked my brother asked who Otto Bartz was and my brother said "well he used to live here" (a detail my brother would not have been aware of at the time) and then he went on to perfectly describe the guy, right down to the psuedo uniform he was always seen wearing. Again, my brother had never actually seen this man alive and it wasn't like we had his picture hanging up.
My guess is somehow, somewhere, his likeness was pointed out to my brother unbeknownst to my folks but it's always seemed weird to me.
I 100% believe that the bachelor farmer that was my Maternal Grandfather’s best friend haunts his old farmstead. Probably still out wandering around looking for arrowheads by the creek or trying to chase snakes out of the dirt basement
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I watched Nebraska win a football last Saturday if that counts.
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4 hours ago, gsoda3 said:
This might be a dense question but as someone having no knowledge of this industry I feel compelled to ask - are you talking about literal train wrecks or figurative train wreck situations during live births?
Figurative
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19 hours ago, Lerka Lerka said:
Can elaborate on this calving date choice? Curious to know more about yalls experience. @Kennythetiger can you learn me about the pelvic measuring. I assume the flunkies are heifers with smaller pelvic areas which correlates to more frequent birthing issues? How hard is it to accurately measure? Does it take a trained veterinarian or something youve learned to do? I’ll hang up and listen.
As more of a northern plains guys, it reduces the chances on train wrecks in shitty weather. Probably matters less for the southern plains guys.
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18 hours ago, Kennythetiger said:
Two years ago I went from a March 1 calving date to April 15. Absolutely love it, but I have pretty small calves in the fall. I pre-conditioned them this weekend and will wean in three weeks. I usually feed them through the winter and sell the steers in February. Heifers are pelvic-measured and then retained or sold as replacements later in the spring. The flunkees are sold as market calves.
I think as an industry everyone calves 4 to 8 weeks later than they did 10-15 years ago. Don't have guys bitch near as much about health problems as they used to either. Feel like it's connected
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2 hours ago, Colonel Sanders said:
Sorry, I was just being a smartass.
I'm kind of surprised thouhh that pork and chicken haven't gone up in price as people substitute off of beef. Maybe that's coming next.
We are into the seasonal peak of pork production right now. (It's why this is usually McRib time of year) and bird flu isn't rolling for the season yet. Also biology allows you to ramp production so much faster, and we have some slack packing capacity in both.
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3 hours ago, Kennythetiger said:
My rain insurance guy is meeting with me Thursday. I still have my calves. Of course I held onto them after the peak. I will probably listen a little closer to his LRP pitch this time.
Still historically high at least. Next falls calves I would worry about though. Will have to see what they say about reopening the border this week.
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With all the political stuff futures have been a mess with 4 limit lower moves in 7 sessions in feeders includes expanded limit lower today to put us about 10% lower in that time frame. Meanwhile boxed beef is up about 3%
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- Popular Post
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I wanted a spot to note my niece finished 3rd in Wyoming 2A state Cross Country as a freshman.
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Caught another wave of buying to take fats and feeders back to all time highs despite up front softness in live cattle.
U.S. Beef Industry in absolute crisis
in Daily Texan
Posted
The angus pr is hard to overcome