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Horn of Gabriel

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Posts posted by Horn of Gabriel

  1. 6 minutes ago, Captainant said:

    Apparently the students got this email last night (per /r/UTAustin)

    I guess I'm a "pussy" because I agree w/ what Hartzell wrote.  Multiple things can be true: the call was trash, people can express displeasure by booing, and throwing trash onto the field makes Texas look like a bunch of crybaby bitches.  The fact that the refs regrouped and got it right by changing the initial call only reinforces the bitch-ass nature of throwing trash because it creates the perception that it was "worth it," even if one had nothing to do with the other.

    • Hook 'Em 4
  2. It wasn't just Georgia's "SEC speed" matching ours, they were well coached too.  Put yourself in Kirby/Muschamp's shoes:

    • Texas has a QB1 who is not a run threat at all and has pulled the ball on RPOs maybe once this year.
    • Texas has a QB1 who either can't or won't throw deep (e.g. beyond 20 yards).
    • Texas has no between the tackles run game.

    WTF would you do?  I'd have my safeties and LB close the middle of the field intermediate throws, jump immediately on the check downs, use my speed to cover the edge runs, and let me D-line talent cook.  Which is exactly what they did.  The only time we executed on O was when we were bailed out by multiple targeting or facemask 15 yard penalties, or QE tossed up a prayer and Helm got it. 

    Against any defense we outclass skillwise, it works.  And if we could fix one or two of the bullet points above, we'd actually be dangerous to a high-skill defense and they'd need to respect it and couldn't just jump the checkdowns and flats.  But we don't adjust and throw slants I guess b/c we're worried about INTs?  Gotta fix one of those 3 things next time we see a high level D.

    • Hook 'Em 3
    • Like 2
  3. On offense we seemed really shocked that Georgia had the speed to run with us to the edges on those quasi-running sideline passes.  They were all over the checkdowns and their game plan was super solid: 1) Ignore the deep ball because QE can't or won't throw it (I think we tried, what 2 last night?), 2) let the D-line take care of the up-the-middle runs, which we rarely try and that leaves 3) deploy the safeties and LB who don't need to care abut the middle run or deep shot to smother the TE and swing passes, which is basically all that is left since we so rarely try slants.

  4. 16 minutes ago, ChickenNuggets said:

    My biggest issue with a lot of the Texas branded shirts/pullovers is they are made for chubby to fat, middle-aged men... Not svelte, gym-going, middle-aged men... Any recommendations for a pullover that wouldn't double as a wingsuit? 

    Asking for a friend..

    As a chubby to fat middle age man I resent this idea I can't be a gym-goer.  I hit the gym 5x a week.  I just eat a shit ton of drink lots of bourbon too. 🤘

  5. On 10/13/2024 at 9:16 AM, bullet said:

    I hate seeing LHN fiction on the Texas board.  Nobody had a clue the LHN would pay more than $3 million or so a year until November, 4 months after the Pac 16 blew up.  And Fox was the favorite for the LHN.

    ESPN and Fox DID promise the Big 12 they would make a lot more and agreed to negotiate early.  Fox gave the Big 12 a bonus before the new deal was even up.  Fox went from $20 million to $90 million and eventually $100 million.  ESPN didn't pay out right away but went in 2 years from $60 million to $100 million.  

    Fair but the point wasn't about the money, it was the fact that LHN was going to exist in a world where the PAC wanted all the tiers of rights for the unified PAC network.  The money was good enough for Texas and did end up being better than anyone thought, but it was also a poison pill to the PAC.  And just happened to be engineered by a network with a lot to lose if Texas went elsewhere.

  6. the issue wasn't lacking WRs who could get open, it was not having a QB who could hit anything.  When he wasn't scrambling for his life he was airmailing balls left and right.  If he had Megatron and Moss running routes wouldn't have made a shit.

    • Hook 'Em 8
  7. 50 minutes ago, 'stache said:

     

    Is it your expectation that the BIG and SEC will go to unequal distributions? Because if so, there is some logic here, but not if Purdue continues making $80M same as Michigan. The money their talking about at the top is absurdly more than any plausible possibility under the current structure. I also don't see how PE would have much control over anything, the networks will still be in charge of pretty much everything, because their the ones paying. PE would just be getting their share. I do agree that the proposal seems plausible without PE money but I'm no expert on private equity. 

    Eventually, yes.  But probably I think the first step will be to continue to grow the pie before they change the size of the slices.  The "grow the pie" strategy will first be via the B1G/SEC scheduling arrangement to create more TV-friendly matchups.  Because no one cares about Indiana vs. Vandy, that scheduling alliance will focus on the big brands.  

    The 2nd step will be the B1G+SEC either combining, or more likely co-negotiating their next TV deal.  I don't think they'll merge in the next 15 years because they want to control their own destinies, but I could see them getting together to double their negotiating power, and cutting a deal similar to what the NFL did recently where they spread rights across everyone including streaming services like Amazon for a few games.

    The 3rd step will be tiering the revenue distributions.  This will separate the Miss St., Vanderbilt, Indiana, and Purdue tier from the Texas, OU, Alabama, Ohio St. Michigan tier.  They'll still be in the same conference but they'll be paid differently and justified on viewership.  

    The B1G and SEC eventually turn into a AFC/NFC arrangement, and that holds up through other realignment moves like FSU and North Carolina because those brands aren't big enough to trigger the nuclear option of blowing up everything and creating a mega league like the Rudy proposal.  This is the most likely outcome over the next 15-20 years because it's the lowest risk option.  Maybe 20+ years down the road of being the AFC/NFC do the B1G and SEC eventually formally unify, but not before.

    What the sports media is missing in the reporting of the Rudy and other PE-backed proposals today is the risk component, they're only factoring in the increased revenue.  Risk and control matters, a lot.  Here is a list of why the Rudy proposal and those like it to create a unified mini-NFL won't happen:

    • It's directly against the interest of TV rights holders by getting them to pay more for the same thing.  Therefore they will work hard against it and pull whatever levers they have, just like ESPN sunk the PAC-16 by offering Texas up $300MM for the LHN knowing it was a poison pill for PAC-16.  We'll see more of that.
    • It's directly against the interest of the SEC and B1G administrators, who would be out of a job if a PE-backed structure gets put into place.  No one at the SEC or B1G office is going to fight for this, in fact they'll work against it.
    • As a result, if you're the PE group, you have to bypass the conferences and go straight to the university presidents.  This is a notoriously fickle, risk-averse, and SLOW decision making group who doesn't really know about the business of college football.  If you're a lifelong academic university president, do you trust the AD you hired and the conference commissioner you've known for some time, or do you trust this new PE suit who is showing up promising big bucks if only you change everything?  Past evidence suggests strongly they'll choose the former path.
  8. 31 minutes ago, Hurtlocker said:

    well I think where it will fail is what you mention.   Texas will remain in the SEC and will make more money.   But Ole Miss will also remain in the SEC and will not make the same as Texas, Alabama, and Georgia.   Same in the Big Ten where Ohio State, Michigan and USC will make more than Oregon, Penn State and Nebraska..

    The ACC/B12 already know they aren't top tier, the secondary schools of the B1G/SEC haven't had this heart to heart yet.   At some point its the next step, even if its not this step.   

    That's why Sankey is so brazen, they'll try and fix this first by saying "Well the SEC will just play the Big Ten more!"   But they still can't do it unless the Big Ten and the SEC combine their media contracts AND schedule games together that features a higher match up of top tier programs AND eliminates all but P4 games.    That's how you make the next jump in money.  Its always been how you make the next jump in money.    The PE investment is just how you buy out contracts and games today.   For less investment you start this in 5 - 10 years and do it yourself, but you still have to merge all of the contracts of all of the schools AND control the scheduling for all of them, there isn't a way of getting around that.

    Agree, I just think that they'll opt to go slower and retain control while slowly easing out the Miss St. and Purdue's of the world to a lower rev tier vs a big bang w/ PE where they invite the fox into the henhouse.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  9. 27 minutes ago, Al_4_ISU said:

    The thing I read had the top tier schools making way more than they do now.

    The league commissioners will fight it tooth and nail.  It renders Sankey gloriously irrelevant.  The whole current conference model, really, which is great.

    The schools who would lose are the Big 10/SEC remoras who would be on a similar tier to the Big 12 and ACC.  The blue bloods make more than they do now and the 12/ACC ensure inclusion.

    True but I'm not sure how much bigger the money would actually be vs. the SEC and B1G doing 80% of this on their own.  Because the other thing the conferences would have to give up may be as important as the money, which is control.  Letting the PE fox into the henhouse is the ultimate short term thinking move, especially granting them the level of control over the sport envisioned in the Rudy proposal.

  10. 20 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

    IMO we are going to have to differentiate NIL and revenue sharing deals. That's why I said yesterday that TOF will have to continue to operate at a high level to ensure retention and acquisition of elite talent even with revenue sharing in place by the school. I know CDC is on record of wanting to bring everything in house but IMO it's smarter to have TOF operate outside the scope of the university as they have since their inception. 

    This is the way.  Revenue sharing will establish the floor.  And some institutions floors will be higher than others although in the SEC and B1G it will be pretty close.  NIL will be the ceiling, and Texas' ceiling will be amongst the highest in the nation.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  11. 22 minutes ago, MrBig said:

    I can see Mack sucking up to the donors with his woe is me bullshit about how he was left without a paddle when Max Johnson broke his leg. He’s gonna ask for one last year for him and Max to go out with a bang and off into the sunset with an ACC title. Sure, Mack. 

    "I'll retire and go quietly after this next year."

    • Haha 2
    • Rage+1 1
  12. Hark!  The 4 certainties of life:

    1. Death
    2. Taxes
    3. The English language changing
    4. Older generations bitching about #3

    Not to put pearls before swine here, but some of y'all fly rinks don't know your onions and are sounding like butter and egg men.  Methinks you're keen as mustard to spend a fortnight on a load of codswallop.  Unfortunately you've got your knickers in a twist over nothing and created a thread chock a block with bad assumptions - truly a dog's breakfast.  Instead, go have a chinwag with someone younger than you, and if they're mad as a hatter and the conversation goes pear shaped and is giving you happy returns, tell them to put a sock in it.  Otherwise, let's just take the egg and let's all get back to talking about having our flag out at a red onion and amorous congress between Mr. John's Goodfellow and Mrs. Fubbs' Parlor.

    with apologies to @Armybrat

    • Haha 2
  13. 1 hour ago, Duval Street said:

    Got an email awhile back with this Yankee cap, called “brown.”  I was hoping the UT stuff would be the same shade but looked more like the above (of course photo, monitor, eyesight and colorblindness may vary):

    IMG_5337.thumb.jpeg.cd3e7f82029ad663d8ffc5d95b31bf86.jpeg

    Love that hat.  Unfortunately the New Era hats don't fit my head, i have a huge oval head and they're more for round normal-sized heads.  I either have to size up and have goofy gaps over my ears where it flares out or size correctly and it's really fucking tight.  The Nike team-issued fitted hats work well though.  That's a sweet hat though.

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