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Snake Diggity

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  1. Anecdotally I can confirm this. I have 3 homes in Austin. The 2 in the $350k-$500k range have recent comps that show their prices are continuing to go up or are at least stable. My other property is in the $600k-$900k range and the asking prices for similar homes has come down a bit, but not 20% down from peak. My guess is that 20-25% decrease is coming from the homes in the $900k-$2M range.
  2. A few more guys not on that list were also released. No major surprises although Dauri Lorenzo was an intl top 30 prospect when he signed so I figured he’d get another year of development. Gaston, Balogh, and Borden all showed potential at one point but it’s not shocking to see them cut loose. I am hoping to see some aggressive assignments in 2 weeks, especially in Fayetteville, as there’s a handful of teenage position players who have some of the highest ceilings in the Astros system (Jaworsky, Hernandez, Luciano, Gomez, Huezo, Ochoa).
  3. I can’t stop thinking about how Derka says “boy” on that track. How would you spell that, phonetically? Bwuah? Bou-oy?
  4. I struggle with this topic. On the one hand, of course we should all be more supportive of each other and people going through mental health problems should have people close to them that they always feel comfortable reaching out to in order to get thru their tough moments. But on the other hand, people with serious mental health issues can be exhausting. I have had friends going through problems that seem like they need neverending support. It has made me very skittish about reaching out to people I’m worried about, because I feel like I’m just asking to get used up. I have suffered from depression and suicidal ideation off and on (mostly on) for decades. When I was young I didn’t feel badly about reaching out to friends or my brothers or my mom for someone to talk to. But in middle age I realize how busy every one is and how burdened everyone is with their own problems, and so there’s a lot of guilt about using up other people’s time and energy.
  5. Has another currency or a stock or a precious metal or really anything at all ever experienced this kind of price increase based solely on speculative inflows?
  6. Fuck Jesse Ventura. If he’d followed through on his intention to run 3rd party in 2016, we would all have been spared the Trump presidency and all its associated bullshit over the last 8+ years.
  7. He’s already got the signatures to be on it in AZ and GA.
  8. There’s definitely question as to RFK’s specific impact. Registered democrats have a more unfavorable view of him but I don’t think those voters make up the double haters. My guess is that the double haters are mostly former Republicans who Trump has turned away.
  9. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-03-04/2024-presidential-election-s-key-voters-hate-both-trump-biden?embedded-checkout=true That article pegs it at 3-5%. You can google “double haters” and see pretty easily that it’s not a “wild ass guess” in terms of % of electorate and who they break for.
  10. Probably 2-3% (maybe more) of general election voters are absolutely desperate to vote for anyone other than Biden or Trump. Those voters will break toward Biden if there is no 3rd party candidate. In that way, any 3rd party candidate, including RFK Jr., will take away votes from Biden.
  11. If they want to upgrade over Singleton they’d be better off signing Brandon Belt who is still a free agent. He’s a better complement to Abreu and a better defensive 1B and a better option to have on the bench to pinch hit. The only way Davis makes sense for Houston is on an extremely cheap multiyear deal where he can serve as a stopgap 3B between Bregman and whoever ends up being the long term solution (Dezenzo).
  12. But Biden won all those states in 2020. Sure, we can hope the margins aren’t as close, but there’s no upside there in terms of EVs.
  13. Relax, lil’ fella. My comment wasn’t in response to anything you said. I quoted your response to me. You didn’t show shit. But since you asked, here’s the margin in 2020 of the closest states: Blue states most at risk to flip red in 2024: AZ, GA, WI: <1% PA: <2% NV, MI: <3% Red states most at risk to flip blue in 2024: NC <2% FL <4% No other red states were within 5 points in 2020. Now you tell me how there’s more upside than downside for Biden vs 2020.
  14. Are you saying you think the odds are high that Biden will achieve a larger EV victory than he did in 2020? Which states that went red in 2020 do you think are actually in play for Biden in 2024?
  15. I am not too worried about PA and I figure if Michigan goes then it probably means GA, AZ, and WI are even further gone. Trump won in 2016 and was very fucking close to winning in 2020 despite all logic. We can point all we want to “why” Biden should easily win those swing states, but Trump has shown that obvious logic often does not apply to his outcomes.
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