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berlinerbaer

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Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. It helps to scroll to the bottom of the article. Polls are small samples of the population and this survey was a sample of that sample. Conducted online. Because methodology.
  2. Yep. The far right is the far right, whether in Israel, the USA, or 1930s Europe. They stir up shit because it's how they stay in power.
  3. There's some humor in this being behind a paywall.
  4. Yes, the one-state solution is the only one that is viable over the long term. Any country that looks like this has no future by virtue of the laws of physical geography. Even with the 1949 borders, Palestine was a geopolitical failure waiting to happen. We won't be getting a secular pluralistic democracy once Palestine is fully digested.
  5. NWS Houston forecasters are just saying fuck it at this point. This guy isn't even the comedian of the bunch.
  6. The whole tipping thing makes it murky. Money has a way of doing that. VA Dems should start warming someone up in the bullpen.
  7. I get all that. I'm not arguing that on-field results aren't important historically, but there are many posters questioning the alignment of a program based on its team winning or losing six days ago, and some of them aren't trying to be funny. I can't think of any teams at risk of relegation in which on-field performance is the main reason.
  8. Maybe on page 687 people will realize that all this shit isn't really about on-field performance.
  9. I expect Oregon State to push the record to 13-0 today. Things get tougher next week. Wiscy at WSU, Auburn at Cal, Zona at Miss St. SC and Furd playing each other. I'm gonna miss this league
  10. I don't want to get all technical or anything but Cal was co-champions with SC back in '06. Finished the year pushing aggy's shit in.
  11. The Israelis know where the bodies are buried. Careful letting the dog off the leash.
  12. Your prognostication applies more to Cal than Stanford. Harbaugh/Shaw actually happened and the best Stanford could do was not even fill their own stadium. The Phil Knight option is more realistic but money doesn't matter if the networks don't think people want to watch. They are a disinterested fanbase and there's no changing that. That said, I think it would be possible for a handful of donors to prop the AD up even in the absence of power conference membership, or anyone else caring. Cal was selling out its stadium in the mid/late 00s but football reverted back to the mean and couldn't maintain fan interest. A Harbaugh-like coach or major benefactors would both be godsends right now. Maybe we're seeing the latter, but they have to contend with campus politics, a retiring chancellor, and a meek AD. For Cal, I'm afraid it really is power 4 or bust.
  13. The dry air from this "cold" front felt great today but I wasn't big on the faint aroma of Oklahoma.
  14. Don't mistake Surly opinion as a microcosm of overall opinion in the West. The real contrarians are the guys like Zeihan. All of our war games show the US losing at least an aircraft carrier. Nobody who matters is downplaying this threat and, if anything, its the China hawks like Bass who hold more sway over actual policymaking.
  15. Coulda joined the Pac when y'all had the chance
  16. Now that they are cutting supply, costs will go up and new players will come online and ramp up their own production. Won't happen overnight, but China is either going to back track or they will be out of the raw materials market.
  17. I thought I heard the Russians set a daily record for number of missiles launched at Ukraine yesterday. It would have been easy to annihilate the Wagner column if there was consensus to do so.
  18. So not only has Putin invited more usurpers with his indecisiveness, but then they will be sure not to take the deal.
  19. My brain isn't making sense of what my eyeballs are seeing. Dictators shouldn't lose elections.
  20. 538 did an article on the Montana top 2 primary stuff last week and why they don't think it will change much. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/jon-tester-montana-2024-election/ Basically, many indies don't like Ds or Rs, according to exit polls, and will sit out the runoff. Even if they all show up for the runoff, the R would need to pull them at a 2 to 1 clip to close a hypothetical 1 percent gap with Tester.
  21. you mean a double digit curb-stomping?
  22. Few days old already but I'm guessing the GOP internals don't look good if they're pulling this garbage.
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