-
Posts
835 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Store
Downloads
Recruiting - 2020
2019-2020 Football Season
Football
Entertainment
Sports
News and Business
Cloak Room
Transfer Portal
Recruiting
Events
Posts posted by berlinerbaer
-
-
On 4/18/2022 at 8:00 PM, ztejas said:
I don't think there is one. I was going to start one at one point.
I played 6 for a bit but like 5 better. 6 just felt too bloated to me. Felt like there was too much shit to keep track of every turn.
I've been playing Civ 6 now for about a month and I agree. I feel like 5 was the best balance between depth and simplicity of the entire series, a significant upgrade from the complexity of Civ 4. Now it feels like they went overboard again.
I will say that I love the diplomatic options, which is the branch of gameplay that I think I have the best handle on at this point.
-
15 minutes ago, Js1 said:
The Harvard poll recently showed them showing up in 2018 numbers and voting for Dems by a 2-1 margin
A firm is tracking the voting preferences in Michigan and something like 70-80% of the youth vote is planning to vote on Election Day there. Hoping they actually turn out that day to counterbalance the republicans who vote on Election Day
Goddamn young people dicking around as always
-
19 hours ago, Newdoc said:
I wonder about the situational awareness people have that they find themselves caught in these situations and it’s too late to get out.
Something about the Itaewon neighborhood that tends to take the awareness out of people.
-
2 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:
Good follow, and it’s the vote, not a beach or waxing report
https://twitter.com/BrazilianReport
Even though there’s been some shenanigans going on, for the most part, it doesn’t seem like there’s too much unrest. Vote is almost finished counting
USA: our elections are decided by razor thin margins!
Brazil: Segure minha cerveja!
-
2
-
2
-
-
2 hours ago, FirstTimeCaller said:
So what has changed from now until August? Inflation is the same as it was? Yet the forecasts for the Senate have turned from strongly in Dem's favor to a tossup?
Fetterman's debate I think is significant. But Herschel Walker is in better standing now than two months ago? Makes. Zero. Sense.
Sure one side is election deniers and takes away rights, but inflation is high.
PA over the summer was at 48 - 38 D with 15+ undecided. Now its more like 48 - 45 D with less than 10% undecided.
Dems aren't getting hurt as much as Republican leaners are finally coming around to accepting their guy. That makes for a coin flip in the purple states and probably a close loss in the redder places like OH and NC, where it may have appeared that the Dem was doing well.
It also suggests that the Dem strategy of promoting shit GOP candidates was working. Was being the key word.
I'm cautiously optimistic with Fetterman because he is still above 50% in some recent polls. It's when both candidates are knotted up in the mid 40s when we are at the whim of late-breaking infrequent voters.
-
1 hour ago, Voldemort86 said:
If there’s nothing saying it wouldn’t or doesn’t count, I’d assume the vote would be counted, but let’s hope we don’t have to find out.
I would LOVE to find out. If a Texas statewide race comes down to a few recently deceased voters, that means Dems are creaming the GOP elsewhere in the nation.
-
9 hours ago, Js1 said:
Marquette has Johnson up 6 now. Wisconsin is officially a huge problem
Tammy Baldwin in one hand, Ron Johnson in the other.
What a weird state. Such a dichotomy will only be trumped by Ohio if Vance wins.
-
1 hour ago, MillerEP said:
The RU Embassy in Berlin is massive. Putting that wreck in front of it will be quite the image.
-
3
-
1
-
-
Have we lost interest in the running tally of KIA Russian officers? Last I saw it posted must have been 2 months ago by now.
-
Coup in China? Quite the opposite. Xi is about to cement his rule for life.
-
48 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:
Wonder where the Saudis fall on this. On the one hand, they’d love for the Shiites to be taken down quite a few notches, both from a religious perspective, but also if Iran’s leadership changed, it might dial back the Shiite influence/support in certain countries (not just Yemen), which would benefit the Saudis/Sunnis.
On the other hand, this should scare the shit out of the Saudi leadership (as well as a few other hardline countries in the region) if the young people pull it off and they move towards a more secular society.
A democratic Iran, or any regime less hostile to the rest of the world, is an existential threat to the Saudis and most other ME countries. They will attempt to muck any transition up, or at least weaken any alternative nascent Iranian government as best they can. They do not want sanctions lifted and the global market flooded with Iranian oil, not when they have the world by the balls after Russia's screwup.
The US needs to be ready to play diplomatic hardball with our so-called allies in the region who may have self-serving motives, but we need to show restraint. We have been terrible at picking winners and losers with regards to Iran since the 1950s. We should not get directly involved, but we have the authority to ensure other countries in the region keep their distance as well.
-
2
-
1
-
-
Going by yard signs only, you'd think we were in the midst of a red wave in my neck of the woods. It seems the other evil Nehls twin is mounting a spirited challenge to KP George for Ft. Bend County judge.
-
1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:
As a sparsely populated democracy stuck between two hegemonic dictatorships, that is as close to spewing hot fire as Mongolia will get.
-
3
-
1
-
-
On 9/21/2022 at 2:26 PM, Js1 said:
Okay, first off, I never said otherwise.
If Dems are winning R+6 seats on Election Night, the environment was entirely wrong in polling and the Dems kept the House.
We will actually have a fairly decent idea early in the night, depending on how quickly races like NH-01/02 get called, of what the environment is.
- NH-01 is EVEN and NH-02 is D+2. A quick Dem call would mean a pretty good night. A quick GOP call would be a pretty bad night.
Same with races like CT-02 and CT-05 (D+3) and the open RI-02 (D+4).
Don't forget - 2018 looked abysmal for the Dems on Election Night because of the red mirage before mail-in ballot states finished counted. Something like 4 CA races flipped when all the votes were counted in the end. Dems also thought they lost the AZ-Sen seat that night, but Sinema prevailed after the mail-in ballots were counted. We will see this in CA, PA, OR, OH, AZ and NY is notoriously slow to count as well.
We all remember 2020 as well - Trump was bigly winning on election night in PA, WI and Michigan until everything was counted.
6 hours ago, Js1 said:This is R+3. Another "slam dunk" district getting triaged.
Quick question... where are you getting these numbers? I'm assuming they account for redistricting.
I'm asking because 538, which puts the Dems odds of keeping the House at 30%, has NH-01 and NH-02 at 76% and 95% odds of going Dem, respectively. Those don't seem like even seats to me.
-
On 9/1/2022 at 3:00 PM, Superhero said:
It's astounding to me that Taiwan still has territory so close to the mainland. If China was even remotely capable of taking Taiwan, those islands would have been conquered long ago.
-
1
-
-
Am I the only one who thinks it would be easier for UKR to push Russia out of Crimea than the East? If Kherson get's recaptured, then resupply of Crimea from the North gets much harder and then there's only the Kerch bridge to take out and the canal to dry up.
-
My mind's kinda blown that anyone cares about Jon Wilner east of the Rockies.
-
1
-
-
On 8/10/2022 at 8:19 AM, GopherRock said:
Ilhan Omar's problem was that she didn't get her core areas of support out. Major miscalculation.
And she wasn't the only incumbent to sweat out a photo finish last night. Robin Vos, speaker of the Wisconsin Assembly and brainchild of the last 12 years of Republican rule in Wisconsin, nearly lost to a challenger who charged him with not being sufficiently anti-democratic.
NSIAP, he just ended that state's investigation into the 2020 elections, hopefully crushing to the morale of the most MAGA Wisconsin voters.
QuoteWisconsin Assembly Speaker Robin Vos has ended a controversial partisan review of the 2020 election, which he and GOP legislators had funded for the past year, days after Vos defeated a primary challenger.
-
In all seriousness, Chinese like to poison each other. Even in the US, they aren't comfortable with firearms.
-
2 hours ago, DaggerHorns said:
1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
1 Octillion
FIFY
-
1
-
-
5 hours ago, 956 Worldwide said:
V Corps headquarters will be in Poland and that’s about 650 soldiers. There’s also going to be a Brigade Combat Team (approx. 4,500) in Romania. So you’re off by a coupe tens of thousands. I also don’t understand why we believe that having forward deployed units firmly integrated with our Allies in a potential theatre against one of our few competitors isn’t of benefit to us.
This conflict and our domestic problems are firmly intertwined and a bad outcome will lead to more, and more serious domestic problems down the road. This is a revanchist, angry, flailing want to be Empire that wants to upset the order in our core security sphere: Europe, our largest trading partner and the other shore of our Transatlantic lake. We call people who can focus on the big picture “statesmen.”
Here is the article linked in the Ukraine thread a few days back. Looks like it'll be about 20,000 spread throughout Europe, bringing the total to 100,000, on rotation. Mea culpa.
QuoteThe dry language belied the dramatic shift under way as the U.S. prepares to keep 100,000 troops in Europe for the “foreseeable future,” up from 80,000 before the war in Ukraine began.
QuoteU.S. officials emphasized that the permanent basing applied only to headquarters units, not combat troops, and was therefore consistent with a 1997 agreement between NATO and Russia in which the alliance agreed not to permanently base combat troops in Eastern Europe as it aimed to build more constructive ties in the post-Cold War environment.
The combat units Biden is sending to Romania and the Baltic region are on rotational deployments, rather than permanent assignment, to remain in compliance with that agreement.
-
I'm all for Sweden and Finland joining. That sounds like organic NATO expansion and a real boost in financial and combat capability. I'm also in favor of arming the Ukrainians with pretty much whatever they want. It's a bargain compared to sending our guys over there.
Speaking of which... we are now sending tens of thousands of troops to Poland permanently? Fuck that. Is NATO stronger or not? Could we fuck up Russia already as is or not? Weren't our European allies going to double their defense budgets? If we were asked to contribute that many, we should have said no and if we decided without asking then fuck us.
Fact is, this conflict seems like an escape from our very real domestic problems for too many politicians (both sides) and, by the looks of it, too many normally liberal posters on this board (myself included).
-
11 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:
Sigh, so is this shit ramping back up? See a few people in the DT thread saying they tested positive. Wife is coming back from a conference in Aspen right now and saying she doesn’t feel good.
It's raging through the young population. It ran through my whole family a week ago after my kids brought it home from daycare. Nothing major, but holy shit this thing is contagious.
Good news is that like 80% of America has now been inoculated one way or the other. That's why hospitalizations are fairly low and deaths are way down compared to prior waves.
-
59 minutes ago, Satchel said:
She’s gonna get smoked in November.
Maybe. This seat is gerrymandered to be safe D and Vicente Gonzalez is a known commodity.
Gonzalez' old seat next door (TX-15) is in real danger of flipping, however. It's one of the only competitive districts left in the state. The R candidate came within 4 points in 2020.
Texas MidTerm 2022 Early Voting Thread- Oct 24th-Nov.4th
in Cloak Room
Posted
My voting location in suburban Fort Bend county was a morgue when I went a week and a half ago but holy shit was it slammed today. Dem-leaning area too.