Jump to content

berlinerbaer

Legacy Members
  • Posts

    748
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by berlinerbaer

  1. Right now, this fighting can still exist mostly behind the scenes since there won't be major legislation argued over without Senate control. If the two GA senate seats go for the Dems, then shit gets real.

  2. I was talking to a couple of coworkers about the election on Thursday morning, one of whom is for sure a Trumper but tries to downplay it. Things started normal until he brought up the sharpies and the fraud.

    It actually seems like I had some success with him just by sticking to what even most Trump supporters know about the man: that he's a total clown. That even Trump appointee judges weren't going to deal with his bullshit in their courtrooms. I stayed away from any mention of "fairness" or identity politics that would immediately out me as a lib.

    Success in this case means I got him to quit arguing and just say something like "Well I just hope it's all over soon!" Yeah, man, so do I.

  3. Both Cal and Utah had to cancel their scheduled games against Washington and Arizona yesterday due to Covid and the resulting player quarantine. Cal has one player positive and Utah has an unspecified number of positive cases.

    Looked like an old Pac 8 throw-back.

  4. "It's time to stop worrying about what the Republicans will say. It's true that if we embrace a far left agenda, they're going to say we're a bunch of crazy socialists. If we embrace a conservative agenda, you know what they're going to do? They're going to say we're a bunch of crazy socialists. Let's stand up for the right policy, go up there and defend it."

    - Pete Buttigieg

    • Hook 'Em 3
  5. 15 minutes ago, washparkhorn said:

    Does progressive = identity politics in reality?  

    Seems to me identity is more a neoliberal/centrist banner than a progressive one, given the progressive focus on class-based deficiencies. 

    If identity politics are the rubbing point, it is probably wise to explore its proponents, especially those clad in "resistance" fervor, rather than just lump them into leftists/progressives/commies or whatever else comes to mind. 

    Progressivism can equate to identity politics if you are a conservative who can't tell anyone left of center apart. The Dem establishment deserves blame for this.

    I wouldn't attribute identity politics with the centrist/moderate wing at all, since they often represent ethnically homogeneous constituencies. I agree it shouldn't be linked with the progressive wing, which focuses more on economic issues. Identity politics is coming more out of the Democratic establishment who are in the ideological middle within the party, and who tend to come from safe districts.

    One reason the Dems did so well in 2018 was because the party took a decentralized strategy of messaging. The only real commonality between the candidates was healthcare, which was and still is a winning cause. 

     

    • Hook 'Em 2
    • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
  6. 2 hours ago, Texaspython said:

    We lost ground with minorities because they want less left. It’s silly white liberals they’re tired of.

    You can’t persuade anyone on this board including me. Of course, I’m a democrat, I don’t know what you are.

    Some minorities, yes. There is evidence that Hispanics like progressive economic policies. Bernie Sanders did well in states with large Hispanic populations during the primary, like California and Nevada.

    South Texas' Henry Cuellar came damn close to losing his seat to a progressive in his primary. Cristina Ramirez almost made the run-off for TX Senate by doing well in South Texas. She was nonexistent everywhere else.

    Edit: The senate primary in Hidalgo county was won my Sema Hernandez, who is even further to the left than Cristina.

    2 hours ago, wildcat09 said:

    What progressive candidates did badly?

    Considering she lost by 5%, Kara Eastman in NE-2 ran at least that many points behind Biden there (I can't find presidential results from that district).

    Katie Porter easily won reelection in CA-45, a district that had been red for a very long time before 2018. Then again, she's a rock star.

  7. Joe Manchin flipping to the Rs would be the worst idea ever. As a Republican, he would be just another cog in an obstructionist Senate going along on Mitch's ride.

    As the conservative Democrat in a 50/50 Senate, he becomes the most powerful person in the entire chamber, and West Virginia vaults to being the most consequential state in the union. He would have Schumer's ear 24/7.

    This only applies until 2024, after which I think he retires.

     

    • Hook 'Em 1
  8. I feel relieved, but exhausted. The last four years have really dominated my psyche. I can relate to whomever it was who said that enjoying college football has been hard these past few years. My kids are turning 2 and 5 soon. Years from now, I want to be able to reflect on this time as being about them growing up and me as a new father, and not think about the state of this country.

    I'm pissed about the utter failure down-ballot, mostly because I believe climate change is the real deal and we won't get shit done about it the next 2 years, at least.

    I guess I should be feeling better. Time to find a replay of Joe's victory speech.

  9. Did this swing to the right by Hispanics in Texas extend to down-ballot candidates or just the top of the ticket? I decided to look at election results in the three border CDs in South Texas compared to 4 years ago. Unfortunately for Democrats, these races also massively lurched to the right by about 15 points this time around, suggesting that it isn't just Trump driving the trend and that there is reason to expect a more evenly split Hispanic vote going forward.

     

    CD         Democrat      2016        2020 Margin     Diff

    28th      Cuellar           +35          +19                     16

    15th      Gonzalez       +19          +3                       15

    34th      Vela                +25          +11                     14

     

  10. 7 hours ago, The Hot Dog Buffet said:

    The democrats need to hope a lot of the people who are coming out in droves to support Trump go back to not voting when he goes away. Nothing they do, and nothing Trump does, matters at all to any of these people. They don't read or watch the news, and don't believe you if you tell them the news. They are completely unaware of any of Trump's or Biden's policies on anything. A lot of them do believe the Q stuff, so maybe the democrats could attract some of them by launching weird, anonymous online conspiracy theories about republicans and the catholic church or something. They aren't attracting any of these people with anything remotely based on reality, though.

    This. Many people on both sides simply don't want to admit just how good Donald Trump was in driving turnout among his supporters and translating that to the rest of the GOP ticket. All of us were floored by the turnout nationwide but lots of us mistakenly believed it was predominately on the Dem side.

    I don't think Dem enthusiasm dipped much, if any, compared to 2018. Losses among some minorities, although a  clear warning sign, were replaced by gains among white suburbanites and older voters. The uptick in GOP turnout due to Trump being on the ballot was more than enough to beat back a possible blue wave and regain control of gerrymandered congressional and state house districts. The notion that he was a drag on candidates down ballot simply wasn't true.

    We need to put Biden's pending win over Trump into some perspective. I think time will tell us that it was no small feat.

  11. 1 hour ago, gmr548 said:

    I should've clarified that meant in Texas (as well as some other places mentioned). I didn't get that sense only because they were campaign folks speaking anonymously and willingly conceded not performing well elsewhere. But without further info it's impossible to tell.

    The fact that they also claim to be feeling good about EV turnout in Nevada is a strong indication that they're lying.

    Clark county already overtook its total 2016 vote with Election Day still to come.

     

     

  12. 10 hours ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

    that was my guess for a while.  somehow collins is going to hang on.

    There are Lib and Green party candidates in the race pulling ~2 and 4% respectively, which will make it tough for anyone to break 50%. Ranked choice voting then kicks in and that should elevate Gideon more than Collins.

    The Green candidate has actually told her supporters to put Gideon down as their #2.

     

    7 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

    I watched the entire Graham-Harrison debate.

    Graham is a closet case fuckface, and Harrison got in a couple of shots, but there wasn't any Pujols-style walk-off homers for Jamie.   He absolutely won some points, but he didn't leave Graham crying in the fetal position, and that's what he needed to do.

    For those of you that didn't watch, Lindsey said "Pelosi" so many times, that Harrison's close was "if you had "Pelosi" in your drinking game, call Uber". 

     

    spacer.png

    • Hook 'Em 1
  13. 1 hour ago, StassneyHorn said:

    Dallas Morning news did some polling on guns in late January, and it’s not as gun crazy as you might think

    image.thumb.png.ddce124b5cea2852c3a0734134f08e66.png

    https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2020/02/03/texans-overwhelmingly-want-gun-background-checks-are-open-to-red-flag-laws-dmn-ut-tyler-poll-finds/?outputType=amp

    Low hanging fruit if Biden is elected, in this order:

    1. Covid stimulus

    2. HR-1 / new voting rights act

    3. Universal background checks + red flag law

    Just those three and a bunch of executive orders to shore up the existing ACA, take the kids out of cages, effectively staff all agencies and departments, and reimpose Obama-level oversight and regulations and the Dems will expand their share of the House and Senate in 2022.

    Having said that, watch them all fuck around for 18 months with a new health care bill, or the Green New Deal, and I say that as someone who wants those things.

     

     

    • Hook 'Em 5
  14. 35 minutes ago, Captainant said:

    Holy shit thank God Biden socially distanced and kept his mask on around trump

    Unless it is an N95 mask, it won't offer much protection for the wearer. Most masks really only offer protection from the wearer.

    It only takes one asshole...

×
×
  • Create New...