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tokamak

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by tokamak

  1. A few stats I pulled regarding summer recruiting. This is all from 247's database. Could be off +/- a guy here or there, but it's probably in the right ballpark. In 2024, we had 41 guys OV during the two June weekends. That doesn't count a random guy that visited by himself in early June or the punter. It does count Ty'Anthony Smith, who visited midweek between the two weekends. 19 of our eventual 21 signees (again not counting the punter, but counting Smith) came from those two OV weekends (90%). 19 commits out of 41 June OVs is a close rate of 46%. The two additional signees OV'ed in December (Filsaime) and January (Butler) 12 of the 19 (63%) had committed to Texas by August 1. This includes Trey Owens, who had committed before June OVs 2 players committed elsewhere following OVs before eventually flipping to Texas (Wardell Mack/Florida and Smith/aggy). 2 players initially committed to Texas following June OVs but eventually flipped to someone else (Aeryn Hampton/Bama, D'Antre Robinson/Florida). In 2025, we had 42 guys OV during three June weekends. That counts 3 guys that visited midweek between those weekends. 21 of our eventual 25 signees came from those June visits (84%). 21 commits out of 42 June OVs is a close rate of 50%. The four additional signees OV'ed in October (Williams [after committing in August] and Justus Terry) and November (Littleton and Hicks [after committing in September]). 14 of the 21 (67%) had committed to Texas by August 1. This includes 9 guys that committed before OVs started. This also includes Josiah Sharma, who committed to Oregon following OVs, but flipped to Texas in late July. This does NOT include Kade Phillips, who committed to Texas in July, flipped to LSU in August, then flipped back to Texas in December. 3 players committed elsewhere following OVs but eventually flipped to Texas (McCutcheon/FSU, Charles/FSU, and Sharma/Oregon) 3 players initially committed to Texas following June OVs but eventually flipped elsewhere (Mills/Washington, Brandon Brown/LSU, and Phllips). For 2026, we had 41 non-specialists OV during three June weekends. 18 of our 19 current commitments as I type this visited during June OVs. Derrek Cooper has not OV'ed yet. 18 out of 41 is a close rate of 44%. 3 June visitors remain uncommitted as I type: Davon Benjamin, Jake Kreul, and Keawe Brown. It does not seem like Brown is a take for Texas at this time. Obviously, all 18 of those have committed before August 1. 6 players were committed before OVs started (Dia Bell has been committed for a fucking year already) In past years, we had a couple early commits that never made June OV with everyone else. I'm assuming those guys were cut loose. Interestingly, all of our pre-June commits made OVs this year. Already 1 player that committed elsewhere following OVs has flipped to Texas (James Johnson, Georgia) As you can see, despite a rough start to July, we are tracking very closely so far with the 2024 and 2025 cycles. Personally I was mildly surprised to find that, because the string of recent losses made things seem worse than they are. Based on the two previous years' of data, I think we can make some inferences about how the rest of the cycle will play out: We will stay competitive with Benjamin and Kreul We will probably lose 1-2 guys from the current class that aren't a big deal (i.e., cut them loose) We may lose 1-2 guys that we don't want to lose We will probably flip 1-2 players that OV'ed in June but are currently committed elsewhere (Malakai Lee, please) We will bring in a handful of guys for OVs in the fall and have a good hit rate with them.
  2. Wish he would've stayed there.
  3. I'm legitimately curious how many players you have left from the draft. It can't be many. Whatever you're doing seems to be working for you though. You've only widened your lead on the rest of us since the ASB.
  4. Corporations are generally pretty shy about associating their brand name with criminals.
  5. That article is a true masterclass in burying the lede. “Two teens were charged in a driving incident….oh, also one of those teens was murdered a couple days ago.”
  6. Did Parma check and see if it’s OK with mommy and daddy?
  7. I feel like someone said Bobby/Gerry mentioned one more DT. Which seems like a luxury to me but OK. Personally, I'd like to see 2 more OL (one of whom is a pure OT), and try to flip an elite WR in addition to your list. Not sure what the plan or needs are at DB (if any).
  8. Georgia fans are people of the land. The common clay of the Deep South. You know…morons.
  9. Kansas City Chiefs’ media team should make a documentary about him
  10. I dunno about y’all, but my absolute favorite thing at my job is when people say “hey we should do X” and offer absolutely no hint that they are willing to take on leadership in doing X themselves. What they really mean is “hey YOU should do X and let me tag along”. I love that. So thoughtful, so helpful.
  11. This might be the whitest thing I’ve ever seen in my life. Right up there with Sweet Caroline at Red Sox games. I would, however, be interested in seeing more of the blondo in white pants to the camera guys left.
  12. I’ve actually been using ESPN more lately because 247 and On3 aggressively block adblockers.
  13. Just drafted an advanced high school hitter out of CA at #12. No position, probably a future corner OF. Was actually committed to the Horns but obviously wasn’t ever gonna make it.
  14. So Bobby says that Cooper is a special player, a guy Sark has singled out, and that we want a big time RB in this class. But we pursued Crowell and Edwards hard and all the Cooper stuff has just come up recently. Cooper didn’t even OV. So do they think Crowell and Cooper are equivalent? If so, why not go all-in on Crowell just like we are with Cooper? If not, then Bobby’s logic doesn’t track. I dunno, I’m confused.
  15. $9.95ers really setting this one up to crush our souls
  16. Fun (albeit meaningless) group game between Germany and Sweden on FOX right now. Germany had a woman sent off for handling a ball on the goal line. Sweden converted the penalty to make it 3-1. All this before halftime. Sweden has a couple lookers of course.
  17. You don't have to wait. Bezos's $40 million bribe "documentary" is coming later this year to Amazon Prime.
  18. You still have the possibility that the "known commodity" is Amari Niblack.
  19. I liked this dude's tape. Hope we keep him warm.
  20. "Truly repulsive and disgusting"....until he wins a Senate seat next year. Then he's cool.
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