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Welch

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Everything posted by Welch

  1. Courtesy of Mike’s Weather Page. Most seem to be trending more north/east. Euro had been pointed towards the middle Texas coast, now it’s Louisiana. GFS had been northern Mexico, now lower Texas coast.
  2. https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2020/texas-coronavirus-cases-map/ Texas Tribune agrees.
  3. Welch

    2021 MLB Thread

    Ahh, the memories! https://larrybrownsports.com/baseball/collin-mchugh-carlos-gomez-lights/316348
  4. Thinking of making a first-ever trip to the McDonald Observatory this summer, but it looks like the Star Parties are basically sold out through late August. They do have “Evening Sky Viewing” spots available, which seems to be the same thing minus the telescopes. Any recommendations? Are the Viewings worthwhile or should I just wait for Star Party slots to open up?
  5. Almost as bad as the five-ball walk to Tucker. f this ump
  6. I get it, and as an Astros fan like Kermit I can definitely see how a total teardown can lead to an era of success, but put me down for the Spurs’ method 10 times out of 10 in the NBA. Even being in a destination market and having tons of draft assets doesn’t necessarily result in titles (Boston and New York say hi), so I’ve come to the point where I’m thrilled the Spurs have opted for the “stay good and see what happens” model.
  7. Holy hell, the Rockets have lost 19 in a row? Worth remembering that the year our superstar whined his way off the team, we still finished 47-35 and made the playoffs.
  8. Number of Senate Democrats who crossed the aisle to help the American people by supporting the $1.9T CARES Act in 2020 when Republicans held the White House: 47 Number of Senate Republicans who crossed the aisle to help the American people by supporting Biden’s $1.9T Covid bill in 2021 when Dems held the White House: 0 BUT UNITY!!!
  9. A year or two ago, the answer to all three would have been “George Soros!” I guess I give them credit for updating their scapegoats every now and then...??
  10. You know, I think he’s gonna wake up and realize he no longer has a brother, and he no longer has any friends, and I’m gonna be standing front and center, just laughing my fucking head off.
  11. Fair enough. Just seems like a heavy lift. If there are, say, 60k allowable provisionals, Biden would need to win those 65%-35% to pick up a net gain of 18k and increase his total lead to ~33k. Any fewer allowable would mean he’d need to win an even larger percentage. I did hear that 40% of them are from Philly, so that’ll help. I’m just skeptical.
  12. Given how few PA ballots were announced today, I’m assuming that we’re fully into provisionals now (and mostly done with the mail-ins). If it’s true that the provisional breakdown generally aligns with the counties overall, and the two candidates are basically running 49%-49% across the state, how are we expecting this lead to grow to over 30k? Wouldn’t it basically stay where it is, ~15k, or increase just slightly? What am I missing that’s going to put Biden over +33k or whatever and allow AP to call the race?
  13. Made the trek out to the AT&T Center yesterday, mainly to thank the players for ignoring the “shut up and dribble” mouthbreathers and encouraging people to vote. Probably 50 people in line ahead of me, but it took maybe five minutes to get through that line and another five minutes to vote. Almost a festive environment too. When I was at the voting machine, I was startled by one of the poll workers across the room yelling, “FIRST TIME VOTER!!!” and then everyone in the room cheering for that person. Have never heard that before, but maybe that’s because I usually vote with the olds out in the suburbs.
  14. I’m thinking the big surge still happened, it was just farther east in the largely uninhabited swamps and wildlife refuges. The storm itself came in on the east side of model guidance so I’d imagine the surge followed suit.
  15. I’ve been worried about this for a while. Back in 2010, Hermine wasn’t even a hurricane when it made landfall near Brownsville... but it ended up passing directly over us in San Antonio and even those winds were memorable. All the talking heads on TV have been patting themselves on the back all week, telling us that Laura won’t be another Harvey. I mean, that’s true... but it fails to mention that hurricane-level winds are possible as far inland as Lufkin and Alexandria. That’s a big deal.
  16. Assuming this all goes as we now expect, hats off to the folks at the NHC. So many other mets were aggressively pushing this west based on the Euro for the past couple of days, and those NHC guys didn’t really budge. Even when a metro area of 6 million+ was potentially in the crosshairs. Balls of steel.
  17. That was his call of the Burke walk-off in 2005. F Atlanta.
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