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Posts posted by Anastasis
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Nate's stats are right, a number of the polling inputs appear to be garbage though.
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Where are we at with the calls on the Senate? Looks like either 51 or 52 seat GOP chamber?
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I would have probably stolen the hotdog for a late night snack last night.
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1 hour ago, Wulaw Horn said:
Congrats on making the decision to keep your potus bets. I was saying pound the table for going all in on Biden when he was +300/400 depending upon the book. My bet is a lot of people weren’t as steady as you were last night.
Yeah, those all stabilized into the green over night. I really want to exit my remaining positions and take the money off the table, but the POTUS win is the real pay day.
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Should have taken today off.
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Biden still gonna win.
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11 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:
That might allow 99% of the public to vote. We can’t have that.
Careful what we wish for.
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10 minutes ago, 52-80 said:
In the year 2020 where I have 5Factor authentication and captcha and password requirements requiring 3 non consecutive subscript webdings characters .... how come we still vote by mail and need to count by hand?
We can somehow figure out how to process all meaningful financial transactions electronically but not voting.
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Hit AZ and popular vote and dem house and trump lose any state he won in 2016. Gonna ride or die with PA, Biden POTUS, Dem POTUS.
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This country is so fucked up. Thank the two party system.
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6 minutes ago, JimmyJames said:
Will do. So we each bet $500. Based on the odds what does that mean I owe?
you were in for 500. If I lost i was in for approximately 1300.
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Futures markets loved that.
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12 minutes ago, BradInATX said:
I have NC too. I took NC, FL, and GA in the closest MOV.
GA is the only one I took the 0-1 margin of victory on both sides. Every time I modeled things out, Georgia was incredibly stable between about a half point D and a half point R win.
Never bet fl.
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2 hours ago, JimmyJames said:
If I lose I assure you I will pay. I pay my bets. I'm just wondering if you have any insight into why at this point. Has Fort Bend been counted? It may not matter but just looking for info.
Looks like Texas is done. A screen cap of your donation receipt will suffice.
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Futures markets taking 2020 a lot better than they did 2016.
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2 minutes ago, BradInATX said:
I'm still hoping for a couple of my Barry Bonds swing bets to hit. Ohio Trump between 2.5-3.5 is in play
What are your losers? I thought you mostly had middling positions?
Everything was bigly red last I was able to see the dashboard. Dem to win POTUS, GOP to lose POTUS, Trump popular vote was even red, Penn was red, AZ green, Dem house green, Trump loses state won in 2016 green. Didn't grab a screen cap, but I am down bigly on my max out positions if Trump wins.
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Just now, BradInATX said:
The Chewy Bet is going to break me even I think. I owe you a beer sir @Chewy's Hairy Horn
My PI account is scuttled if Trump wins.
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Just now, JimmyJames said:
If I lose I assure you I will pay. I pay my bets. I'm just wondering if you have any insight into why at this point. Has Fort Bend been counted? It may not matter but just looking for info.
The root cause appears to be that Biden didn't engage hispanics in Texas. I didn't anticipate that result, thus hedging out our bet. If it goes my way the charity I would propose is mobile loaves and fishes. https://mlf.org/ But if you have any discomfort with that, will be open to your alternative suggestions.
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2 minutes ago, JimmyJames said:
So it looks like I lost but I can't tell yet. Numbers aren't done but not looking good. I'll wait until its called to comment further. Any insight?
I think that you lose the bet and I lost my hedge position and the end result is that I ask you to make your end right by sending money to a mutually agreed charity organization.
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5 minutes ago, ChiTownDoc said:
We are officially the Romans
Oceans rise, empires fall.
was foolish for anyone to think that ours was going to be any different.
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PI appears to be at least reporting current prices and its a blood bath.
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7 minutes ago, ChiTownDoc said:
It's over. Trump -300 on a lot of sites. Bovada stopped taking Trump bets it looks like. Wow - I'll say this...a lot of people assuming latino/brown/black vote would turn out like crazy for Joe...people like me. Dead wrong. This shit is over.
I don’t think it would be possible to lose more money than I did on Clinton losing in 2020, but I may be wrong by a multiple.
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1 minute ago, elfenix said:
more states don't count their early votes particularly quickly than i had thought.
We were chatting about this while I was in line today and apparently many states don’t precount the early votes.
Classic Car thread
in Hobbies
Posted
Yeah, a milder hood would greatly improve the look of that ride. What are they packing under the hood?