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Txzen

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Everything posted by Txzen

  1. I know it's going to be disappointing to hear, but parts of California are (or at least should) be prepared for this. We've got earthquake kits, not to mention emergency supplies for when PG&E likes to shut of our power for days on end. Probably not enough guns.
  2. A perfect example as to why killing the host quickly (Ebola) limits the spread.
  3. I only fly to LAX for business twice a month. I'll be fine.
  4. So, I read the paper (and a few associated papers)... It's the type of journal report where it is only an exercise in pulling literature references to other papers to compile the data (no experiments). In a table, they reference the persistence at various temperatures and surfaces reported. Room temperature persistence across MERS, SARS, human coronovirus (and a few others) vary wildly. For instance: SARS : 1h to 2d on a disposable gown (depending on the amount deposited) SARS : 4d on glass, 5d on metal, 4d on wood etc.. But if you actually pull some of those reports, what you see is that while there is some amount of infectious agent, there's almost a 1x reduction in the first day, and at the limit of detection at 5 days (on teflon, PVC, ceramic, glass, rubber, stainless steel). So, 9d is a total outlier in the literature, and even at several days out the reduction in infectious agent is significant. It's there, but diminished. Importantly, this is different from the normal influenza virus which survives only a matter of hours in droplets and surfaces. A different beast, for sure.
  5. That's because it's apparent you can be asymptomatic, and be a carrier.
  6. The virus is most similar to SARS which in general is spread from respiratory droplets and has poor survivability on surfaces. Wouldn’t worry about packages unless the mailman sneezed on it. Spray with 70% alcohol, or 10% bleach and and wipe.
  7. You’re good with math. This is clearly a special and novel Coronavirus, and there is much we don’t know. I still think it’s hard to calculate the mortality rate as it stands now given the bulk of the data from where it emerged was likely impacted by the access to care (and how overwhelmed it became). We’ll know more I think from the experience with South Korea and Italy and other more developed areas as it continues to spread.
  8. 0.1, not 0.01. And the current mortality rate is likely low single-digit, unless you are elderly and in Wuhan. https://khn.org/news/facts-vs-fears-five-things-to-help-weigh-your-coronavirus-risk/
  9. Not remotely true.
  10. The crazy thing is High Noon is reached by all black diamond - it’s a back bowl, and not overrun with beginners. Was there between Christmas and New Year and didn’t see anything like that - had to be a mechanical issue maybe? Still not fond of Vail - the mountain layout just didn’t work for me. Had to spend a lot of time getting to those choice diamond areas, even with moderate lines.
  11. It started a little before, but definitely the year Aquafest stopped was the beginning of the end.
  12. I think that's whats they were trying to do, but somehow missed following the 101. The LA times reports an eyewitness saying the aircraft was 'sputtering' so perhaps there was an additional mechanical issue. For those not familiar with this area, it's actually quite mountainous, and both the 118 and 101 really thread a needle there.
  13. Listening to the audio - they were on a hold at the Burbank area (that's the circling for 15min). They were cleared for '118 West' which they followed. I'm not clear if the plan was to go south and follow the 101 towards Thousand Oaks or not. But it looks like that's the way they were headed.
  14. I can’t imagine trying to pop over from the LAX-Santa Monica area over the mountains to Thousand Oaks in that weather. Not clear from that radar, but it almost seems as if they were circling to wait for a break in visibility (or clearance to proceed), then dragging along the ridge to find a clearing. The whole thing seems foolhardy. Just a senseless tragedy.
  15. We usually stay on the Blackcomb Gondola side of things. We VRBO a small place with a kitchen basically right across from the Fairmont. Not fancy at all, and still expensive but close. There are several nicer places at slopeside which are just out of what I'm willing to spend, frankly, but I prefer to spend my money on food. Spicy Sports (right next to it) is a good rental place, but there are several other options in the area I don't know as well. Food (again, on the Whistler/Blackcomb side of things - have no experience of the Creekside area): Really good BBQ place inside the Fairmont. Casual, almost cafeteria-style but upscale. Fills up quickly. Sometimes has live music. Harajuki Izakaya is great. 21 Steps is also a really nice spot. Splurge dinner at the Fairmont Chalet, fondue for everyone (the restaurant is the summer golf club - need to walk or shuttle to it from the main ski town area). Dubh Linn Gate is ok, nice to sit outside if it's a sunny day. Peaked Pies is good for grab and go. Pizzeria Antico is a nice spot, good pizza, but doesn't take reservations and can be a mess because of it unless you get there early. Pasta Lupino is also solid, but the spot is tiny, and sitting next to the door can be unpleasant. In that same area, Tandoori Grill is actually pretty good, though they seem to have an issue getting the food out if there is a ton of take-out also happening. High Mountain Brewing is ok - oddly small selection of beer for a Brewery, but there's plenty on the food menu to please almost anyone. I'm there over President's day next month and have reservations already lined up a month ago for almost every night. Otherwise, places get packed quickly. The BC Liquor store is really decent - nice selection of wine and hooch.
  16. Avignon is great in and of itself, but it's also a convenient gateway to some truly spectacular bits in Provence - Gigondas (30min drive), lavender fields around Sault (1hr), the spectacular Vaison-le-Romain (1hr, go straight to the upper older medieval town). Not that he's my first choice, but Rick Steves has a nice circular driving/sightseeing tour in that area which is pretty spot on. Or you could get lost and find your own corner of heaven (Bedoin, Villes-sur-Auzon). Wander. Eat. Drink.
  17. Agree with 6th - that's prime location. Stay at the Huntington if you are just with your wife (the suites are relatively cheap, frankly). Big 4 is like stepping back in time - great space, good food, way off the tourist radar (relatively) for some reason.
  18. PG&E says, ‘Nah. Overrated’.
  19. Lava come down soft and hot You better lava me now or lava me not https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cbzIVR1OaAY Lots of things in the world I want to see, some of them probably a little dangerous. Walking on an active volcano not on the list.
  20. If you’re going to try and go medieval, don’t f with the Poles. Lukasz for the win.
  21. Mike Leach calls out his team
  22. ...which is why a lot of people I know who move from sprawling, inexpensive Texas don't last long here. And it's far worse now in many ways than it was when we moved 16 years ago.
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