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Skipper

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Skipper

  1. This. I get that Stroh sucks but Neto has had every chance. I mean even if he is 'better' clearly not significantly better or he would be starting. it's beyond obvious our interior OL is just sub par.
  2. Once again, you completely miss the point. You really do suck at logic and analysis (and aren't the only one). OU may very well lose 4 or 5 (or more) games and it is completely moot. But nobody here is "predicting" the rest of the season dude. This is solely looking at statistical probability and analysis for a single game in October. If OU's goal is the playoff, and you have an injured QB that hasn't practiced and only slightly improves your chance of winning compared to playing a healthy backup, there is more upside to playing your backup because it's essentially a free roll in a scenario where you only lose 2 or 3 games. In a hypothetical where OU goes 9-3 with a loss to Texas while playing a backup, I think very likely OU would get in under any possible scenario. That would require going 4-2 against SC, Ole Miss, TN, Bama, Mizzou and LSU with wins over Michigan and Auburn in their pocket.
  3. You realize Bama was 100% in last year at 9-3 with an SMU win over Clemson in the ACC championship right? But if you play out the exact same scenario as last year only adding the SOS additional criteria approved this year + a scenario where Milroe missed either Vandy or OU (giving the committee a chance to find an excuse for the loss), I'm extremely confident they would have gotten in over SMU. That is the analogy. JFC it's not that difficult to understand people.
  4. WTF are you even talking about. There are solid odds a 9-3 SEC team will get in any given year. Actually, thanks for further proving my point. Because in a hypothetical world where Milroe gets hurt last year and they lose to either Vandy or OU WHILE their starting QB is injured, that would probably be enough of a justification for the committee to slot them ahead of SMU. Hell they may have gotten the nod over SMU based solely on changes to the criteria this year. It's kind of amazing to me how little people apparently understand or pay attention to the playoff process.
  5. Again. FSU is not a relevant comparison. At all. Jordan Travis was hurt at the end of the season and unavailable for the playoffs. We're talking about missing a couple of games in October. JFC.
  6. I'm just saying a 9-3 OU team with a loss to Texas with Mateer playing will be viewed differently than a 9-3 OU team with a Texas loss and no Mateer. That would be a huge talking point when evaluating similarly ranked teams. To be clear, I'm working off the assumption Mateer would be playing less than 100%, be less effective and/or more likely to re-injure if he plays that soon after surgery. Obviously if that isn't the case then he starts, but that just doesn't seem very likely.
  7. You are completely missing my point if you think '23 Florida State is relevant at all to a game the 2nd weekend in October.
  8. I don't think there is any chance that he plays. It's a free roll for OU (from a playoff committee perspective) and Venables (from a job preservation perspective). Nobody is going to blame OU if they lose without Mateer and of course Texas won't get any credit if they beat OU without their heisman candidate. Of course, if OU wins regardless, then everyone pretty much plugs them in as a playoff team and championship contender. So why would OU risk playing an injured player without real practice time when they have little downside and significant upside letting him heal? Even as dumb as most Sooners are, this one seems too obvious to me no matter how much we all hear he's planning to play, gametime decision etc. etc. the next 10 days.
  9. Yep. 40+ on that defense in the Swamp would be shocking based on what we've seen this year. I'm currently thinking something like horns 23-16.
  10. Not expecting this to be an easy game at all here. I expect FL to play desperate coming out of a bye week and there is a lot of talent on that squad.
  11. I came across a link to Napier's press conference and listened to a bit of it. Man he does not exude confidence. Say what you want about Sark's flaws but he is solid in a press conference and that is obvious when you hear some of the other guys. Biggest takeaway from the chunk I listened to is I definitely expect them to take more deep shots this week. Seemed like a point of emphasis.
  12. If I recall, they tried to do what Baylor did against us (and almost came back and won) in the Briles era after they went to their 3rd or 4th string (running wildcat with a skill position player). I figured that was coming in the week leading up to it. Clearly didn't surprise the staff either. The actual backup that year may have been the worst QB I've ever seen take a snap at OU although Hawkins wasn't that much better last year. Kent St. will actually be interesting to watch to see if he's developed at all as a passer. I'm sure they will try to get him plenty of live throwing reps regardless of the score. No doubt OU knows that if they don't have a passing threat against us they are fucked.
  13. Kiffin has tried to leave Ole Miss but for a better 'scene'. He really wanted the Miami job per coaching circles. Doubt Gainesville does much for him compared to Oxford.
  14. So basically what anyone with a brain would have expected the reaction to be from grieving parents. So fucking tone deaf and frankly grossly incompetent as well if they were hoping to avoid lawsuits. As posted above, if some parents were on the fence about suing that should tip them over. To announce reopening without even consulting with parents of the girls that were killed is beyond ridiculous. See quote from article below. Had you paused to reflect — or simply consulted with any one of our families — you might have spared grieving families the additional anguish your decisions now cause. Instead, your communications have only intensified our grief."
  15. First time I've watched Kimmel in years last night. I was kind of surprised they let him go all in. I'm sure Jimmy told them he was going to have his say or wasn't doing the show. Was pretty solid.
  16. This is exactly what I told my wife this morning as well. My lawsuit would be on the record before weeks end. Reminds me of the Aggy bonfire traditionalists that wanted to keep that going the next year.
  17. Don't start your shit over on this board too.
  18. I mean he was half a yard away from the 4 team playoffs in 2021 which is probably closer than any other coach is going to be able to get them in the expanded playoffs for the foreseeable future. It worked pre NIL era. Not so much now.
  19. Will be interested to hear details on this. It's clear this was his last year regardless. But I think he earned the right to coach the rest of the season and announce a mutual separation on his own terms (with understanding coaching search is underway). I mean that's basically what happened with Patterson right? Or maybe I'm misremembering. In any event, I wondered if they offered that up and he told them to pound sand and fire him (and they obliged).
  20. Skipper

    Florida Gators

    I mean who knows what eligibility even means anymore. I saw a blurb Pavia posturing to sue for yet another year. I'm a huge fan of what some have proposed (and I'm pretty sure Sark endorsed in one of the press conferences) of 5 years of eligibility period. No RS concept. Everyone gets 5 years max from the time they step foot on campus.
  21. Why are we worried about Arkie 2 months from now? Pittman may very well be fired by then. That team will probably implode if they can't upset ND this week. Memphis loss looked every bit to be a program killer after the prior week. Inexcusable loss. Really no point looking ahead to anyone but Florida and OU (considering we won't learn anything more about OU before we play). Every other team on our schedule has big games ahead of them before we match up.
  22. Skipper

    Florida Gators

    Pretty interesting situation and I'm curious with your insight on NIL contracts. It's common knowledge UF ponied up bigtime to keep him after last season. Surely teams are protecting against "voluntary redshirts" 4 games in right? How do they typically do that? Because I know you can't structure it as "pay for play" and obviously no player is going to sign anything (even if legal) that is contingent on being healthy. But surely that contract somehow protects against a player voluntarily sitting after a shitty start to retain eligibility and portal out next year. Wonder if he is trying to take the position (via the walking boot) that he's injured and can't play. That might could work for a week or 2 but not the rest of the season. The other interesting issue from Lagway's perspective is that his value in the market next year has surely taken a hit. Of course, if he doesn't trust the offense, I guess he can take the position in portal negotiations that he was never healthy and it was really Billy's offense (rather than his awful decision making) that resulted in poor performance.
  23. Completely agree. We are an afterthought right now. If we play shitty (or god forbid lose) to Florida we won't hear the end of it, but we also will get zero credit for a solid win. I don't really see a scenario where OU isn't the trendy pick heading into that game and dominating most of the talk. Our guys will hear from coaching staff all week OU has been prepping for them for 3 weeks straight (which is true). I like that narrative heading into that game. Of course, need to take care of Florida first.
  24. Skipper

    Florida Gators

    I assume ABC has the rights to Miami/FSU right? That will almost certainly be the ABC primetime game. I'm guessing Bama/Vandy gets ABC 2:30 and we get the ESPN night game but guess we'll find out tomorrow.
  25. I was watching at the tailgate without sound. How did they reconcile the 2 catch no-catch calls? I thought they should have both probably been a catch but I don't see how both of those were reversed from the call on the field when they look pretty much like the same play. "Sooner Magic" indeed.
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