Once again, you completely miss the point. You really do suck at logic and analysis (and aren't the only one). OU may very well lose 4 or 5 (or more) games and it is completely moot. But nobody here is "predicting" the rest of the season dude. This is solely looking at statistical probability and analysis for a single game in October. If OU's goal is the playoff, and you have an injured QB that hasn't practiced and only slightly improves your chance of winning compared to playing a healthy backup, there is more upside to playing your backup because it's essentially a free roll in a scenario where you only lose 2 or 3 games. In a hypothetical where OU goes 9-3 with a loss to Texas while playing a backup, I think very likely OU would get in under any possible scenario. That would require going 4-2 against SC, Ole Miss, TN, Bama, Mizzou and LSU with wins over Michigan and Auburn in their pocket.