Jump to content

drt

Certifiably Surly
  • Posts

    1157
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by drt

  1. It's not in the margin of error. Texas is significantly fatter than NY, NJ, MASS etc, as are most southern states. Has been a trend as long as the CDC has been keeping stats on it. I'm not sure what your hard on for the NE is, but I don't agree that our current surge in Texas was always going to hit these numbers. We fucked up by not mandating masks and keeping reasonable social distancing restrictions in place, and then doubled down by moving through reopening stages at a fast enough rate that it wasn't possible to quantify the effects of the changes we made.
  2. End by July? "Normal" days in the Fall?
  3. Technically, the entire country has plenty. But the south has more, percentage wise.
  4. Dude, the south has all the fat fucks. People in the NE that live in cities with mass transit actually walk on a daily basis, compared to the walmart electric cart riders we have down here. And really? Because it seems pretty obvious that the curve leveled off for a few months in response to the SIP, even if it didn't start to go down. And in those months we not only stockpiled medical supplies, we learned how better to treat the virus, and knocked down serious outbreaks in parts of the country rather than trying to have the whole country go through the outbreak at the same time. It's not the northeast's fault we didn't learn to mask up and keep social distancing after the SIP was lifted.
  5. No idea. All of this is a shitshow.
  6. https://www.kxan.com/news/education/aisd-teachers-union-to-call-for-100-online-learning-this-fall-at-11-a-m-press-conference/ Cliff's notes, they want 2 more months before F2F classes resume.
  7. You better hope we're not. 3 million cases thus far over 4 months, and we're still watching the Texas numbers like a hawk hoping that hospitals don't get overwhelmed. In a country of 330 million people we'd need millions more cases to reach herd immunity. I don't understand how you think this works out from a numbers standpoint.
  8. Probably better for the medical thread, but it's not the first corticosteroid to be used for treatment, dexamethasone being another one. And somehow I don't think an anti-inflammatory is going to be the thing that cures this virus. It's just another tool that works for some patients better than others. Plus, any doc that thinks he's found a self described "silver bullet" after one patient probably would be practicing medicine in the Permian Basin.
  9. I stopped looking because I had the same experience.
  10. Immunity to other Coronaviruses commonly lasts between 8-15 months from what I've seen reported. So it's probably more correct to say the assholes will probably have a while before they spread it again.
  11. Ah ok, I get what you're looking at now. I just don't trust the most recent data in that chart as being indicative of much with testing and reporting delays being what they are now. For all we know we could have a huge catch up day on Tuesday and the trend would be wrecked. If we make it to the end of the week and the trend line on new cases is still pointing down, I'll probably be more hopeful we're on the right track. I'm really hoping the hospitalization rates start to level off more than anything.
  12. ? https://austincovidcount.com/ doesn't indicate that at all, unless I'm misunderstanding
  13. drt

    Austin FC

    We're in 310, mixed group of friends and family. Can't wait.
  14. God fucking damnit this is the texas thread. Take this shit to the general thread or the CR thread.
  15. Family friends own an auto shop in San Antonio. One employee called in sick with covid symptoms last week, they shut down and had everyone get tested. All the shop guys working on the vehicles were negative. Every single office employee tested positive. Indoors in close proximity seems to be the worst. I don't know if they had masks on in the office or not.
  16. Honestly it's a fucked up thing to put your kid through.
  17. ABGB? Or did he just post on TOS?
  18. Sorry, sarcasm meter broken.
  19. Well, the city was always doing this for people who don't have a doctor, are under/not insured, or would normally seek care at an ER. You know as well as I that those of us with college degrees and professional jobs can work the system to get tested if we want to. Look at the zip codes where this is spreading rapidly, and look at the demographics of people admitted to the hospitals. Those people aren't flying to Colorado to get a test.
  20. Perhaps you missed the recent announcement. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.kvue.com/amp/article/news/health/coronavirus/coronavirus-testing-limited-austin/269-d38094c1-3c7c-45a6-9119-34463130cc19
  21. Assuming you've tested everyone in FL and the 110k total cases is correct, sure. Same thing happens with other respiratory viruses, it's impossible to quantify how many people aren't experiencing major symptoms and don't get tested.
  22. Just go read the article I linked https://ncase.me/covid-19/ as it actually has data simulations for those very factors you mention.
  23. https://ncase.me/covid-19/ If you've got time this explains it better than I ever could. TLDR: if it behaves like other coronaviruses and immunity lasts 8-12 months, 25% of herd immunity just makes us yo-yo through cases indefinitely until we get a vaccine. but life goes on.
  24. I think 20-25% of seretological studies are showing antibodies in NY/NJ. That isn't near enough for herd immunity.
×
×
  • Create New...