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bolverk

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Posts posted by bolverk

  1. This is NOT a story about media bias but one in which there's a discussion with how the media landscape might change if Trump loses the election. According to this article, the MSM has been putting off changes in ownership and how they embrace new technology because of the president's constant attention toward them has raised their profiles and has helped them remain relevant.

    Also, look for the link to an Easter Egg at the end for something to help distract and calm you over the next couple of days.

    It’s the End of an Era for the Media, No Matter Who Wins the Election
    Trump made the legacy media great again. Here’s what’s next for them.

    There’s a media phenomenon the old-time blogger Mickey Kaus calls “overism”: articles in the week before the election whose premise is that even before the votes are counted, we know the winner — in this case, Joe Biden.

    I plead guilty to writing a column with that tacit premise. I spent last week asking leading figures in media to indulge in the accursed practice of speculating about the consequences of an election that isn’t over yet. They all read the same polls as you do and think that President Trump will probably lose.

    But many leaders in news and media have been holding their breaths for the election — and planning everything from retirements to significant shifts in strategy for the months to come, whoever wins. President Trump, after all, succeeded in making the old media great again, in part through his obsession with it. His riveting show allowed much of the television news business, in particular, to put off reckoning with the technological shifts — toward mobile devices and on-demand consumption —  that have changed all of our lives. But now, change is in the air across a news landscape that has revolved around the president.

    And given the jittery pre-election timing, I’ll try to keep these items short so you can check Nate Silver’s Twitter feed in between reading them.

    Spoiler

     

    The News Business After Trump
    Before the 2016 election, Andrew Lack, then the head of NBC News, warned colleagues that MSNBC’s revenue would take a 30 percent hit if — when — Hillary Clinton was elected, two people familiar with the remark told me. (After the debacle in 2016, few in the media wanted to be quoted speculating about what happens after the election.)

    Well, TV sure dodged that bullet! CNN’s chief, Jeff Zucker, later told his Los Angeles bureau that Mr. Trump had bought the declining business four more years, a person who was there recalled. (A spokesman for CNN said that Mr. Zucker would not have speculated on future ratings.) And it has been a profitable time for cable news, a record-breaking year for political books and, generally, a bonanza for the legacy media that live rent-free in the president’s head.

    That may be ending. MSNBC and other outlets that thrived on resistance to Mr. Trump may see their audiences fade, said Ken Lerer, a veteran investor and adviser to old media and new, who also predicted that The New York Times would “cool off” as you, dear reader, find other things to do.

    And the people who continue to pay attention to the news will stay online.

    “The pandemic has advanced digital by four or five years and it will not go back to what it was,” Mr. Lerer said.

    In corporate media, that means what Cesar Conde, the new chairman of the NBCUniversal News Group, has been calling an “omnichannel” strategy, as brands like MSNBC no longer see themselves primarily as television. For new outlets, it’s an opportunity to press their advantage of being native to this new world.

    “Many media organizations have spent the past four years generally failing to adapt to a campaign, a president, a White House and an administration that is extremely online,” said Stacy-Marie Ishmael, the editorial director of the nonprofit Texas Tribune. “We are only, four years in, getting to grips with how to contend with rhetorical techniques, messaging and communications steeped in misinformation and propaganda.”

    Others predicted a deeper cultural shift — from Stephen Colbert’s biting satire back to the sillier Jimmy Fallon, from politics back to entertainment, whenever the studios can get production running again. But some veterans of the business of politics doubt that news coverage can really calm down — or that consumers can look away.

    “If Biden is elected, conservatives will be energized, not retreating,” said Eric Nelson, the editorial director of Broadside Books, HarperCollins’s conservative imprint. “Trump will keep tweeting, and new scandals from his presidency will keep unfolding for well into 2022. By the time that all chaos and nonsense runs out, Trump could be running again for 2024.”

    A Wave of Retirements
    You aren’t the only one just barely hanging on until Election Day. Most of the top leaders of many name-brand American news institutions will probably be gone soon, too. The executive editor of The Los Angeles Times, Norm Pearlstine, is looking to recruit a successor by the end of the year, he told me. Martin Baron, the executive editor of The Washington Post, just bought a house out of town and two Posties said they expected him to depart next year. He hasn’t given notice, The Post’s spokeswoman, Kristine Coratti Kelly, said. And the executive editor of The New York Times, Dean Baquet, is on track to retire by the time he turns 66 in 2022, two Times executives told me, dampening speculation that he might stay longer.

    Over in big TV, Mr. Zucker, of CNN, has signaled that he’s frustrated with WarnerMedia, and broadcast television is overflowing with speculation about how long the network news chiefs will stay on, though no executives have suggested imminent departures. “Everyone is assuming there’s going to be turnover everywhere, and everyone is absolutely terrified about who is going to come in,” one television industry insider said.

    This isn’t just the usual revolving door. Newsroom leaders face strong pulls in conflicting directions. Outlets all along the spectrum, from the staid BBC to the radical Intercept, have been moving to reassert final editorial control over their journalists. But newsroom employees — like a generation of workers across many industries — are arriving with heightened demands to be given more of a say in running their companies than in years past. New leaders may find opportunities to resolve some of the heated newsroom battles of the last year, or they may walk into firestorms.

    Mr. Pearlstine, the only one talking openly of his departure, told me that the new “metrics for success might be different as well — issues such as inclusiveness, such as being anti-racist, such as really commanding some new platform, be it podcasts or video or newsletters, in addition to having journalistic credentials.”

    And, he said, the old top-down newsroom management is a thing of the past. “Consent of the governed is something you have to take pretty seriously,” he said.

    Wesley Lowery, a CBS News correspondent who has been a voice for more diverse and politically engaged journalism, said he had already seen signs of change.

    “These big institutions very rarely come out and announce some big sweeping change — they say, ‘We’re not changing,’ and they change,” he said. “Even people who made a big deal about how the rebels were wrong are now conceding to the things we all wanted.”

    Fox News on Autopilot
    The right-wing cable channel has been riding high as the quasi-official White House network, though it has always been at its strongest when it’s attacking Democrats — who seem poised to take power.

    But the approaching election has executives around Lachlan Murdoch, Fox’s chief executive, preparing to battle on several fronts: with left-wing critics, with what senior executives fear could be regulatory retribution from Democrats and perhaps most of all from James Murdoch, Lachlan’s more liberal brother and critic, according to a person familiar with the company’s plans.

    And Lachlan Murdoch ends the election cycle as he began it: with no real control of the network’s high-profile talent and an unusually low profile for a figure of his nominal political power. One data point: a surprised patron of the Midtown power lunch spot Estiatorio Milos in late October reported overhearing Mr. Murdoch politely spelling his name to a hostess who didn’t recognize him.

    The Attention Wars
    The battles over speech and censorship, the sociologist Zeynep Tufekci tweeted recently, are becoming “attention wars.” As recently as last week, senators were dragging in tech executives to complain about individual tweets, but the arguments are about to turn more consequential. The platforms are increasingly being pushed to disclose how content travels and why — not just what they leave up and what they take down.

    “We’re in this brave new world of content moderation that’s outside the take-down/leave-up false binary,” said Evelyn Douek, an expert on the subject and a lecturer at Harvard Law School.

    In practice, Twitter, Facebook and the other big platforms are facing two sources of pressure. The first is from Australia and the European Union, where Germany has become the latest to push toward tight copyright restrictions.

    “We are now at an inflection point with the digital platforms,” Rod Sims, the chairman of the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, told me in an email. “The tide has turned all around the world as governments and antitrust enforcers now see the size of the challenge ahead.”

    The second source of pressure is the United States, where President Trump has pushed to repeal or revise Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, which protects platforms from being liable for what they publish while allowing them to moderate content. Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, a co-author of the 1996 law who would head the powerful Finance Committee if Democrats take control of the Senate, said he was skeptical that changes to Section 230 would actually stop misinformation or what conservatives claim is censorship. And he noted that Facebook’s chief executive, Mark Zuckerberg, has said he supports some revisions, too.

    “He made his money, and now he wants to pull up the ladder behind him,” Senator Wyden said in an interview on Saturday. “The fact that Facebook, of all companies, is calling for changes to 230 makes you say, ‘Wait a second.’” Mr. Wyden said his priority when it comes to big tech in the new Congress would be privacy legislation.

    The media’s internal conflicts, meanwhile, play out on Twitter and, increasingly, on Substack, a newsletter platform where large audiences are paying for work by anti-Trump conservatives and iconoclastic voices on the left, who were joined last week by Glenn Greenwald, the national security journalist and free speech advocate who helped found The Intercept and quit in a dispute over whether his work should be edited.

    Another way of looking at Substack is as a kind of Twitter Premium — a place you can pay for more content from your favorite journalists. And that synergy has caught the attention of some at Twitter itself, where the notion of acquiring the newsletter company has been discussed internally, a person familiar with the conversations said. (Executives at both companies declined to comment on the speculation, but after this column was published, Hamish McKenzie, a co-founder of Substack, tweeted that a sale to Twitter was “not going to happen.”)

    But it’s not clear whether Substack will continue to be the venue of choice for all of its stars. Mr. Greenwald wrote that he’d been exploring “the feasibility of securing financing for a new outlet” that would challenge what he sees as the “groupthink” of the left in the Trump era. And roiling anger in Silicon Valley with tough media coverage of companies and investments means there are deep pools of money for a new assault on big media.

    “There’s going to be a surge of money after the election, especially from tech bros who think they can fix everything,” said one of the Substack writers who has drawn interest from tech investors.

    Staying Sane for the Next 48 Hours
    Nothing good will come of reading political news, much less Twitter, between now and the election. Election week is usually a good time to hide out at the movies, but with theaters closed, you’ll have to find escape elsewhere. Two favorites: The Times’s brilliant Election Distractor on the web; and for your Kindle, Malka Older’s Centenal Cycle, a bit of high-concept political sci-fi that will prepare you for many of the coming tech and political battles.

    On election night, however, come to Twitter for the jokes and stay for what is really one of the highlights of American democracy, such as it is: the reassuringly sophisticated, nerdy and nonpartisan vote-counting conversation that you can listen in on among the likes of Mr. Silver, Nate Cohn, Ariel Edwards-Levy and Brandon Finnigan.

     

     

  2. 47 minutes ago, Bama Chick said:

    Is this the Rangers?
     

     

    41 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

    They’re part of the DPS, but I doubt they’d investigate this.

     

    31 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    Cutler 

    Yup to Bozo's comment.

    Quote

     

    The Texas Ranger Division is the primary criminal investigative branch of the Texas Department of Public Safety.  Examples of investigations can include:

    • Murder, robbery, sexual assault, burglary, theft and fraud
    • bank fraud
    • theft by credit card and computer generated counterfeit checks
    • misuse of criminal history information
    • misconduct and corruption of public officials
    • threats against the governor and other state and federal officials  
    • missing persons, parental abductions, questionable deaths and unidentified bodies

     

    •  

    https://www.dps.texas.gov/TexasRangers/rangerresponsibilities.htm

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  3. 6 hours ago, Degenerate Gardner said:

    The Civil War chess pieces will be much fatter this time around.

    I'd just like to interject that I still own the Civil War chess set from the Franklin Mint that my parents got for me in the 5th or 6th grade. /csb

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  4. 12 minutes ago, CooterBrown said:

     


    I’d guess it doesn’t mean dick what rural counties do. Urban and suburban counties ARE Texas. The rural counties would have to be damn near 100% GOP to even dent Harris County’s Dem lean.

     

    Agreed. You may recall this map I posted a week or so ago, showing that the combined population of all these red counties is about equal to that of Harris (blue) alone. So, the fact that their turnout hasn't been so great to date could spell a lot of trouble for the GOP unless either a) they turnout at an incredible rate on Tuesday or b) the GOP has a lot more voters in the suburbs than we think.

    Texas-Population-Distribution.png

    I'm not going to count my chickens before they hatch, but it's this factor that tells me this election should be really close in Texas.

     

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  5. The map below is based off data taken from the Texas Secretary of State Election Return webpage, showing the early voting turnout for each county in Texas. Incredibly, McCulloch County (Brady) recorded a turnout of 92%. That's the one at the dead center of the state (they don't call themselves the "Heart of Texas" for nothing. No other county registered a 75% or greater turnout and none were lower than 25%. I scaled the map between those two percentages because McCulloch kind of screwed up the county shading and made it difficult to determine small differences in turnout.

    turnout.png

    More or less, the big metros with their suburbs and exurbs were overachievers, except for the Valley and El Paso. The Hill Country did really well. West and South Texas performed pretty poorly overall, and East Texas was kind of meh. If it's true that the 'burbs are indeed turning from Red to Blue, I think this bodes fairly well, unless the vast expanses of rural Texas come out like crazy on Tuesday.

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  6. 7 hours ago, Mitch Cumsteen said:

     


    1.APD.11197716.001.jpg

    11197716 EHLERS BERNICE 2019522 10/16/2020 2300-0 PUBLIC INTOXICATION

    No direct mutuals but quite a few friends of friends.

    15037160_10154628142987295_1420220258613030589_n.jpg?_nc_cat=105&ccb=2&_nc_sid=09cbfe&_nc_ohc=pdLbnxH1UKYAX-l2xQo&_nc_ht=scontent-dfw5-1.xx&oh=43f83a3e04b5c4b4d1b1e982239dd4eb&oe=5FC344D9

    https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=10154628142987295&set=a.433993102294

    Berenice Craig was born in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, and moved to the U.S. at the age of 5. After spending time living in Germany with her military family, her family settled in the nearby community of New Braunfels, TX. Bere went on to study psychology at Southwest Texas State University, a place she considered her second home, as both her parents were employed on campus.

    Following graduation, Berenice pursued a career in marketing and PR, but soon switched track into the medical sales industry, where she went on the work for Eli Lilly, Barr Labs & most recently, Stryker- gaining a 15+ year track history in the sales and marketing realm.

    She is married to Jason Craig, a physician with Capitol Anesthesiology Association, and together they are raising three amazing daughters: Alex (15), Michaela (6) & Kennedy (2). 

    Participating in philanthropic and community service endeavors play a significant role in Berenice's time.  She is presently serving on the Boards of the TCMA and Volunteer Healthcare Clinic, and is also an active member of the Junior League of Austin.  

    In her spare time, Bere enjoys reading, dancing, and spending time with her family.

    https://www.tcmalliance.org/bmcraig

     

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  7. Finally got the damn thing done about 45 minutes ago at the Bee Cave City Hall. Climbed the stairs, walked directly to the ID check, received my ballot, and voted.

    Zero wait. It was glorious, and I walked out of there proudly wearing my Yo Voté sticker knowing I'd done my bit.

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  8. Haven't been too active lately the past week and don't know if this has been posted elsewhere so SIAP. It seems fitting here though and is a pretty fucking disturbing demonstration of what is currently possible. Gawd knows what it'll be like in 10 years.

     

    The ‘South Park’ Guys Break Down Their Viral Deepfake Video
    In an interview, Trey Parker, Matt Stone and their collaborator Peter Serafinowicz discuss the back story of “Sassy Justice,” their deepfake video that used images of President Trump and others.

    Like so many other things on the internet, the viral video “Sassy Justice” seemed too good to be true when it started showing up on television and then on the internet earlier this week. Presented as a local news broadcast from a station in Cheyenne, Wyo., the video is hosted by a reporter named Fred Sassy, who appears to be a dead ringer for President Trump — if he wore a cheap suit and a white wig and spoke with a campy accent.

    Sassy conducts what he claims is an interview with Al Gore and spars with the unscrupulous owner of a dialysis center, who looks an awful lot like Mark Zuckerberg. All the while, he warns of the dangers of deepfakes: sophisticated computer-generated images that have been manipulated to look like familiar people engaging in actions that never happened and speaking words they never uttered.

    Of course, “Sassy Justice” itself is an elaborate series of deepfakes — starting with its host — designed to mock leaders and celebrities while calling out the risks that such videos pose to our understanding of truth and reality.

    And although its creators did not immediately identify themselves when it first appeared, the video is the handiwork of experienced satirists: Trey Parker and Matt Stone, the creators of “South Park,” and Peter Serafinowicz, the actor and voice artist.

    As these collaborators explained in a recent video call, “Sassy Justice” is partly their attempt to educate their viewers about deepfakes and demystify a potentially terrifying subject.

    Spoiler

     

    “Before the big scary thing of coronavirus showed up, everyone was so afraid of deepfakes,” Stone said. “We just wanted to make fun of it because it makes it less scary.”

    The project is also their way of immersing themselves in the technology — to see what it can do as an art form and also to salvage the investment they made in a deepfake feature film that was shelved as the pandemic spread.

    As Parker said, “It really is this new form of animation for people like us, who like to construct things on a shot-by-shot level and have control over every single actor and voice. It’s a perfect medium for us.”

    Serafinowicz, a star of TV shows like “The Tick” and “Miracle Workers” and of films like “Shaun of the Dead,” has also built a formidable roster of celebrity impressions he has performed on British sketch shows and political satires.

    But the voice of President Trump, he said, has proved difficult to master. “Paradoxically, for somebody who’s so exaggerated, it’s almost impossible to do an accurate impression of him, Serafinowicz said. “There are so many enigmas wrapped up in that man.”

    Taking a different approach, Serafinowicz created a series of viral videos in which he replaced Trump’s voice with various stock accents and voices he performed, including Sophisticated Trump, Cockney Trump and Sassy Trump.

    He also started experimenting with his own deepfake videos, though he found it difficult at first to find reputable instructors on the internet. “There’s a little community of deepfakers who were almost exclusively using it to put celebrities in porn videos,” he said. (Eventually he found more conscientious trainers and learned to use open-source code.)

    Serafinowicz (who has voiced characters on “South Park”) began working with Parker and Stone on a script for a full-length deepfake movie; in the spirit of comedies like “The Great Dictator” and “Dave,” it would chronicle Fred Sassy, a mild-mannered character who looks like Trump and who accidentally gets drawn into the president’s administration.

    The filmmakers — who financed the project independently with the intention of finding a distributor later — created a studio they called Deep Voodoo and hired a staff of about 20 deepfake artists and technicians. They began preliminary work on the film earlier this year, hoping to finish it before the presidential election and before Parker and Stone had to start new episodes of “South Park.”

    Only a few days of preliminary filming were completed when the pandemic forced a halt to the production in mid-March. “Everybody’s like, the Covid thing might delay us a week,” Stone recalled. “And we’re like, how are we going to survive that? We were already up against it.”

    After their shock and disappointment subsided, and after Serafinowicz hurried home to London, the three of them were determined not to let their time and energy go to waste. They had their deepfake crew, the Fred Sassy character and some props that had already been created for the film (like his news van, which had cost them $30,000) — why not create a TV show for him instead?

    With Parker in Los Angeles, Stone in New York and Serafinowicz in London, they spent the next several months remotely writing and producing the 15-minute “Sassy Justice” video, employing their deepfake artists to digitally graft famous faces onto footage they shot of themselves.

    They recruited their own family members into the project: Serafinowicz (whose characters include Fred Sassy, President Trump and Michael Caine) drafted his wife, the actress Sarah Alexander, to play Julie Andrews, while Parker (who plays Gore) cast his 7-year-old daughter, Betty, as an eerie, childlike version of Jared Kushner.

    Segments were rewritten and jokes were fine-tuned on the fly as the team continued to figure out the deepfake process. But when Parker got to see himself digitally altered to look like Al Gore, he said, “It was the first time I had laughed at myself in a long time.”

    Parker added: “I always hate watching myself. Even with ‘South Park,’ I have a perfect image of what it’s going to look like in my head all the time. But on this, there were moments where we felt like kids in our basement again.”

    To Parker and Stone, the experience also reminded them of “The Spirit of Christmas,” their 1995 homemade short film that became a viral sensation in a more primitive age of the internet and paved the way for “South Park.”

    Channeling that same energy, they paid to promote the “Sassy Justice” video this past weekend on Wyoming television (including a commercial on CBS’s broadcast of the NFL game between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs), on local radio, in the Wyoming Tribune Eagle newspaper and on billboards. None of these ads fully explained what “Sassy Justice” was.

    “You know there’s at least six or seven super-high people in Cheyenne who just lost their minds,” Parker said. “To us, it’s almost worth it.” He, Stone and Serafinowicz also tipped off a few close friends and industry peers about the video.

    Technology ethicists, public-policy advocates and journalists have been sounding the alarm bells on deepfakes for years, and Congress has held hearings on the subject amid concerns that the rapidly improving technology could be used to influence financial markets and elections, or otherwise threaten national security.

    (Keep this in mind as you’re watching a highly exaggerated sequence in “Sassy Justice” that presents a fake interview between Chris Wallace and President Trump, where the president appears to have a stroke and tells Wallace, “I’m a terrible person. I’ve led a horrible life.”)

    The “Sassy Justice” creators said that they trusted their audience to figure out what is real and what is manipulated, and to understand that everything in their video is offered to entertain, not to deceive.

    While they acknowledged the potentially treacherous power they have at their disposal, the creators said that their decisions are guided by whatever they think is funniest.

    “There is something anxiety-producing about it,” Stone said. “You could call it a moral question — we call it a comedy question. Just ripping something off and trying to fool somebody for more than a second, we have no interest in that.”

    Parker added, “What we want to do is put Mark Zuckerberg in a turkey suit.”

    Serafinowicz said that he thinks of deepfake technology as a high-tech form of makeup or costumes — simply another element that he can use to enhance his acting.

    When he performs one of his impersonations, Serafinowicz explained: “I imagine myself looking like the person that I’m doing. Now that’s become real. It’s like wearing the most realistic mask possible. When it works, it’s just startling. It’s like magic.”

    The “Sassy Justice” creators said they had spent “millions” of dollars to make the video, including the initial investments to produce the halted movie and set up the Deep Voodoo studio, though they declined to specify the exact cost. “It’s probably the single most expensive YouTube video ever made,” Parker said.

    Now that they have spent that money and created “Sassy Justice” as a proof of concept, they are considering what they will do next with the project, whether they return to their original film idea or continue to produce it as a television show.

    No matter who is president next year, Parker said that a “Sassy Justice” series could continue to lampoon “whatever’s going on in the world, although I think Trump will remain a great character for a long time, regardless.”

    In the meantime, Parker said, “We’re waiting for Steven Spielberg to call us and say, hey, we need your deepfake company to make my movie.”

     

     

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  9. 3 hours ago, Buzzrock said:

    Is there anywhere to watch coverage? None of the cable news stations seem to think this is worth covering and local Atlanta news isn’t ready to go wall-to-wall yet (but schools are canceled tomorrow).

    Youtubetv doesn’t have the weather channel.

    A little late to the thread, but this site has live Weather Channel for future reference. I assume you're a fellow cord cutter.

    https://www.livenewsnow.com/american/weather-channel.html

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  10. 8 minutes ago, Dr. Beeper said:

    Talking about transitioning away from crude when it is both abundantly plentiful (domestically) and very cheap is really silly. 

    I'd agree it'd be silly if the burning of fossil fuels wasn't directly responsible for the Global Warming. Price and availability are not the only factors; moreover, renewables are increasingly competitive on price and even more abundant. In fact, their energy sources are endless.

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  11. 7 minutes ago, burntorangebongos said:

    This right here is on tape. This right here is an evil said out loud. Maybe republicans like Jeff Sessions and Rob Rosenstein thought this was good policy to deter immigration, but it was evil and this fucking clown was sold to do it and he is so dumb he says this out loud as if it is GOOD. If you are going to perpetrate evil to further your world view, don't include clueless transactional idiots in the plan, fuckers!!!!  This right fucking here is why they have to go:

     

     

    I hate Trump as much as anyone but he said "go ahead", meaning he was agreeing to move on to the next question.

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  12. 11 minutes ago, elfenix said:

    i remember when exxon wanted to do this, found out climate change was real and then spent the next 40 years doubling down on lying about it. 

    so, no, fuck off. 

    BP was going with that and their rebranding back in the late 00s. They were using the tagline Beyond Petroleum. That marketing position got fucked with Deepwater Horizon.

  13. 14 minutes ago, JimmyJames said:

    I used to live in Midland

    Let me tell you something that is an absolute truth. O & G was always voting for Trump. Right down from the executives to the drivers, and the floorhands and everyone else. 

    Midland/Odessa turned republican in the 70s 50s way before anyone else did. They were true crusaders on that. 

    If you think Biden’s answer moves the needle well you are a moron. 

    You think the suburban wife in Round Rock gives a flying fuck about the oil industry? 

    Well if you do then you are special like Forrest Gump was. Hopefully your mom didn’t have to bang the principal to get you a good education. 

    FIFY

    (trying to get caught up)

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