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bolverk

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by bolverk

  1. 51 minutes ago, Captainant said:

     

    Scary to see law enforcement refuse to identify while wearing riot gear. Blocking accountability is a pretty clear bellwether for bad shit going down soon

     

    45 minutes ago, Casual Encounter said:

    What the actual fuck? How are citizens supposed to know who to obey? Is this shit really happening?

    Fat dude in the middle of the picture on the left sure looks like he has a Texas flag stitched to his green t-shirt. And this is DC?

  2. 23 minutes ago, Texas Jeff said:

    Travis County's website shows a breakdown by zip code and shows an ethnic breakdown of who is in the hospital.  Since April, the percentage of hospitalized that are Hispanic has risen and the number of cases in poorer zip codes is larger than counts in wealthier areas.  North Austin, south/southeast Austin, and Pflugerville have the largest counts.

    If that is true, then cases may be rising among folks that have to do physical labor to survive.  They are also the least able to afford masks or have healthcare.  A positive test means no work, which means no money.  We aren't set up as a society to give this population paid time off to let the virus burn out, and they are choosing to work and take their chances with COVID.

    If we could magically change the world tomorrow so that a positive test resulted in an automatic two week paid vacation for anyone, I think we would see the spread slow below the 1.0 rate and cases start to drop to zero.

     

    15 minutes ago, LebongJames said:

    That’s 100% what’s happening. I run sales and more of the office stuff for a mechanical contractor here in Austin. I used to go into the shop multiple times per week. I have not been in since early March.
     

    We have not slowed down. Our full time supervisors and production manager still go in but not in the morning rush. There is nothing we can do about the warehouse and subs picking up materials, they have to come to the shop every morning. We check temperatures daily and have provided masks. One thing. We have noticed as only one guy from a crew comes in because the don’t want to risk getting their temperatures taken and not be sent with work. We do SF so distancing on the job is fine. The real hot beds are the Mf and commercial jobs. The other thing is a lot of subs live with a lot of other essential workers and they are all still spreading out over the city and coming back home every night in crammed living situations.

    Both of these make a whole lot of sense and what I (and others) have been suspecting. Good posts and thanks for sharing.

  3. 3 minutes ago, bschoolprof said:

    Here's better data from the covid tracking project.  New cases in Texas are a close a proxy for the number of tests being conducted - compare the first 2 pictures. Hospitalizations are basically flat and deaths have fallen.  Not perfect, but manageable.  

    Your-State-Keys-3

     

    2 minutes ago, Telegraph_it said:

    You can't just look at daily positives. You need to also look at the number of tests being done as well. Also for some reason Texas mixes PCR and antibody tests results together which confuses the picture of how many new cases Texas really has. It seems NYT's might be taking the antibody number out of their results as they show 1,578 new cases vs 3,281 on the tableau site for 5/31.

    image.png

    https://public.tableau.com/profile/peter.james.walker#!/vizhome/COVID-19SeeYourState/YourStateKeys

     

    edit: @bschoolprof beat me to it. 

    I hope to God both of y'all are right that it's just the testing showing more cases.

  4. 14 minutes ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:


    Since there wasn’t mass death and case spikes with the mUh RiGhTs protests in early May, it’d have to be a different approach

    Hate to break it to you, but case counts have risen dramatically over the last week or so here in Texas. Yesterday, we recorded our highest one-day count of new infections throughout this entire ordeal. The data also seem to show early indications that deaths might be picking back up too. So take that for what it's worth.

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/texas-coronavirus-cases.html

  5. 2 minutes ago, Brew said:

    I read that particular post and it doesn’t even register as slightly political to me. I’m sure his posting history or the specific topic register it that way to you, but I saw your post and had to do a double take because I just read right by it initially. I think just because someone quotes a political source, uses some jargon that only the overly political people recognize, etc. doesn’t necessarily make it a CR’d political post.

    Maybe you didn't recognize it, but he knew exactly what he was doing. Just see is reaction to my pointing it out.

    • Like 1
  6. 4 minutes ago, Anastasis said:

    Looks like a wobble around memorial day weekend reporting of new cases? A series of down days bottoming out on memorial day, followed by a series of up days. Fatalities will be a better data point once they mature a bit.  And by close of the week, probably the last data points that can really contribute to discussion of the impact of reopening.  The massive protests in every major urban area over the last 6 days are going to start hitting the books soon, if they are not already impacting. 

    Fair point about a Memorial weekend slump. Clearly, the more important of the two charts is the fatalities, and it's hard to say if it'll rise significantly or not. Like you said, we should know in the next week or so.

  7. 1 hour ago, mchookem said:

    you guys talk a bunch of fancy math talk 😋😁

    i just want to know...is Texas fucked with the re-opening yet? or is it...kind of ok, we're weathering fairly well?

    i'm not really venturing outside our neighborhood, as i've been following the Austin zip code heat map, and 78757 hasn't had any significant increase in numbers in over a month.

    Unfortunately, the Texas case count has increased significantly over the last week or so. No huge spike in deaths yet, although they're beginning to rise too.

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/texas-coronavirus-cases.html

  8. On 5/23/2020 at 4:46 PM, Pato del Muerto said:

    Bored today so I started watching Hangar One:the ufo files. Holy shit the things on here. I’m just into episode 2 and already have heard:

    1)jfk was killed 10 days after issuing some ufo disclosure orders in order to prevent disclosure. 
    2) while drilling into the earth to build a “deep underground military base,DUMB” they accidentally dug into a fortified structure and upon entering got into a firefight with a bunch of large gray aliens that were there.  This is in 1995 I think.

    3) in a military expedition in Antarctica during ww2 a ufo fought with the nazi Germans and almost destroyed the us navy ships and only backed down when the navy retreated. 
     

    How could I not keep watching?

     

    On 5/23/2020 at 6:25 PM, Red Five said:

    I'm going to get drunk tonight and watch that. 

     

    23 hours ago, trza-hawk said:

    I have to second the recommendation of Hangar 1, total absurd nonsense, like they took all the wackos who weren't good enough for Ancient Aliens and gave them a show. Terrible tease editing mitigated by the streaming format. So much footage of guys in suits and sunglasses just folding their arms, the same hangar (or more than one hangar) that obviously isn't the group's headquarters shown over and over again. Single witness encounters presented as facts and proof of government conspiracy.

    If y'all are into cheesy alien shit, I'm going to have to recommend Hangar 18. It's a pretty terrible movie from 1980 filmed at the then recently closed air force base in my West Texas hometown when I was about 9 yo. From what I recall Gary Collins had a fling with a local MILF during its filming which was quite the scandal back in the day.

    The movie is so bad, you can watch the whole thing for free on YouTube:

     

  9. 1 hour ago, BearSchlong said:

    @bolverk periodically when I accidentally stumble into the cloakroom, I find it necessary to defend free speech, no matter how detestable the content.  Call my "like" one miniscule cheer for the 1st amendment.

    The last 2 books I read were Michelle Obama's "Becoming" and Dan Crenshaw's "Fortitude" - both of which I enjoyed immensely.  Especially the part where Dan recounts Barack Obama telling his daughters to go through life not actively looking for opportunities to be offended.

    I haven't listed to Rush Limbaugh in over 30 years, honestly I didn't realize he was still on the air.

    I get and respect that as a supporter of the First Amendment as well since it's, in my opinion, the most sacred and fundamental right we have. That said, free speech also has consequences. If others feel like he deserved it, that's no skin off my back.

    My personal policy on negging is to reserve it for intents to deceive or outright lies. Otherwise, I'll only challenge opinions and points of view that I disagree with.

    Yeah, I'll prop up someone who is being unfairly treated, but this guy came in to defend an unrepentant racist liar and who implicitly is denying shit happened by calling it a "narrative" as if it were some alternative reality. Please, make sure you see the overall context before supporting an asshole who just happens to generally be on your team or team adjacent.

    You're an actual, real human being to me, so it kind of caught me off guard. Sorry for calling you out. Thanks and much love.

    • Like 6
  10. 32 minutes ago, Turkleton said:

    I see the snowflakes are out today.  Always said this on the Shag, you neg in the CR you are a complete pussy. This is how I know if the civil war ever gets hot, it will be a short one.

    You’re implying a threat of violence to defend these statements:

    Barack the Magic Negro’ 

    "The NFL all too often looks like a game between the Bloods and the Crips without any weapons. There, I said it."

    "I think it's time to get rid of this whole National Basketball Association. Call it the TBA, the Thug Basketball Association, and stop calling them teams. Call 'em gangs."

    "Have you ever noticed how all composite pictures of wanted criminals resemble Jesse Jackson?" 

    "The NAACP should have riot rehearsal. They should get a liquor store and practice robberies." 

    Responding to a caller who said black people should have a greater voice on issues: "They are 12 percent of the population. Who the hell cares?" 

    [To an African American female caller]: “Take that bone out of your nose and call me back.”

    Think about that for a minute and what it says about you. And @BearSchlong it’s pretty fucked up that you feel the need to prop up this asshole.

  11. 1 hour ago, Grade of D as in David said:

    Being low to the ground is definitely an advantage when it comes to undercutting, but not sure if the wheels hurt him in the leverage department.

    Definitely an advantage, especially if pulled by horses. Really, the only defense is to lower shields and form a phalanx.

     

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
  12. 7 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

    On the dangers of secondhand smoking, and smoking in general: "That is a myth. That has been disproven at the World Health Organization and the report was suppressed. There is no fatality whatsoever. There's no even major sickness component associated with secondhand smoke. It may irritate you, and you may not like it, but it will not make you sick, and it will not kill you...Firsthand smoke takes 50 years to kill people, if it does. Not everybody that smokes gets cancer. Now, it's true that everybody who smokes dies, but so does everyone who eats carrots ... I would like a medal for smoking cigars, is what I'm saying."

    I'm pretty sure you can draw a direct link between this unscientific thinking on smoking to climate change denial and now Covid skepticism. It's like he picked up the mantle of his anti-evolution predecessors and ran with it to his famed golden toilet..

    Now, I will confess that I used to smoke back during Rush's 1990s heyday, because I was dumb and felt indestructible. I even picked it back up again after getting a divorce, because I was dumb and felt self-destructive. But, never for a moment, did I ever vocally express doubt that it was bad for me or think it wouldn't cause lung cancer or any other associated respiratory/cardiovascular ailments. That's just crazy talk.

    How many countless others though has he influenced to deny smoking is bad, pollution is killing the environment, or Covid is a hoax? It's got to be in the hundreds of thousands if not millions. And as any other white male Gen Xer Texan, I also ask myself how many of my formerly thoughtful, intelligent, and apolitical high school friends did he lead down the brain-dead ditto path to Fox News programming and today's Trumpism? Probably a lot.

    This motherfucker was (is) one of the biggest turds in the punch bowl who poisoned political discourse, social responsibility, and civic awareness in America during our lifetimes. So, yeah, I'm definitely not going to shed a tear when god decides to finally "Flush Rush."

    • Like 2
  13. Had to share a locker with a guy in the 6th grade who, after high school, ended up on death row for murdering his girlfriend and attempting to murder one of her friends who was pregnant at the time. It involved the slitting of throats, but it looks like his conviction may have been reduced and he is still alive.

    Being from a small town, I also kind of knew both victims but not very well.

    pols_naked-25039.jpeg

    ETA1: I want to say he had an emergency driver's certificate and started driving to school around the 7th grade.

    ETA2: My dad's dad was also murdered while fishing during the Great Depression a couple of months before my dad was born, but I don't know who did it for sure in spite of my suspicions. I think both my dad and I may have been named after the murderer.

    • Like 1
  14. 3 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    Texas.....between Norway and Finland.  You know what IS between Norway and Finland?  Pretty much jack shit (we looked at going to the point where Norway, Finland, and Sweden meet last summer.....then we realized it's in asscrack-nowhere, with nothing else around).

    Finland+sweden+and+norway+its+called+quo

    I mean, pretty views in the distance, but those are actually mediocre views compared with much of the rest of Norway.

    That's the Scandinavian equivalent of Terlingua minus the beer swilling goat.

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