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TheFlyingBoat

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Everything posted by TheFlyingBoat

  1. I commit to paying. Having some trouble getting cashapp to take my money
  2. Do you have venmo? I'd prefer not to set up another payment app just to send a hundo. If not that's fine I'll send tonight or tomorrow morning, whenever I remember
  3. 10000 dollars into PRPL calls cuz why not?
  4. Fauci has been the director of NIAID for like 45 years. He's literally the world preeminent epidemiologist. Not going to go further than that in the recruiting thread, but a dumb both sides post deserves a quick refutation.
  5. This is impressively regarded even for you
  6. In most cases I agree, but Standing Rule #10: "Fuck Jeff Fisher" overrules any objections I have to such petty shit.
  7. There's a special kind of camaraderie built when cramming in the ACA (portable in front of ENS as it was torn down). Probably different but also something that is shared by very few people.
  8. So proud of the men of our team, from the players to the coaches for all coming together in the best way possible to make positive change. Everyone seems to have left the table happy with what they got and Tom backed our players to the hilt and the players know it. Painter still needs its name changed, but damn am I glad RLM is gone as the name and the statue of Heman Sweatt is a positive step in the right direction.
  9. Sure. There are some differences in that Newsom has been consistently supporting public health officials, been pro-lockdown, etc. and was only forced by the political reality of an open rebellion by sheriffs and the stupid people of Southern California. The people of OC sent so many death threats to their health commissioner she quit out of fear for her family's lives. LA and OC just ignored the beach closure order and partied on beaches and no cops enforced the order. I'd say the governor did about as well as he could, while county and municipal governments in SoCal and the no man's land north of Sacramento managed to do worse than just about any county or municipal government in Texas. It's unsurprising the 6 worst counties of CA for rona are all in SoCal while NorCal is mostly comparatively ok. Not surprising as local government in CA is dumber than just about anywhere.
  10. You're right. When all these countries around the world closed everything for a couple months, wore masks, etc. for two months and managed to bring new cases per day to nearly 0 and only had one local maximum -- despite in almost all cases having higher pop density and more public transportation -- it had nothing to do with the masks, lockdown, contact tracing, etc. You're also right to point out that no one suffers any long term consequences from this. Either you die or you're fine after two weeks. Oh wait you're fucking stupid because masks, social distancing, and contact tracing all helped reduce spread AND plenty of people will suffer long term damage to their lungs and hearts for every one person that dies. If we hadn't opened early and handled it properly from the beginning we could be properly opening now like plenty of other countries.
  11. Jesus why is it every time I hear Okinawa and the US military it's the military embarrassing us. Fucking hell.
  12. Of course, I would love to be wrong and have competent leadership at the local, state, and federal leadership, but best case scenario in Texas one can hope for is the first. Then we also need to hope the people do the right thing and that's just not happening unfortunately. But yeah, if I could be wrong and COVID vanished tomorrow I'd jump for joy.
  13. Yet. The word you're missing is yet. We're not even in their league yet. With cases, hospitalizations, and deaths still all following an exponential curve we're likely not going see new cases per day level off for another week or so at best. Further, whenever the number of new cases per day levels off it will be far above what it is now. That means deaths per day probably won't level off for another two to three weeks and when it does it will also be significantly higher than it is now as well. Integrate the area under that curve to calculate the total deaths and you're looking at a high number.
  14. I'm so glad you kept talking. There's an old saying about it being better to keep quiet and let people think you're dumb than open your mouth and confirm it for everyone. Thank God you didn't heed that and confirmed you can't read, think or understand basic math. Now I know I should only waste my time on you if I want the lulz of hearing dumb shit like a full throated argument that the rate of incidence of x across the entire population multiplied by the total population isn't the total incidences in the population. Fucking brilliant.
  15. The Dems don't have an equivalent to ALEC. That's factually accurate. Every few years someone tries to make one and it dies within five years. Term limits don't solve corruption. They don't improve representation. It's a good fucking bumper sticker policy and that's it unless you have some good arguments to the contrary.
  16. Take a moving average to smooth out bumps and you'll see a pretty damn clear trend. The far right graph is daily new deaths from April 1st to July 11.
  17. Term limits aren't the answer because people staying in office too long isn't the primary issue. McCain, the old man he was, was far from the worst Republican in office. Patrick Leahy is far from the worst Democrat. Most of the crazies are relatively new and they are the ones who made disease control, basic national security, basic criminal justice, accountability, etc. and so much more political issues. I won't go too much into the politics side of it because this isn't the CR, but term limits won't solve it and will probably just give us a Republican Congress that is just made of Representatives and Senators that do whatever ALEC tells them too and a Democratic Congress that goes the way off whatever their equivalent is (they don't have one yet, but presumably a powerful one would finally stick the moment term limits passed). Truth be told the issue is more with the voters than anything else and this pandemic really opened my eyes to that fact. We really do have politicians that represent most Americans.
  18. Look at Texas, AZ, FL death numbers. They're exponentially increasing. This is fucking simple reading comprehension you lack.
  19. Mate do you understand how exponential work? Fucking hell man. Everyone who ever said case/death numbers are only x therefore it won't get to y level while staring at an exponential should be forced to retake algebra 2.
  20. No clue who this twitter guy is, but I do know anyone who believed this to be true for a second is a complete moron. California over the past five years has never had more suicides than 4500 with the range being between roughly 4000 on the low end and 4500 on the high end. If you believe that California somehow had roughly double the normal suicides in the two months between when lockdowns began (mid March) and when the article was written (mid May) as happen in a whole year, you're a special breed of moron. That is true of the writer of this article. That is true of the person who shared the article on Twitter (if you listen to someone this non-credible (based mostly on sharing this article unironically) I also have to question your intelligence for that alone). And that is true for you because you unironically shared the article here as though this was some brilliant own of epidemiologists and proof that morons on Facebook that believe in chemtrails and try to sell us on MLM shit (that we haven't unfriended for some reason) are the true geniuses. Nah, give me the epidemiologists over Randy from Vector and Karen from Mary Kay who both failed regular Biology and Chemistry and shitty articles from the Washington Examiner. Tl;dr: You're a moron, this twitter dude is a moron, the writer is a moron, anyone else who believed it is a moron, and people really need to pay attention in Bio/Chem more or at the very least trust the people that did.
  21. Nationwide drops in deaths is largely explained by the drops in deaths in NYC/NJ/elsewhere in NE overwhelming the rise of deaths in Texas/Florida/Arizona. Similar things were true two weeks ago when the drops in NYC/NJ/rest of NE became overwhelmed by the rise in cases/hospitalizations in TX/FL/AZ. At the time people talked about how the low deaths relative to cases were just a sign of how well prepared Texas and Florida were as if that was the reason and not just that deaths lag cases. The graph I was talking about was the Texas one which is straight up exponentially increasing. It is further worrying since as we know deaths lag hospitalizations/cases which lag behavioral changes. Abbott's orders hopefully did some good, but my fear is it's too little too late to prevent thousands of needless deaths. With the increase in daily new cases showing no sign of abatement, the number of hospitalizations following an exponential curve for about a month now, and deaths following an exponential curve for about to weeks suggests to me the number of deaths per day will continue to increase in number significantly between now and the end of July/start of August where best case we see a peak. Worst case it continues into August and we see death tolls increase dramatically.
  22. I'm not good at math (jk graduated in ECE) but that daily deaths graph seems very scary. It also directly counters all of the stupid bleating that we got it under control because deaths are down as if deaths weren't a lagging indicator of cases which itself is a lagging indicator of behavior. Fuck stupid people.
  23. Someone told him that if you order masks now there is a chance (still only a small chance because of how bad leadership at both the federal and state level have fucked up) of having college football.
  24. This x 1000. I have no clue when other Americans started using American exceptionalism to justify failure instead of glorifying success. What the fuck has happened here? No other country is exactly like ours so it's OK for us to fail miserably while every other developed country has handled it better than ours and plenty of developing countries where 20 bucks a day in salary is considered pretty damn good somehow handled it better than we did. How is it not a sign of a catastrophic failure in everyone's eyes here that we have basically been embarrassing ourselves consistently on this issue? How is "we're different" a valid excuse in your eyes? How is it an excuse for every other failure? American exceptionalism is supposed to be the reason we're better than everywhere else. More freedom of speech (meaning the government doesn't come after you, very weak slander/libel protections, etc.), better science (more Nobel Prizes, HiCi papers, etc.), better universities (more top 10, 50, 100 universities in the world), cultural center of the world (Hollywood, blue jeans, music, etc.), innovation center of the world, space center of the world, best governmental institutions in the world (you may scoff, but until now CDC and NIH were viewed as unparalleled by the rest of the world before this, the Fed was viewed as the most powerful and effective central bank, NASA is NASA, etc.), etc. and now somehow we went from winning WWI, WWII, the Cold War, beating Japan economically when we thought they may overtake us, to where we are today. How is anyone here pretending this isn't a gigantic, catastrophic failure and acting as thought it was always some fait accompli?
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