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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. That’s because those cowards in Cleveland wouldn’t let us makeup the rain out. Grrrrrr.
  2. He came into Frambers jam so he could be on point right away. It’s his process. Yall need to respect it.
  3. I’d have pulled him too. He wasn’t fooling anyone that inning and they were getting really good swings.
  4. This is scary time right now. Need to note it with an emoji in my scorebook.
  5. Baseball is America. I celebrate all of it.
  6. If I was pitching he’d get one in the ribs automatically at pitch #6. Every time.
  7. Paredes takes such a good AB every time up regardless of the result. He’s the anti Altuve or Diaz.
  8. After law school I was assistant GM for a wooden bat league team in the Northwoods league. I ran the scoreboard and PA system at home and was traveling secretary on the road. I was responsible for keeping and uploading all the stats and doing the media so I kept score on every single pitch for 64 games. I have 3 kids. I’ve never felt the need to keep score for the rest of my life. It’s a bit odd if you don’t have a reason for doing it. still- I feel it’s something every adult American man should know how to do- like changing a tire or your own oil or something like that. You will get one in the 8th or 9th and like it.
  9. Framber is always nasty. That’s what aces do and that’s who he is. it’s amazing how many of our fans struggle with this (not saying you do- comment was just handy).
  10. Tuesday. Always have to rest the day before an off day. Astros science.
  11. Mid season grades for the org (not players) tell me what I got wrong. Fans got one of the worst grades. Fight me. https://medium.com/@breathingorangefire_71114/grading-the-astros-at-the-half-way-point-non-player-edition-78d12741adc6
  12. Monday Luis Garcia’s arm will come flying off and poke Chaz in the eye rupturing it. Tuesday yordan will line one off Javier, fracturing Javier’s arm. Yordan will break his ankle on the sprinkler head going out to check on him.
  13. I think you could pretty easily get out of Chas deal without attaching any prospects or paying cash. Rodgers isn't making anything so he's the definition of replacement player after the Astros waive him. Walker needs to keep doing what he's doing since May 1 (not great but not terrible) but do it from the 7th spot after Yordan comes back and nobody will feel as bad about the contract then. Your ideal playoff lineup (saber sound): Pena, Yordan, altuve, Paredes, Diaz, Smith, Walker, Caratini, Meyers. IF Melton is healthy and hitting he plays left and hits 9th, Caratini goes to the bench and Yordan goes to DH. I don't honestly see anyone that can easily be upgraded from that playoff 9. I don't honestly see anyone that isn't at least sort of average for that place in the lineup). Diaz I'm assuming is the 760 or 780 OPS guy he's always been and his expected stats say he will be again this year with even luck.
  14. I was pretty surprised when I wrote my luck articles that the team was probably a shade unlucky in both pitching and hitting based upon expected results (if you control for who always outperforms their expected stats b/c they are outliers in some ways). Brown and Pena are almost assuredly going to get worse (but from like Cy young and MVP level respectively to run of the mill all star) but everyone else has sort of average luck or bad luck so far (especially Yainer- and maybe the rookie pitchers too btw) to expect a little better performance coming in. If Yordan comes back we are a rolling ball of butcher knives (assuming health from our 4 most important arms in Hader, Abreu, Brown and Framber). But yeah- this team the last 3 years has been a 100 win team ravaged by injuries and stupidity in the managers office and bad luck which disguised it as a 90 win team. I think we are just water finding it's level right now.
  15. So, I think 1 run games is probably like 70% luck, 20% great bullpen and 10% manager. Our manager eats paint chips but we have a great bullpen so that part is good. Also- our record in 1 run games has gotten better since we got rid of contreras and scott who were the ones taking the L's (see start of the sentence- our manager eats paint chips). So, yeah- call it 55 or 60% in close games coming in would be my guess.
  16. Wouldn’t Jermey Pena be a position player all star for us with the final vote deal and commissioners choice stuff? He’s got to be the odds on favorite to win that.
  17. I don't love the Cooper Hummel experience so far, but if we keep winning every game he appears in I might change my tune.
  18. Got the deep dive up on if pitchers have been getting lucky. As with the hitters article from last week I came away happy after writing it and don't see anything unsustainable in there. If anything, the pitching has been better than you probably think it has been and will likely be even better going forward (if guys keep pitching like this). Anyone who subscribes gets entered into drawing for free playoff tickets. https://medium.com/@breathingorangefire_71114/astros-pitchers-who-is-getting-lucky-and-who-is-not-lucky-5607444eb864
  19. Did one on how the bullpen got to Houston that I thought was interesting. did a deep dive on pitching today that will be up tomorrow. I had no agenda when I started writing it. Like the hitting, I’m concluding that what we are doing is sustainable and we aren’t getting lucky.
  20. Most of the history of franchise you probably only rostered 9 or 10 pitchers, right? The fact that we have 7 out of 13 pitchers that are LH is pretty incredible.
  21. 5 pitchers- all left handed/ 4 of them with a sub 3 ERA is pretty incredible.
  22. And the reverse jinx for the win there. I mean- a line drive- a roller that was a little unlucky on placement and an infield hit. Not horrible pitching to load the bases.
  23. I mean- he saved a run with a really nice play. delayed a run anyway.
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