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statsman

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Everything posted by statsman

  1. Why do you believe Florida was a bad team? Did you know that Clemson was beaten by S. Carolina on the last week of the season?
  2. I think all of these can be true… 1. There is a “loss bias” that causes CFP members and poll voters to assume a two loss ACC or B12 team is comparable or better than a three loss SEC team. 2. The SEC has more teams that are a threat to beat a really good team than the ACC, B12 and even B1G, and so a three loss SEC team like South Carolina is probably better than a two loss ACC team like SMU or a two loss B12 team like BYU. 3. The SEC should drop FCS teams and play a nine game league schedule, allowing a regular intra conference rotation and multiple annual rivals. I think the solution can come in 2026. The SEC agrees to a nine game league schedule, ESPN agrees to a bigger media payout and the CFP expands to 14 teams with the SEC guaranteed four spots.
  3. I assume the Georgia odds are assuming Beck is done for the season.
  4. From this list, who did they want to keep?
  5. Part of the price is based on the fact that, if Texas goes to the CFP CG, Texas fans will drive the cost up on the secondary market.
  6. I’m ready to do the same this year. My feeling is- if Texas goes all the way, going won’t be cost-prohibitive for my family. If Texas loses to, say, Oregon in the Cotton Bowl, and I lose the “investment”, we’ll, I paid that MC bill months ago.
  7. My guess is that the option should be worth ((Secondary Market Price of CG Ticket) - (Face Value of CG Ticket)) * (Expected Chance of Selected Team Making CG). The upper deck option for Texas in the CG was around $325 before the SEC CG. After losing, and getting seeded #5, that option was worth about $420 this morning. I thought that was interesting
  8. Three SEC teams made the CFP. I see SEC heads like Saban saying that this is a disincentive for SEC teams to schedule difficult games OOC. I saw coaches from other conferences saying the SEC should have a nine game schedule. I assumed that the SEC would go to nine games when the money is good enough (to match the B1G media revenue). Now, I’m not so sure. In an eight game league schedule, there are formats where teams can have one annual rival. There are no formats for three annual rivals. Nine game schedules can have three annual rivals. Texas has three obvious rivals- OU (and neither team wants to surrender the match in Dallas), Arkansas (Texas can take or leave them, but Arkansas Carrell wants this game), and TAMU (where everybody else seems to enjoy the game more than Texas and TAMU). So, how do you see this going? I suspect the price for a nine game schedule just went up. If we only have o e annual rival, do you agree it’s OU?
  9. Thanks, but only if we make it. I’d never sell them. Ride or die😄 It’s a hedge against ridiculous Nc game prices should Texas make it there. Similarly, I bought a couple of CB tix. I’ll sell at a Minimal loss if Texas doesn’t make that semifinal, or goes to the Orange Bowl.
  10. So, you’re in the Joey McGuire “Watch the games!” School? The SEC teams are better. Alabama would drill SMU.
  11. I paid $150 each for three Texas upper level options, at season’s beginning
  12. Sigh. Have you noticed how the Eagles offense works? You haven’t , have you? It is RPO- heavy, just like Texas runs with Ewers. Hurts is the same height as Quinn, 30# heavier, and a far superior runner. I made the Hurts comparison as an example of how a QB can have success (Hurts had a lot of success) while still having holes in his game, if the team can compensate for deficiencies. Against good defenses, Ewers is hard to compensate for.
  13. Quinn just isn’t a fast processor. Remember Scipio writing about Jalen Hurts at OU? How Riley had to call plays that let him work off his first read, because he couldn’t process a second read? That’s Quinn. He can be effective off the script (practiced) and RPOs. After that’s done, his effectiveness drops. Intelligence has a lot of facets. Vince wasn’t the most fluid thinker, but he was a very fast processor. Quinn just isn’t. With the right matchups, we can win some games. The defense is terrific and there aren’t any dominant teams. We’ll go as far as Quinn and the defense can take us.
  14. The bb’s are out of the box in Norman.
  15. Sark, hire Gundy as an analyst and let him design his own job.
  16. Oh, those Aggie posts. Most of y’all are too young to remember the greatest Ag post ever. It was 1998, on the Austin360 board. TexAgs was small, comparable to Aggie Websider and Aggie Bench Press (don’t ask). Many Ags posted on the TAMU board associated with Austin360. Texas had beaten the Ags in 1998, and then beaten Sherrill in the CB. Then, Texas jumped out to a big lead in 1999 recruiting (would end up with #1 class). The Ags, B12 champs and recently dominant over Texas (they won 10 out of 11 from 1984-1994, amassing three major NCAA probations along the way and narrowly missing a death penalty), were wondering if they should be concerned. Some Ag posed a parable, a metaphor to explain what was going on. He said that the rivalry could be understood by playground dynamics, and that Texas was the spoiled brat kid that got things without working, and the Ags were the “good character” kid (this is where all the Longhorns who witnessed Sherrill and Slocum recruiting spit out drink through our noses laughing), and that the good character kid would win in the end, because he’s doing things the right way. Oh, I miss Austin 360
  17. SeatGeek shows B12 CG tix at $37 to get into stadium, but that’s the fourth level, and no one wants to sit there. You can get in the third level for $60. To be fair, the SEC CG isn’t too expensive- about $120 to get in.
  18. Oh, pissing on Switzer’s grave is definitely on my bucket list. When will the fucker die?
  19. Remind me- who was held accountable for the November 1999 bonfire collapse?
  20. CTJ did a great job answering, but I can offer a little more… 1. Royal had two adult children die in the ‘70s. Plus, Switzer was not only cheating, not only getting away with it, but also openly taunting him, because Switzer is a true asshole. 3. I heard that Oliver Luck was the leading candidate, but in his interview, he made it clear that Mack needed to retire/be retired, and that needed to happen before he started the job. Because Luck is smart. Patterson gave assurances that he would follow Powers’ lead on the matter. Powers needed that, because he was in a precarious political situation. Rick Perry was trying to put the same “reforms” on UT that were put on TAMU, and he was stacking the BoR with amenable people (a couple not even Exes, as it was getting more difficult to find UT grads to appoint that would do the governor’s bidding). Mack was failing, and was using all his political connections and relationships among UT supporters in an attempt to hang on. Powers was trying to navigate Scylla (Perry) and Charybdis (Mack) and he believed he needed an AD that would do what he (Powers) told him. Powers was the key decision maker on the AD hire. By no means do I think Powers was perfect or blameless in this, but I tend to be sympathetic to his position. I think his goals were more aligned with the university’s best interests than many of the other big players.
  21. How does this make sense? How do you have a roster crunch, in this day and age? You know guys are going to portal out. And why would they process WRs? Aren’t they short on them? Isn’t Nic Anderson in the portal?
  22. I don’t think Sanders and Hunter will be playing
  23. Our schedule included three arch rivals. Yes, we played 6-6 Arkansas. We didn’t get the Hogs that lost to OSU; we got the version that beat Tennessee. Similarly, we got the 6-6 Sooners that beat Auburn, not the ones slapped around at home by the Gamecocks. And, of course, we got to play the 8-4 Ags team that beat LSU, not the slapdicks that lost to Auburn and s. Carolina.
  24. Mandel is such a shithead. Texas’ SOS is fine, and nothing to be ashamed of. Yes, no wins against teams ranked currently in the top 25. However, Texas has four wins against teams in Sagarin’s top 30.
  25. The final weekend TV ratings: https://www.sportsmediawatch.com/college-football-tv-ratings/ Honestly- the B12 has properties, and is figuring out how to leverage them. OSU@CU: not bad at all. BYU game? They are like a Mormon Notre Dame and always have solid ratings. The one that jumps out at me- KSU at ISU (Farmageddon) for 2 M viewers. Wow. If you are old enough to remember 30 years ago, that would have seemed incredible. Yormark, job number one is figuring out how to make that game happen every year. The drag on the B12, frankly, is the Texas schools. Baylor hosting KU for the Bears’ 8th win? 412K. Eight win TT hosting WVU? 294K. Eight win TCU at Cincy? Streaming It’s not just the B12 Texas schools. Cal at SMU, with the Ponies driving for the CFP: 228K (actually, this was how it was in the early 80s, with the Pony Express. No one watched). The landscape is shaking out to be this: the Texas FBS programs left behind can help with recruiting. They’re not really moving the needle with viewers.
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