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Codaxx

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Posts posted by Codaxx

  1. 29 minutes ago, Vertigo said:

    Yes he absolutely has. He put up over 650 yards as a true freshman in Jimbo's dinosaur offense with terrible QBs, and another 500 yards this last year just half assing it. If it is truly an NFL over NIL situation, which I am not sure I totally believe, then it is hard to argue with Chris Jackson's resume at this point. Two 1,000 yard receivers in the NFL in the same season, followed by two high draft picks his first year in college. I would take this kid and let him put up 800 yards receiving for us next year before he heads off to the league. Cook, Stewart, and Golden would be a nasty trio while we bring the freshmen along.   

    This sentence is a perfect encapsulation of Evans.  Talented, but flawed.. 

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  2. 3 minutes ago, Vertigo said:

    Here is his hudl... dayum

    http://www.hudl.com/v/2LQy4S

     

    Holy shit! at the 2:32 mark I have never seen a kid take a knee for a sack in order to avoid getting hit by this monster. HAHA! 

     

    Not saying he will end up the same, but Warren Sapp came to mind watching that film. An athletic ball bowl of a prospect. The natural power is obvious

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  3. 14 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

    To make you feel better, Penix and your receivers are absolutely great at deep ball/contested catch situations. I think you convert like 44% of them. Against lesser passing competition, we give up those at a 40+% clip. So yeah, yeah, strength on weakness right there. That said, despite allowing completions when those deep passes take place, we do a fairly good job of limiting their occurrence through pressure and our coverage. We like to invite the underneath stuff and then rally to ball while playing the run game with a light box. 

    The biggest difference between last year’s defense and this year’s is situational defense. Texas was 94th in opponent 3rd down conversions last year, they are 2nd in the nation this year.  They are 12th in red zone TD percentage. Last years defense was solid, but struggled to get off the field (lots of long drives). This year’s defense gets off the field 

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  4. 2 hours ago, Huskyfan1997 said:

    yeah, it's our biggest rival.  And they get all the love from the media.  But the reason for all my UO talk in this forum is because it's the only team that is reasonably comparable to UT that we've played.  

    Moving on from UO, if you were UW, do you think it's more important to double team Worthy or Mitchell?

    My casual fan eyes think that Mitchell looks to be more important to contain.  Worthy will definitely make our team look like they're running in sand.  But something about the Mitchell highlights tell me he's just as dangerous, if not more.  

    It’s Worthy. Mitchell is very good at WR things. Routes and catching the ball. Worthy is a TD waiting to happen. He struggles making contested catches (he is like 160 pounds), but give him any space and he can make it a TD. I would guess Washington will play to stop explosive plays. Force Sark to be patient, which he can struggle with. Your DC said something about that last year.  It’s one reason I think the Texas run game could be the difference in the game. If they can run consistently, that will put your defense in a bind. 

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  5. 5 minutes ago, ousux said:
    1 hour ago, Sonics_1993 said:
    Wasn't that also true last year? UT allowed 1 100-yd rusher, and even Alabama wasn't able to hit that mark. UW still had a 100 yd back in the Alamo Bowl getting 7.7 ypc.
    Instead of framing it in terms of hopeless optimism, a different question might be this "if UW beats the trend against UT this year by a similar proportion by which it beat the trend last year, how do you see the game going?"

    I keep seeing the Alamo bowl being referenced. You guys do realize this is the playoffs and not a shit tier bowl game, right? Nobody will be sitting out getting ready for the NFL combine in this game. Of course several players from both teams played in that game last year, but neither team will be exactly the same for this one.

    Its not like the starting LB and second leading tackler on the team is going to decide his has better shit to do, than to play Washington like last year

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  6. 2 minutes ago, Sonics_1993 said:

    One of those runs was for 44 yards by Bo Nix. The other 19 runs went for 80 yards (4.2 ypc). There's been discussion elsewhere in this thread that one or two big runs don't matter if the run game in general struggles. I believe that to be true, and that was what happened in Vegas. Furthermore, Oregon had a really hard time getting YAC on passes short passes out in space, which was due to better coverage from UW. Oregon adjusted and got the offense moving, just like Texas will adjust to whatever UW does, but I wouldn't assume that UW will be shellshocked by the UT offense.

    Also, the change in third down conversion rate by Oregon is an argument in favor of UW's defensive improvement. Oregon wasn't lined up against an empty field.

    That is how this generally works. IF you take the best run of the day out and it is still over 4 yards a carry, that is pretty fucking good. That is consistent success running the ball. 

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  7. 4 minutes ago, Sonics_1993 said:
    1. I don't agree that a 100 yard rushing attack is necessary to avoid UT having a reasonably comfortable win. There are plenty of ways to get the type of benefit a run game provides without having to do it all on the ground. We've seen tunnel screens to Odunze, slants to McMillan, and quick hit contested passes to the one-on-one receiver on the outside (whether that be Odunze or Polk) be really effective when teams try to sell out against the pass. I agree that if UT can get consistent pressure with 4 linemen, then UW is in trouble. I feel comfortable that the OL and Penix can avoid that, so the next issue is whether Grubb can be effective at keeping the LBs from being able to sell out on the pass consistently. It'd be nice if Johnson could get good yardage on the ground for that purpose, but it's not the only way to skin a cat.
    2. I have plenty of confidence that UW can get stops on UT, just like I think UT is going to get more stops than it seems people are giving credit for against UW. The last game UW played was against an Oregon team that has a lot of talent (over the last 5 classes, Oregon = ~9th vs. Texas ~7th in 247 composite rankings). UW's defense was extremely disruptive against an offense that was blowing people out regularly coming into the game (UW was a 9.5 point underdog in Vegas for the game). Beyond that, even with injuries, UW has been really hard to score on in the 2nd half and has given up more than 7 points in the 4th quarter only once all year (13 in garbage time against Cal).

    I don't think UW is going to blow UT out or vice versa. It should be a close game, but I don't think UW needs to change its identity to win any more than I think UT does. Whoever executes better (especially when it comes to penalties and turnovers) will probably win.

    Lets be honest about the Oregon game.. Oregon averaged 6.72 yards/play in the rematch (6.44 in the first game). They ran the ball 20 times for 124 yards. That was 6.2 yards. Big difference was Oregon running the ball 40 times for 204 in the first game. Big difference between the games was Oregon going 3-10 on 3rd down in the rematch, opposed to 10-16 in the 1st game. Washington defense was not very good in either game, but they made timely plays in the Championship game. 

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  8. 11 minutes ago, Mitch Cumsteen said:

    I thought UW dominated both lines in the Alamobowl last year. If Texas can't stop the run, barring a bunch of weird shit like turnovers or special teams mishaps, they have next to no chance of winning. Texas has to make UW one dimensional, they have to tackle in space, and they can't blow coverages. That's the game, to me. 

    Texas is the better team. They have multiple ways to win this game.  Love Texas in a 5 game series, but this is 1 game and Washington's #1 strength is Texas's weakness. I am pretty confident in  Sweat and Murphy to at least limit the Washington run game. 90% of the talk about this game has been Washington offense vs the Texas defense.  I think this game is probably decided by the Texas OL vs the Washington front 7. If Texas gets the run game going (consistency, not 1-2 big plays), I dont see a way Washington wins. 

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  9. 4 minutes ago, alphahydro said:

     

    Here is some game analysis from some UW fans who are more serious. I haven't looked at these, but for anyone curious:

    https://www.uwdawgpound.com/washington-huskies-film-study-hall

    they also have a sugar bowl preview (I assume they will do a more in-depth preview later). 

    https://www.uwdawgpound.com/2023/12/11/23994875/sugar-bowl-key-matchups-preview-uw-washington-huskies-texas-longhorns-football

    Texas will see this play

    UW_vs_Oregon___McMillan_Bomb_v2.gif

  10. 12 minutes ago, Burt Macklin said:

    Overall good analysis and comparisons, but Collins has been here 4 years and I’m still waiting to see the explosiveness people talk about. I have the same issue with McKinley. Both those guys need to be Calais Campbell types. They’re not quick/explosive enough to consistently win that way at the college level, so they need to be technicians who utilize their huge frames and athleticism by stack/shed and rip and swim moves. Collins has never exhibited the work ethic to do this. Hopefully McKinley can be different. 

    Awhile ago Gerry made some comments on McKinley. He said he is like Collins in more than one way. I took that to mean the work ethic/love of the game. NFL talent, questionable motor. 

    Foster is Bledsoe. Very athletic. Super raw. Low floor/ High ceiling kid.. 

  11. 12 minutes ago, immamac said:

    I just don’t see the same thing everyone else sees when I watch Washington film I guess. 
     

    Styles make fights and Washington’s style makes this a very entertaining match up, but they are also fragile. If they can’t grind some points out this game will get out of hand for them and you can’t dig out of the hole.

    Texas is the opposite of fragile. This is the most physical team many of their opponents including Alabama has faced. It’s not just about speed, Texas plays with a fierce intensity and has depth to wear on teams. Washington can match, but I think a few missteps or turnovers and this game just gets out of reach on them. Unlike last year this is a second half, and really mostly 4th quarter team. 

    Washington is undefeated. I have not seen this fragile Washington team. You are correct in physicality. Texas wins easily, if they dominate the LOS. That means stopping the run with honest to light boxes, getting pressure with 4, and hitting 150+ rushing the football. 

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  12. 11 hours ago, Mach 1 said:

    IIRC Washington receivers are the best in the country against press coverage. They are elite. 

    There's no easy answer against their passing game outside of serious pressure on Penix. 

    There are a lot of suggestion in here, but the key is for PK to use all of them. Penix is like 30 years old and in his 6th year. They have probably 3 WRs that will get drafted. Texas will need to mix up the coverages and pressures to keep Penix guessing. Another key will be the ability to disguise coverages. Show man coverage and drop into zone. If Penix gets comfortable with what he is seeing, it will be a long night. 

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  13. 1 hour ago, Acropora said:

    Injured much of the year.  He's a take solely on the strength of this return skills.  Probably slots in as the #3 receiver depending on what else we do in the portal and/or unlikely Mitchell returning.  He's also been suggested as a replacement for Robinson for gadget plays but I see Blue in that role personally.  Incidently had his best game against Texas this year so it's not like he can't do damage at wr.  Given how selective they've been so far guessing he's who the staff wants.  

    He was a sub-11 100 guy in HS. He has speed and is a playmaker with the ball. He is a low risk call option. At worst he is sorely needed depth at WR, while upgrading special teams. Best case he takes a the next step at WR and becomes consistent playmaker there. 

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  14. 1 hour ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    I guess he has the size and arm strength to dream on playing in the league so whatever.

    I’m not mad at him for maximizing his opportunity- as he sits fit- and this isn’t sour grapes because o hated the take and rolled my eyes at every mention of him ever.
    At the end of the day I don’t get it and hate it for him- this is likely going to be the biggest accomplishment he will ever be a part of in his life (outside himself and the potential to have a great marriage or be a good father or do the stuff that really matters) and he’s throwing it away so he can gain 1 more semester of spring practice at a bottom tier P4 school or go to leftover Oregon State. I think these guys get a lot of bad advice and training but maybe he hits the jackpot, becomes an actual NFL talent and can point to this decision as the reason. 

    You have 3 Texas players that are in the portal and participating in the playoffs. I think he could have threaded the needle, if he chose to do so. You also have some QBs that, I don’t think have cemented their future college plans. I think Beck, JJ McCarthy, and Quinn all are possible NFL entrants. I am not convinced rushing into a marriage is the best course of action, unless you get a bullet proof situation like Ohio State. I don’t think Baylor (what a mess) or Oregon State (basically G5 now) qualify

  15. 1 hour ago, dcar00 said:

    Everyone needs to remember Maalik is a QB.  

    A) going on visits takes time from prep for the bowl.  This isn't like any other position.

    B) Other schools usually only have one spot for a QB transfer and they absolutely need that player to be there as soon as possible.

    C) As #2 all year he's going to need to work extra hard to find a good spot.  This isn't like a starting QB transferring from Middle Tenn State to Auburn.

    I have no problem with what he is doing even with the extra transfer window in Jan.  My guess is the difference between between Maalik and Arch after a season of reps isn't going to be a whole lot different.  

    The reality is if this is(who QB2 is) an issue in 2 weeks we are proper fucked anyway.

    Maalik had his choices.. He is choosing to maximize his opportunity. There is no reason to make it out to be anything more than that. It doesnt make him a shithead. It is just par for the course in today's landscape. 

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  16. On 12/13/2023 at 8:40 PM, troph said:

    We all want to isolate winning and losing to one thing which is kinda silly but I’ll do it anyway. Apart from a 3rd quarter lull or slow start from Texas on offense I think pressure on Penix when he drops back is the game within the game that decides the outcome. Texas pressures enough into a couple of sacks and a TO (+1) and 3-4 quality stops and Texas wins. Penix has time - run game support or not - he’s gonna carve us up and then who knows if we can keep up.

    If we look at the Bowl game. Texas did a great job vs the pass. They only gave up 1 explosive throw and that was on a trick play. In the 2 years at Washington, Penix's lowest yards per attempt was vs Texas. Texas defense had 2 issues in that game. #1 Washington was 13-23 on 3/4th down (57%). Texas is the #2 3rd down conversion defense in the nation this year (26.5%). Texas was 94th last year (41.3%). Hopefully, that improvement shows up in this game. The other issue was the run game. Texas gave up 158 yards and 5.64 yards/att. Texas is 4th in the country this year in rush defense (80.85 yards and 2.87 yard/att). That is an improvement from 33rd in the nation (125.7 and 3.9 per/att).. 

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  17. 9 minutes ago, hookem17 said:

    If he doesn’t leave now he won’t be able to enroll for the spring semester at his next school. If he’s not enrolled, he can’t practice. That’s why he’s forced to go now. 

    We see transfer get in late every year. AD Mitchell hit the portal on the 18th,committed to Texas on Jan 20th, and was at Texas in the spring. 

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