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torre
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Everything posted by torre
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In their conference tournaments, both UCF and Michigan started their #1 (Vega and Derkowski) on consecutive days and relieved with their #2 (Felton and Hoehn). No other pitchers saw action. Could see the same. Game is on ESPN2, 1PM, Friday Not really our problem. Our problem is which lineup (who plays where) will Mike White's dart board reveal. https://mgoblue.com/sports/softball/schedule https://ucfknights.com/sports/softball/schedule
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Reviewing, Michigan finished 8th in the B1G (11-11), 41 RPI, but went 4-0 in the tournament with shutout wins over Oregon (5-0) and UCLA (2-0). They were swept by both during the regular season. Oregon won the regular season, UCLA 3rd. Playing well at the right time. If they are like Minnesota, good fans who travel well. https://mgoblue.com/sports/softball/schedule
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D1 Chat excerpts. Boyd's World states no more wins needed to be Top 8. Hope they are right. http://boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html If we all realize RPI is a flawed metric. Why is that the cornerstone of what we use to determine host sites? I mean I think EVERY metric is flawed, is the thing -- if there were one infallible formula we could rely upon, we could just let the computers pick the field and not bother having any of these debates. That said, the RPI's flaws are well documented, and the committee has at least (finally!) taken steps toward improving the process, first by incorporating the KPI last year, and we think there's a real chance that DSR becomes part of the process soon, perhaps even next year. The committee has shown an interest in modernizing the process, and that's encouraging. But for now, RPI is still king (even if the power of its monarchy is showing signs of crumbling), so that's what we have to go by. If LSU takes 2/3 at South Carolina and a win or so in Hoover, do you believe they will be the #1 overall seed on Selection Monday? Gosh, this question is way more difficult than it feels like it should be this late in the season -- who the heck is going to be the No. 1 overall seed? Honestly it still feels wide open. Texas is STILL in first place, two games ahead of Arkansas and three ahead of LSU, and Texas does have the head-to-head edge over LSU, but not over Arkansas. Georgia and Auburn are ahead of all of them in the RPI, but behind in the standings. LSU is down at No. 7 in the RPI right now, which would be historically low for a No. 1 national seed, I suspect. I think LSU is deserving of being ranked No. 1 in our rankings, but the metrics don't love their case as much as our Top 25 methodology. So I would stop short of saying a series win vs. SC and a one in Hoover would get them the No. 1 national seed; that frankly might not be enough. Yes, Texas is at the top of the SEC standings, but do the Longhorns feel like a diminishing product right now? It feels like most #2 seeds would choose Austin over the next 4-5 SEC schools.. I think I'll be a little concerned about Texas if it goes on the road and once again doesn't do much offensively against Oklahoma. Riojas didn't look very good over the weekend, but otherwise the Longhorns did what was needed to be done from a pitching standpoint. I feel like the offense is starting to slip a bit.... maybe the book is finally out on some of these guys? At any rate, I would not want to enter the postseason having lost three-straight series if I'm Texas. Big weekend ahead from a confidence standpoint. How many of the Top 8 come from the SEC? at the moment you can argue 6 teams have legitimate top 8 resumes but will the committee allow that many from the SEC? you'd have to think LSU, Texas and Arkansas are locks. Right behind them UGA, Vandy and Auburn have practically identical resumes at this point so it's gonna be interesting to see how many the committee allows You're spot-on, it's so SEC heavy at the top right now. It's wild that the top ACC team in the RPI is Florida State at No. 9! And the only non-SEC interloper in the top 8 is Oregon State, which has its own resumé flaws (notably, the 0-4 against Oregon). I still think 6 of the top 8 feels too rich for the SEC, but I would bet on 5 when the dust settles. A&M is REALLY done now, right? Right??? Tell us they're done - please! Not done yet -- but the pulse is about 12 beats per minute. The Aggies will have to win the Georgia series AND do some damage in the SEC tournament with a win or two at minimum. The weird thing is this is still a team that could go on a run in the NCAA tournament, but it's not a crew, as of today, that deserves to be in the tourney. I expect things to get rather interesting in College Station in short order with the Aggies lose that series this weekend.\ Winning the SEC tournament looks to be the only path Texas A&M has to reach the post season, would you agree? If they lose in Hoover, would their season represent the biggest crash and burn in all of college baseball history? Are there any other teams that even come close?\ I don't think it's the only path. if A&M wins the Georgia series and gets to 15-16 wins in the conference tournament, I think it would likely easily be in the field at that point. But again, you're asking a team who is the opposite of consistent to win 4 or 5 games in the next 8-9 days.... I'm skeptical. Is this one of the best years for parity you guys have seen? Of the teams in the top 10: LSU,texas, georgia, auburn, vandy, & oregon state have all been swept, Florida State got run ruled twice at home in a series, and Arkansas has lost 4 of their last 5 series. Almost crazy to see - is this the most wide open title race in memory? I'm with you, it is the most wide open it's been in a long time (which feels weird to say considering 7 of the top 8 in the RPI are all SEC -- but again, there's really not a clear-cut favorite out of those 7 SEC teams). Wide open right now, and I think that's super fun. Let’s say Texas loses 2/3 at OU this weekend but still holds on to win the SEC because Arkansas only wins 2/3 against Tennessee. What do you do with Texas in terms of a top 8 seed? It feels harsh to push the SEC champ down outside the top 8 but that would mean they went 2-7 in their last 9 SEC games and we know the committee considers how well you’re playing late in the season. Texas would still be a top eight -- but probably in the 6-8 range instead of the top five. Boomer, does Oklahoma have enough gas in the tank to host or should I get ready to go up to Fayetteville? Randy -- I think OU is going to have to get to 16 wins minimum, probably 17 to host. A Texas series win this weekend would be a good start - I just think the Sooners are behind too many contenders at the moment. FYI -- OU cannot go to an SEC host.
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Warren Nolan's final RPI Live. Searching, some pundits have us as an overall 7 seed. Borrowing a phrase from @petscii "We'll see says the Zen Master". https://www.warrennolan.com/softball/2025/rpi-live
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https://weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/l/05a7e7f73567bcc0ce8fac95250c4a0b26580d12fa0797e832d875d46ed01a30 Forecast is for t'storms in area through 5PM.
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Tech wins B12 regular season and conference championship tournament over Arizona. $1M plus and NIL to other transfers brings success. Regardless, I like and respect Glasco, happy for him.
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Edit: SECN+ Rain delay.
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Championship game moved to 12PM today due to weather, ESPN+ if interested.
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Arkansas leads the conference in fielding (.981) and thus far are making great plays. We are at .971 probably the highest in the MW era. https://www.secsports.com/sport/softball/stats (may have to click to get in right area) Above are conference only pitching stats. TK holds her on in most areas except opponents batting average. There is definitely reason to be concerned about her performance this year but as known there has been a significant increase in the level of competition. Perhaps the analytics of the approach to SEC hitters and of course the execution was not up to a championship level. TK and the coaches need to improve. As a team we are 2nd in the SEC with a 4.44 era. When an over 4 era is 2nd it makes a statement about the hitting.
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Canady and Tech vs Baylor, 4th inn, no score on ESPN+ if interested before our game.
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Lengthy article, Vic has comments on the new additions. (excerpt) https://eu.statesman.com/story/sports/college/longhorns/womens-basketball/2025/05/07/texas-womens-basketball-vic-schaefer-longhorns-roster-transfer-portal/83437930007/
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D1 Chat excerpts. Surprised there were no "Texas overrated" "Texas easy schedule" comments after the debacle in Arkansas. In fact, no Texas comments in the chat. Do you actually believe there are 6 teams better than Arkansas, or is that just a ranking reflective of the past 4 weeks of results? Vegas has Hogs as title favorites. I would probably put the Hogs as my personal title favorite, too -- I said as much on the podcast today. But yes, they paid a bit of a price in the rankings for losing three straight series before this week. At this point in the season, the rankings aren't just "who do we think is the best team" -- that's what they are in the preseason. But now we have 12 weeks of results to draw upon, so even if we think a team is the best, we have to consider its entire body of work, especially in the last month. So Arkansas had a very loud weekend, and has had a great season, but we couldn't exactly jump them up to No. 1 given the results of the last month.\ Who do you guys see as the current front runner for SEC POTY? As a hog fan, I'm obviously leaning towards Wehiwa Aloy, but wanted to see who else you guys have in mind. I think I also lean toward Wehiwa, considering the numbers he is putting up while playing a premium position for one of the best teams. Ike Irish actually leads the league in OPS in conference games, I think he is emerging as a top contender as well. Luke Heyman has flown under the radar but has put up huge numbers in conference play. And maybe Rylan Galvan, considering how much he means to Texas, and the excellent numbers in SEC play while playing the most demanding position on the diamond. That's my list of top guys, but there are plenty of others Is Tennessee's staff after Marcus Phillips on Saturday and Sunday a real point of concern for the Vols? I think it is. I think I wrote this after the LSU series, but as much as I like Doyle and Phililps, the arms at the backend of the bullpen do not scare me. Sure, Franklin and Snead throw hard, but Snead doesn't miss enough bats for my liking -- just 19 strikeouts in 26 innings in league play with premium velocity. Kuhns will be really good in the future, but he's just OK right now. Yes, it's definitely a concern for me. What's the latest on the House Settlement and roster counts for next season? It's expected to be approved in the next couple of weeks. What will be interesting is if Judge Wilken rules that the roster limits will be a gradual change or an immediate change -- administrators want an immediate rip the band-aid off approach. With a pivotal series against Vandy on the horizon, how crucial is it for Tennessee to secure a series win to bolster their hosting chances and regain confidence? The Vols are definitely leaking oil, and considering they finish the regular season with a road series at Arkansas, I definitely think it is critical for them to win this home series vs. Vandy. But you know they're going to get up for that one. If Vandy goes in there and wins it, the Commodores could be in danger of losing six of their final seven series to finish the regular season, and that just doesn't feel host-worthy. We're getting 14 SEC teams, right? A&M and Mississippi State both have Mizzou left, while UK gets to the 13-win threshold by winning one of their last two series or not getting swept plus taking a game in Hoover. I would lean 14 SEC teams as of today, but I just have a weird feeling someone out of that league gets snubbed on Selection Monday If Florida wins 1 against Texas and 2 or 3 against Alabama I think they're in the NCAA Tournament what do you think? With its RPI in a great spot, the Gators are easily in the tournament, IMO, with 13 wins. Let's not forget about the non-conference series win the Gators also have against a Miami team who is near the top of the ACC standings at the moment. Missouri hasn't gone to regional since joining the SEC. Now, they're on pace to go 0-30. Meanwhile, Texas, albeit a blue blood has waltzed into the league and looks to on the way to a regular season title and OU will also be in a regional. What is holding Mizzou back from being even respectable? Tiger -- Missouri will not win at a high level in baseball until it actually treats baseball like a legitimate sport from a financial perspective. Missouri's facilities are not good and the administration has not shown - in any shape or form -- that they have a plan to support baseball. I did like that Laird Veatch (the AD) came out last week saying baseball needs to be supported at a high level, but he gave no specifics. I'm intrigued to see those specifics in the near future. If not -- Missouri will continue to struggle (albeit, probably not THIS bad). Is 13 conference wins the magic number for the Aggies? What will be critical for the Ags to do to comfortably make the tournament? I think the Aggies are in with 13 given those marquee series wins over Arkansas, LSU and Tennessee, but again, I would prefer, if I'm A&M, to get to 14-15 to leave no doubt. You do NOT want to go into Selection Monday hoping teams in other conference tournaments win, lose, etc.... that's not a fun spot to be in. How close is UTSA to being in the Top 25? Being 18-3 in the AAC along with a 37-10 overall record, No. 21 RPI and clinching at least a share of the conference title, what is holding them back from the other teams in the Top 25? Daniel -- glad you asked this, because I think the world of Pat Hallmark as a head coach. Love what the Roadrunners have, specifically from an offensive standpoint, but what's holding them back right now is that they don't have a series win over a team that will sniff the NCAA tournament as of yet. That's just a tough rankable resume. What do you make of the recent struggles for the LSU offense? They have looked so off as of late. And the first thing everyone wants to do is to "tip their cap" to the opposing pitcher--but up to last week vs Texas, Praeger was getting crushed. Lamkin was giving up a ton of runs too. LSU couldn't do anything on them, and Sunday they didn't exactly look like world beaters either. I think Prager, Lamkin and Patton have gotten much better. Prager's metrics were better and his velocity was up, Lamkin has been very good at times this year and Patton is just a typical Sunday pitchability lefthander who doesn't allow much hard contact. As much as I like the overall talent in LSU's offensive lineup, there are few guys in that lineup that just scare the you know what out of me. I love Bear Jones, but he can be pitched to right now. Curiel had somewhat of a freshman-esque weekend, but he's a stud. Ethan Frey had some really good ABs. But outside of those guys, who scares you in LSU's lineup right now? Milam is a really solid overall player but he has struggled offensively in league play. Is the SEC going to do anything over how poorly the umpiring has been? Are they even aware that their umpires are calling strikes on pitches that cross into the opposing batter's box? I'm an LSU fan and loved that 9th inning strikeout that Eyanson got, but the ball was literally in the other batter's box. It was such a terrible call at such a crucial point in the game. I hope the SEC does, and I hope all leagues do. You guys know me -- I don't like to bitch and moan about umpires. Those guys have a really difficult job to do. But some of those strike zones that I have seen over the past few weeks are an absolute joke (and it's usually for both teams playing the game).
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A google search will reveal a myriad of projections, mostly unreliable. D1 and On3 have projections behind a paywall. Can't recall which but one had us as a 3 seed behind OU and aggy with Washington here as a 2 seed. Others had Nebraska or Virginia here as a 2 seed. Florida may be a tough out. Argument can be made at present they are the hottest team in the league. RPI after regular season (could not prevent large print) https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/softball/d1/ncaa-womens-softball-rpi
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Watched the LSU game. Eyanson tossed a 3 hitter for LSU, only 112 pitches for 9 innings. Prager and Lampkin are very talented. Lampkin was pulled after allowing 2 runs in 6 innings. But they brought in Caden McCoy, freshman from Bloomington, Ind who was impressive, iirc only 2 hits over the final innings. This is the time of the year when the cream rises to the top or not. Pitchers begin to find their groove. Today's schedule. https://www.secsports.com/schedule/baseball
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I checked, same size as the Disch. Outfield seating seems to make it look smaller. Ark is 3rd in SEC with 97 HRs. Ga (117) Tenn (100) We have 70. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baum–Walker_Stadium
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@Js1 Seems Tenn will do everything to not complete the 3rd game ? They would finish at 15-8 in the top 4. A loss tied with Arkansas. If Arkansas can sweep LSU they would be 15-9 with a tiebreaker vs Tenn. If we lose to Ky also would be 15-9, tiebreaker to be determined, win and we are in but would play OU ?
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Only in our minds 4 year Senior, tossed a 1 hitter yesterday vs Tenn, good career.
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aggy up 5-0 over Tenn after 1.5, weather delay. Strong t'storms till 10PM. Showers also forecast for Saturday. Kennedy pitching for aggy, Tenn using their 3rd starter and now the 'pen. Florida with a grand slam off Deal to lead 5-1 over OU, after 2.5
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Tenn vs aggy DH today at 1PM
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Watched a couple of innings before our games and reviewed final box score. Kennedy outdueled Pickens with a 1 hitter. Appears they took the bat from Gibson by walking her 3 times. aggy scored top of 7th with 2 outs. Error by 3B and a double. aggy games are difficult to watch almost as bad as OU. Trisha Ford chewing gum like a cow chewing cud and her 2 nimrod assistants Harger and Heffley. Was it last year that Harger was ejected @ Florida and had an altercation with fans upon his exit ? Never disciplined afaik. Also, ejected in one of our games. Harger Heffley brothers from another mother
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Despite the schedule change, Texas will still honor its six student-athletes in their last season of eligibility – Vanessa Quiroga, Joley Mitchell, Mia Scott, Katie Cimusz, Mac Morgan and Mia Scott – prior to Saturday's series finale. TEXAS' REVISED WEEKEND SCHEDULE Thursday, May 1 Kentucky vs. No. 4/5 Texas, 6 p.m., SEC Network+ Friday, May 2 Kentucky vs. No. 4/5 Texas, 11 a.m., SEC Network+ Saturday, May 3 Kentucky vs. No. 4/5 Texas, 1 p.m., SEC Network https://texaslonghorns.com/news/2025/5/1/schedule-update-for-no-4-5-softballs-series-against-kentucky.aspx
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PM @Fat Bastard if he does not see this thread. Cardiologist in Houston.
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Arkansas cancelled their Tuesday game @ Missouri St due to weather. Forecast does show thunderstorms at game time plus 2 hrs. Though RPI @ 203 and 23-19 record, Missouri St is not that bad. Beat Arkansas in March 14-13 in a 10 inning game and also beat Ok St. Game may have required Arkansas to go deeper into pitching staff than desired. And the possible affect on RPI. #baseball gods being kind to piggy https://arkansasrazorbacks.com/sport/m-basebl/
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D1 Chat excerpts. Some comments don't show alot of respect for Texas - nothing new. Do you think 18 or 19 SEC wins is the magic number for a top 8 national seed this year? Also, how many regional hosts do you think the SEC is awarded this year? There will probably be a top-eight seed or two that finishes with 18 or 19 SEC wins, but I'd hesitate to call it a magic number this year. Arkansas, for instance, is currently 14-7 with three very difficult series left. They could go 4-5 down the stretch and get to 18-12 in the league... but then they also would have lost 5 of their last 6 SEC series. They COULD still get a top-eight in that scenario, because their schedule has been very difficult... but they sure as heck wouldn't be a lock. As for hosts, I'm feeling 7 from the SEC. All of Texas's statement series wins (Auburn, LSU, Georgia, A&M) have come in Austin. Will Texas be able to replicate their success against elite opposition on the road in Arkansas? Seems like Dave Van Horn always beats Texas going back to his Nebraska days. It's a good point, you have to wonder what UT's SEC record would look like if those home and road series were reversed -- but ultimately that doesn't matter. Everybody has to play the schedule they draw, and Texas has played its schedule almost flawlessly. That said -- I do like Arkansas at home in that matchup. Running the gauntlet without any blemish is almost impossible... what Texas has done to this point is nothing short of remarkable, but I don't expect them to make it all the way through without a series loss. A question I did not expect would be asked early in the season--does Arkansas have the pitching to make an Omaha run? I get your point, certainly, but let's remember that Arkansas still ranks 12th in the nation in ERA. Everybody has ups and downs, but that's still an extraordinarily talented staff that has mostly performed well. Yes, they absolutely have the pitching firepower to get to Omaha and win it all. It's just about peaking at the right time. minimum Florida needs to do the rest of the way to not sweat on selection monday? and how about jake clemente? Given where Florida is overall record-wise and RPI-wise, I think the Gators are fine with 12 wins, in all honesty, to make the NCAA tournament field. The SEC looks like a league getting 13 tournament bids, and I'm not even sure it will be up for much debate on Selection Monday. I feel pretty confident in Florida getting to 12-13, along with A&M. Thoughts on what Texas A&M needs to do from here to solidify a tournament spot? I think 13 wins probably does it for the Aggies, maybe even 12. The Aggies don't have a ton of meat on the bone in non-conference play, but that Cal Poly series win actually now does look pretty good. No one has played a tougher intra-conference schedule than the Aggies. I would probably want to get to 13 to feel decently well about making the field. Right now, that means sweeping Missouri and not getting swept by LSU and Georgia. That seems more than doable IMO. Other than Texas and LSU (geaux tigers!) who do you trust in the sec to make a deep postseason run? I know Arkansas and Tennessee have slipped in the month of April, but I still trust both of them to make deep runs -- I have too much conviction in their talent levels, and they're both tough to beat at home, and they're both still going to be at home for regionals, at the minimum. Georgia's a weird team but I've still got them in my circle of trust too, despite the disappointing numbers that talented pitching staff has produced. They are a TOTALLY different team at home, and they're definitely going to host a regional, maybe also a super. If they get a top 8, they're going to Omaha, I think. No disrespect towards what Texas has achieved - but it feels like they have so many close wins, so many comebacks... eventually that magic runs out, right? Would they actually be better off losing a series or two before the postseason? It does seem like Texas is due for a stinker at some point, but those guys just keeping stepping up and winning series, so you have to give them a serious amount of credit. Hopefully for the Horns' sake, this isn't the case, but this team kind of reminds me of 2021 Arkansas. That year, the Hogs could not lose a weekend series and had a Volantis-type of arm in Kevin Kopps at the backend of games. Of course, that Arkansas team was eliminated from the NCAA tournament in the Super Regional round. Not saying that will remotely happen to Texas, but there are a lot of parallels between the two teams so far this spring. What’s the more unbelievable stat: Texas at 19-2 in the SEC or Missouri at 0-21? Missouri at 0-21. I don't understand how you can't find some random game that the other team just plays like garbage and you win.
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RPI rankings after the weekend carnage in Norman. Ky is #31. Thurs - Sat games Ky@Texas, OU@Florida, aggy@Tenn https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/softball/d1/ncaa-womens-softball-rpi 1 Texas A&M SEC 41-8 9-1 7-1 25-6 0-0 2 Florida SEC 41-11 15-5 7-0 19-6 0-0 3 Oklahoma SEC 42-5 15-3 5-0 22-2 0-0 4 UCLA Big Ten 44-7 12-3 15-4 17-0 0-0 5 Florida St. ACC 42-7 13-3 11-1 18-3 0-0 6 Arkansas SEC 36-10 11-5 12-1 13-4 0-0 7 LSU SEC 38-11 5-7 4-0 29-4 0-0 8 South Carolina SEC 36-13 8-9 0-0 28-4 0-0 9 Texas SEC 42-9 13-5 10-1 19-3 0-0 10 Tennessee SEC 39-11 12-4 10-3 17-4 0-0
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