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Auto Driller

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Everything posted by Auto Driller

  1. Bold of you to assume we can score 31 points. Or are we the 21?
  2. We lose points relative to the competition on every red zone possession. But we make up for it in volume!! cool
  3. I agree that going for it in that situation was the right call. But that’s because the current score, game dynamics up to that point, and outcome in the failure case tipped the balance in favor of going. What I disagree with is the notion that you should always go for it on 4th and less than X inside the Y yard line because the expected outcome of such a decision is 0.2 points per drive higher. Football isn’t a mathematical simulation.
  4. In 2024 the top 50 offenses in NCAA averaged approximately 8 yards per attempt passing. Those same offenses averaged about 5 yards per attempt rushing. Should we pass on every down? The analytics suggest we should, no?
  5. The problem with analytics based decision making is that it is limited to exactly one metric to guide decision making: “expected” points. In plain English we could say “how many points would I expect to score, on average, if I made this decision 1000000 times”. This value is going to be primarily based on data from other teams, with other players, and other coaches, in other places. Well, first of all, we don’t get to score 3.7 or 4.1 points. We get 7, 3, or 0 as others have already point out. And we don’t get to retry the same decision a billion times and approach the statistical average outcome. We get one chance. It also completely ignores very important factors like: - The psychological effects of a goal line stand on both teams. - The pressure applied to the opponent when the lead is narrowed. They may be forced to throw the ball where they otherwise would run, which increases the likelihood of a sack or turnover and may also preserve clock in the case of incompletions. - Each team’s particular strength or, ahem, weakness near the goal line. How did we lose to OSU when we had more passing yards, more rushing yards, greater TOP, more total plays, etc? Because we didn’t lose the turnover battle 1-0. We lost 5-1. A turnover on downs is absolutely back breaking, especially when it takes points off the board. Take the fucking points on the road against a top 5 team with a QB making his first real start who is clearly overwhelmed. Let the team build even a little bit of confidence and momentum. No one gives a fuck about what the binder says.
  6. Going for it on 4th and 1 was the right decision. But I think the criticism of Sark’s decision making extends to the rest of the game, as well as the last few seasons. It seems to me he suffers from a little bit of “gamblers fallacy” coaching. He wants to score TD, not FG. He has an elite defense. So he goes for it in situations where punting or kicking a field goal would make more sense. Then the failure to produce points on earlier drives necessitates more aggressive play calling later to make up for the deficit. Before you know it you turn the ball over on downs 4 times against a top 5 team on the road. He needs to learn to take the points until you don’t have any other choice but to force it. You’d think a former NFL guy would understand the value of 3 points but here we are.
  7. Syracuse is a much better landing spot than I was expecting. Maybe (hopefully) a semester out of D1 football snapped him back to reality and he’ll take advantage of this.
  8. So she is 24, and they “met on a flight to Palm Beach in 2021”. At this time, she would have been 20 - or possibly 19 - while he was 68 years old and the head coach of the Patriots. They could at least lie and say it was 2023 to make it slightly less ridiculous.
  9. Certainly this round of bombing will end terrorism once and for all.
  10. Lead off man was 0-3 with 3 K. Is that good?
  11. You can tell Mr Rasmussen is thrilled to meet his counterpart.
  12. Ok, let’s play along. Some country under tariffs decides to try to game the system by claiming a false country of origin. Are they contending that they would have been tricked if they were told “Yes sir Mr. Customs Officer these industrial widgets were built in Heard and McDonald Island! No tariffs for me.” And instead they would be charged 10% to make up for all the penguins that have been screwing over American workers?
  13. Endless shrimp at Red Lobster about to be 10% of US GDP.
  14. I seem to remember Jamie Dimon saying something along the lines of “tariffs are a little inflationary but they’re good for national security, so people just need to deal with it”.
  15. He wants to be able to demand bribes to lift the tariffs. He even talked about how he was anticipating phone calls immediately after the speech was over. He’s going to be disappointed when he discovers that everyone else just makes fair trade agreements amongst themselves.
  16. They should have granted Miles Garrett his wish and let him sign somewhere else. A $40M defensive lineman isn’t going to be able to compensate for the rest of the roster.
  17. https://www.politico.com/news/2025/03/29/trump-aides-tariffs-liberation-day-fears-00259081 TLDR No one, even inside of Trump’s cabinet, knows what the tariffs announced on Tuesday are going to look like.
  18. The constitution also says a presidential election must be held every 4 years. The only “loophole” is canceling elections by declaring martial law.
  19. Has anyone texted Pete to see what’s up?
  20. Certainly the threat of destruction at the hands of the US military will make them less likely to develop an atomic bomb.
  21. Certainly a bully will stop abusing you once you capitulate, right? Besides that, firms that cut a deal are going to be bankrupt anyways once their clients abandon them for lawyers with a spine.
  22. It’s great when the list of defendants is so long you don’t even get to the substance of the complaint until page 7.
  23. It’s one banana, Michael. How much could it cost? $12,000?
  24. The source was almost certainly local, meaning it probably took many years to develop the relationship.
  25. “We are currently clean on OPSEC.” - Whiskey Pete Can you imagine the field day foreign intelligence services have been having with this administration? They’re probably more upset than anyone about this leak.
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