GWB has had them on the "axis of evil" for over 20 years. By now, there is absolutely no chance Bibi has intelligence better than what we would have. To the contrary, Bibi was butthurt about Obama's peace deal that allowed inspections and that every unbiased observer agreed was being complied with, so I would trust our own intel over theirs. When Trump tore up the deal, which happened I believe around the same time John "war in Iran is my wet dream" Bolton was still in his cabinet we would have had even more of an incentive to keep the closest tabs on Iran's progress.
To my mind, if either country had smoking gun evidence that Iran were on the "1 yard line" like that tweet says, it already would have been published and shouted from the rooftops. And before they could get to the 1 yard line that also means they had entered the red zone months ago, which if that had been true there never would have been so much diplomatic progress with Witkoff. So either our intelligence community had been asleep at the wheel for months across two administrations or maybe just maybe this is another Bush-style exaggeration.