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chainsaw

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Everything posted by chainsaw

  1. Connor Stroh has been benched. I think Arch and the RBs have had decent protection since then. Unless you have Georgia's talent, I am not concerned.
  2. Utah's OL has nothing of value to protect, and didn't look particularly impressive in Lawrence.
  3. Florida and Georgia also recruit much better players because they are flagship programs in talent-dense states. Tech fights for scraps and needs to portal everyone else in. The blueprint for beating Texas up front is easy to imitate but hard to duplicate, and I have a hard time believing Tech would have as much success as is being suggested.
  4. Arch doesn't need much time to make plays, but also, how would you know? There's not a single B1G or SEC team on Tech's schedule. Tech opted to schedule Oregon State, a team that can't even beat Sam Houston in Corvallis. It's safe to say, Tech's front seven has not actually been tested.
  5. Okay, the thing is that Vegas doesn't use these weird little websites, and for good reason. Sagarin for example has Notre Dame #2. Sorry but that right there discredits everything else his model has to say about college football in 2025. Kenpom would never. I'm mainly going by matchups and talent. Texas would simply overwhelm Tech, and that's how I see the game shaking out 9 out of 10 times, which is how Vegas will set the line.
  6. This is exactly it. Would probably portal in a new insurance policy, but Lacey should have most reps and if he's good he should beat out the insurance portal guy for 2nd string.
  7. Does Sagarin simulate games? I've not seen anything like that. I don't think BYU is any good. We'll see if Tech covers whatever the spread ends up being.
  8. Caldwell was an insurance policy. He gone.
  9. I still remember when we had to boatrace Okie Lite in Dallas to win a beauty contest over Florida State. Alabama can definitely be punished by the committee if it shits the bed in Atlanta. A close loss, maybe they're still in, but a blowout hurts them as much as it would help the opposing team achieve a higher seed.
  10. No seriously, I am not sure what counts as a "projection" to you. My opinion is based on the fact that Texas Tech doesn't have the Jimmies or the Joes to compete with elite programs. A team with a good record from a weak conference does not fool Vegas. Why do you think Penn State was heavily favored against Boise last year, even though Boise had a guy with stats comparable to Barry Sanders? I don't have a problem with Tech getting an automatic bid and being the representative from the Big XII. I even think they have a puncher's chance of upsetting a team like Texas A&M if they were to meet. But Vegas would still have aggy favored. SEC teams just have more depth and have been tested more than Tech has. If you think we're just being biased, by all means, test that theory by going somewhere else and asking what they think Vegas would be likely to do and why.
  11. Tell you what, go to secrant or any other board and ask them what they'd set the line at and why. Report back.
  12. I didn't say we would beat or be favored against every team, though. We know Ohio State and Georgia would be favored. I don't need to debate about Indiana, Oregon, Ole Miss, or Bama, because it doesn't matter. Even if we assume those six teams should be ranked ahead of Texas, that still makes Texas a top ten team. The rest are "the obvious" (to borrow your words), but just to be thorough, we beat Vandy, ousux, and aggy, and we have a better record than ND against common opponents. Tech has no common opponents because of its incredibly weak schedule. You cannot say with a straight face that Vegas would project Tech to beat Texas. That's just reality. The same can be said for BYU. Miami is the closest call because it has a better record and beat the only common opponent (Florida) albeit not at the swamp. If we grant that Miami should be ahead, just to be conservative, that means seven teams clearly should be ranked ahead of Texas: Ohio State, Georgia, Indiana, Oregon, Ole Miss, Alabama, Miami. The remaining teams (Vandy, ousux, aggy, ND, Tech, BYU) might have better records, but they would not be favored against Texas because Texas is a better team with better athletes, and Texas has already beaten half of them.
  13. For what? I already told you, among the 13 teams ranked ahead of Texas by the AP, Texas is better than at least four: three teams it already beat (Vandy, ousux, aggy) and the teams you already agreed it would be favored against (Miami, Notre Dame, BYU). If you think Tech would be favored, you'd be in the minority.
  14. Texas Tech has not played anyone good, and despite that, they aren't undefeated. They would not be favored against any SEC playoff team, and would not be favored against Texas. In fact, I would even say that Tech would struggle against Tennessee and Florida.
  15. They have no chance of winning without Kiffin or any of his staff.
  16. That only lessens the impact of "punishing" teams who lose their conference championship games. Sark is right that if Texas had gone to Louisville instead of Columbus there would be no debate. So would you rather "punish" teams who sign up for tough OOC competition but fail to win, or do you want to "punish" teams who make the conference championship but fail to win? Remember that if SMU had beaten Clemson, SMU probably wouldn't need to go on the road (in other words, they were "punished" with a lower seed for losing to Clemson)
  17. Well, for starters, Texas has already beaten three of the 13. Who's left? Indiana, let's call that one a wash. (Personally I think we smoke them) Oregon, let's call that a wash, too. (Same) Texas Tech, I have no doubt we would crush them, and Vegas would agree. Lubbock, Jerryworld, it don't make a shit. Texas by 20+ (Wh)ole Mess, call it a wash. Notre Dame, we have a stronger record against common opponents (2-0 vs. 1-1) Alabama, Georgia, and Ohio State, I'll concede they'd be favored. BYU? We would be favored by two scores. Miami? We would be favored as well. Do you think anything I just said is outlandish?
  18. Why not? It happened all the time in the BCS days.
  19. It's just true. Can you name ten teams ranked ahead of Texas that would beat Texas?
  20. and if Georgia wins in Atlanta? Then what?
  21. Would Texas have lost to Florida if they'd benched Stroh and moved Hutson to Guard? If Malik Muhamad was available to prevent Dallas Wilson from racking up 100+ yard receiving and 2 TDs? I doubt it. if we're going to nitpick the win against OU because of Mateer's health we also should be willing to nitpick the loss at Florida. But you don't need to do any of that because deep down everyone knows that no matter what the records say, as of November 30, the Texas Longhorns are a better team than, and would beat (and in the case of three of them, have already beaten) most of the 13 teams the Coaches and AP have ranked ahead of them
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