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Anastasis

Certifiably Surly
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    31010
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Everything posted by Anastasis

  1. I am loaded to the upside, so clearly biased, but I think that this is wound to spring in the short term with anything approximating good news. See the movement from this morning. I could see a good jump this week or next. Or it could melt down completely. I think that we are higher than current either way as we come of the summer, and that is where my chips are. @Wally Fairway is the market mover, so I am willing to contribute to the Wallyfund if he will take up some ultra leveraged put positions. In the meantime, I'll just be donkeying along and shooting dice.
  2. I only have long calls (july and sept), but in short term a straddle seems like you could pick up both sides of this volatility. And I think that we are only in for huge volality in the near team. See like 930 am.
  3. What dates and strikes are you looking for?
  4. Were down like 2%, went out to water the garden, came back and SP was green, went to kitchen to get a coffee, back down 0.5%.
  5. Three. Reasonably good genetics. Their 529s looks like shit right now though.
  6. Time horizon is 10-15 years. Worst case scenario is 20.
  7. I don't have nearly enough dry powder as I would like. But I am buying all the way down this shit. And will start converting physical metals soon. My backstop is 5.56 and real estate with garden plots.
  8. I was told that they had major demographic crisis brewing.
  9. It seems really stupid for the knees, esp for younger kids they throw at it without any real training on form.
  10. Triple jump may be the worst thing that a kid can do to their body. Other than apparently telling a kid to leave your school tent and getting stupid when they want to pick a fight.
  11. All insurance with exception of life is more risk on. Lawn has more weeds and I have more DIY chemicals in the garage. Cut out Emerald Lawns when they sold out to private equity. Still eating out too much, but opening the freezer a bit more to work through the game stock. Actually thinking about what I am buying at the grocery store. Me and the boys also piss in the backyard instead of the bathroom to save on the flushes.
  12. The absolute worst. Soccer has well defined time commitments. Travel is a bitch though.
  13. Yesterday and today and maybe monday too.
  14. Bought some well out of the money Sept SPY calls into this close. Should go into the stonk thread since SPY is a stonk now.
  15. Taking a lot of will power to not push a good chunk of cash in my 401k into this dip. So far I am only doing stupid things in my trading accounts.
  16. So I've numbers ranging quite a bit in terms of what is maturing in 2025 and needs to be rolled out. Is there a good source what exactly needs to be refinanced and at what rates they were originally issued?
  17. It's a very sad story and a very sad thread. Unfortunately not surprised to see some of the seizures breaking out here.
  18. I was buying yesterday. I am buying today. Sticking to strong dividend paying stocks and BRK.
  19. Besnet has been pretty openly focused on bringing down the 10y. Looking back at some of his statements in hindsight is interesting. He basically said he they were going to get the yield down with or without the Fed. Of course it is overfitting in hindsight, but seriously go back and read some of his comments ca. February.
  20. Totally broken brained poster. Enjoy the conversations you are having with yourself in your own head you psycho.
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