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jimmyjazz

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by jimmyjazz

  1. 22 minutes ago, Lagunamadre said:

    When Manafort reports to prison or Cohen is indicted, the narrative will change. The news cycle in the Trump era is like West Texas weather, "if you don't like it, just wait five minutes". 

    If I had a dollar for every time I've heard something similar from the (my) left, I'd have a whole lot of dollars.  This requires a coordinated response from "above", and of course, that ain't happening.

  2. I'm not about to post the longcat back and forth to this post, but suffice it to say a warm CostCo is a BIG DEAL to some people.

     

    Quote
    Air Conditioning problems at Costco Research Blvd store

    I was at Costco Research Blvd store today & was overwhelmed by the heat & asked a clerk what the problem was. She reported that Management has been unresponsive to the employees complaints about the heat. I spoke with a Manager who told me they are well aware of the problem & that the cost to replace the air conditioning is expensive & will involve a helicopter. When I inquired when it would be repaired he said not to expect any improvement until Fall. Hopefully if enough customers complain to Costco they will consider expediting the project. We are only there for an hour or so but the employees are miserable and feel that the members have the only voice management will respond to. I encourage Costco members to complain on line about this issue for our comfort as well as all the employees at our local Costco.

     

  3. 1 minute ago, Tuco said:

    Prior to reading the report, I believe that Comey had an imperfect approach to a no win situation.  It seems silly to use "deviate from norms" as a criticism of an unprecedented situation.  If an analysis of what he should have done takes more than the time he had to set his path, then it certainly something I take with a grain of salt. 

    And that's with the understanding that his imperfect actions likely lead to the election of the worst president in American history.  The severity of the results does not define the unreasonableness of the actions

    Well said.  Good guy in a bad spot.  I think he has a little taste for the spotlight, but I have seen nothing that says he put ego ahead of duty in his actions.  (Cue the inevitable backlash, which, as others have pointed out, just diminishes their point, as everything Comey did helped Trump, not Hillary.)

  4. 2 minutes ago, Onboard 2.0 said:

    Niiiiiice.

    Except he completely ignored the 2 most correlated events in short-term market stagnations or dips, those being Greece/China and Brexit.

    One can tell the whole truth or not, but intentionally omitting truth is not exactly back-patting material.  Except on the right.

  5. 13 minutes ago, babysdaddy said:

    Jimmy always loves to select certain dates to prove his point.   Jimmy did this when we got into a debate on deficits in the fall of 2016.  Jimmy is smart although misleading unless you're very aware of his date selections and what was going on in the markets during that time.  Same thing with that guy that tried to point out markets are down since January 26th of this year.  

    LOL wut?  I've taken the dates offered and beat down the arguments.  You should probably not worry so much about "jimmy".

    You either take a macro view or you don't.  The less macro the view, the easier it is to cherry pick dates.  I took almost the most defensible macro view possible in comparing Trump to Obama, but by all means attack me for trying to actually get to the truth.

  6. Not trading advice . . . but the Greeks are real.  As expiry approaches, T below $33 is going to drive those $33 calls to $0.00 (delta = 0) and T above $33 is going to drive them to pure intrinsic (delta = 1).  Expiry is tomorrow.

    Personally, I'm looking to see if this little run today might have some gas in the tank, but I will probably exit before end of day.  All extrinsic value at the close will probably evaporate overnight.  I'd rather take small profits than watch them go "poof" just because T decided not to run tomorrow.

    • Like 1
  7. Just now, BabaYaga said:

    Jesus Christ, this isn't hard.  UE dropped.  It's a bullshit metric compared to historic norms due to labor participation rate exclusions, but it is going down.  Especially across certain demographics.  It's not really at the number stated, but the downward trend is real.

    Jesus Christ yourself, I'm not arguing it dropped you fool.  I'm arguing it dropped at the same rate it's been dropping for years.

    God damn.

  8. 2 minutes ago, riloh05 said:

    so my comment was correct? 11/8/16 is a good starting point, being that markets are reactionary. go on and revise the numbers.

    I'm not going to do your homework for you.  Your statement was "Obama's last year" and "Trump's first year" and I proved that the numbers are essentially the same.

    Funny how ya'll weren't ever nearly so interested in the details 2008-2016.

  9. 2 minutes ago, Onboard 2.0 said:

    No I said used to bolster his numbers.  This isn't a seasonal employment trend right now (or the last 2 quarters), its across all industry. try to keep up now....

    You're absolutely cryptic.  "Seasonality" cannot be used to justify consistent drops in unemployment.  What you are apparently referring to is "seasonally adjusted" numbers, which have been used since the dawn of time.

  10. 1 minute ago, BabaYaga said:

    They are lower.  Problem arises when comparing to historic norms.  That's where you have to reconcile with historically shittastic labor participation rates.  Which funny enough, we never heard much about from our resident Obama goal tenders during the last 8 years....consistency and all that.

    I'm sorry, you're going to have to explain this gem of a post.  WTF?  What are "lower"?  Trump touts UE3 just as the Obama administration did, and the Trumpkins lap it up.  Come on, man.

  11. Just now, Onboard 2.0 said:

    So let's talk about how much employment has improved, and not just the seasonal numbers that are always used to bolster Mr. Obamas numbers.

    LOL.  So "seasonality" explained Obama's numbers . . . and yet "seasonality" is by definition a cyclical phenomenon.

    Are you making this shit up?

  12. Just now, BabaYaga said:

    UE3 numbers mean jack squat without reconciling them against the labor participation rate.  Didn't with Obama.  Don't with Trump.  

    That's a perfectly reasonable argument, as long as it's actually recognized, which (of course) is not being done with Trump.  BEST UNEMPLOYMENT NUMBERS EVER!!!  MAGA!!! 

    Bullshit.  Be consistent.

  13. 7 minutes ago, Onboard 2.0 said:

    I'm sorry, writing a check that created the greatest deficit ratio in the nations history is not an example of starting the recovery. Initiating ACA was not an example of starting the recovery, so please list those things that started the recovery.

    If this is true, then Obama had nothing to do with the massive bull market, and the precipitous drop in unemployment, yet somehow Trump is responsible for the incremental improvements in both since Obama left office.

    As I asked riloh, you sure you want to continue?

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