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TwiceHorn

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by TwiceHorn

  1. And you kinda actually do have to hear what he says to evaluate his credibility.
  2. I think you have to take evidence and argument to give a nod to due process. The risk here for the judge is it looks like personal pique.
  3. He was fined by Engoron in the investigation phase $10k/day to $110k. He paid.
  4. The sanctions for violating the gag order are going to escalate. Not sure at this point it's going to be jail, maybe 25k or 50k. The problem for the judge here in these kinds of cases is that they are the sole arbiter of violation and punishment, and there's usually a personal element to it. So the sanctions have to be progressive.
  5. While this is true, Slacks is fundamentally right, these people are all lying sacks of shit and just generally lack credibility.
  6. To some extent, those contradictions are going to ding his crediblity before a jury. Remember, while we hope a jury is Trumpist free, it's also going to be full of people that are a bit more open-minded about him than we are, and probably less familar with the stupidity of Trumpists. So, the contradictory statements in his book and in his testimony secured by criminal immunity may be dimly viewed by jurors. Doesn't seem like there will be a shortage of witnesses with similar or corroborative testimony, though.
  7. I'm trying to find a copy of the plea agreement. It doesn't look like it was publicly filed. Defendants are free, I suppose, to contradict or outright deny their plea agreements to the public. Everyone in prison is innocent, and most of them are there by plea. It doesn't affect anything with the court or the plea itself. although, if she insists it was coerced, a court could drag her back in, rehear that, and revoke the plea. What I did find, however, is something that will make you very happy I think. And that is that the first thing she pled to is "conspiracy to commit theft by taking." And the Georgia Criminal Code provides § 16-8-2. Theft by Taking Universal Citation: GA Code § 16-8-2 (2020) A person commits the offense of theft by taking when he unlawfully takes or, being in lawful possession thereof, unlawfully appropriates any property of another with the intention of depriving him of the property, regardless of the manner in which the property is taken or appropriated. The Texas Disciplinary Rules of Procedure provide, in the definitions section: GG. “Serious Crime” means barratry; any felony involving moral turpitude; any misdemeanor involving theft, embezzlement, or fraudulent or reckless misappropriation of money or other property; or any attempt, conspiracy, or solicitation of another to commit any of the foregoing crimes. and V. “Intentional Crime” means (1) any Serious Crime that requires proof of knowledge or intent as an essential element or (2) any crime involving misapplication of money or other property held as a fiduciary. And, finally: 8.05. Disbarment: When an attorney has been convicted of an Intentional Crime, and that conviction has become final, or the attorney has accepted probation with or without an adjudication of guilt for an Intentional Crime, the attorney shall be disbarred . . . . So, ol Sid seems pretty highly likely, almost dead certain in fact, to lose her Texas law license notwithstanding what happens relative to the Kraken suits. The "felony of moral turpitude" out that I discussed earlier has no application here. And, I have personal knowledge that the Bar lawyers that handle this stuff are familiar, fully competent, and pretty fucking fierce at handling this type of thing, known as "compulsory discipline." Plus, the only thing they have to prove is the conviction itself. Legal reporting is shitty, because no one mentioned that one of the misdemeanors was theft.
  8. I don't watch pro sports much at all. Jerrah and the Cowboys put me off the NFL, and, although I am a baseball fan, the length of the MLB season has always put me off a bit, as well as the long futility of the home-team Rangers. The 40 or so games of the NCAA regular season, which I follow closely, are plenty enough for me. Fuck a hunnert. So, being a fair-weather fan, I started following the Rangers post-season and looking up players that I had vague and not-so-vague recollections of from NCAA baseball, e.g. Scherzer and Bregman, among others. Vaguely happy for homeboy Chris Young, too. And the owners are refreshingly low-profile compared to Jerrah and a lot of others. And then of course noticed how most all of the players bounce all around the leagues in various commercial transactions like a round lot of securities. Or pork bellies. Or OJ concentrate. And that underscores my fundamental problem with pro sports: I need some hook or rooting interest beyond the corporate HQ and name being in my home town. And most of the players being brought in like feedstock to a refinery: tank cars of basically fungible goo. Shit, I kinda bemoan what college sports are turning into, but at least players incented by NIL or traveling through the portal consented and even actively chose to come to my Texas Longhorns and represent the university. So, yeah, Rangers buying players. Big fucking deal. All in the game, yo. Also why I'm not really that fond of the game at the pro level.
  9. Not to mention, US subs operated in Tokyo Bay. After traversing 2000 miles from Pearl to there, mostly on the surface, at speeds about that of a freight convoy (e.g. 8-10 knots), just like the Krauts. The best diesel-electric boats have a submerged range in the vicinity of 4-500 NM, meaning they're going to have to spend a lot of time on the surface to go anywhere, like out of the Mediterranean, which is about 2500 miles long. So, yeah, diesel electric boats are stealthy as hell when submerged. The problem is they're extremely vulnerable outside coastal waters.
  10. Well that's why Trump doesn't fare very well in a court of law (which is actually to be distinguished from pretrial proceedings in a civil court): it's a pretty fact-oriented place.
  11. Someone, I think Biff said it above, these motions seem to be mostly political fodder. One that is really laughable is a motion to strike all reference to January 6 violence from the indictment because allegedly Trump isn't accused of being responsible for 1/6. I don't know what in the blue fuck they think conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding is if it isn't January 6. They cite a NY Post article as evidence, without combing through the indictment, which clearly lays responsibility for January 6 at the feet of Trump by virtue of the entire conspiracy. Laughable, man.
  12. What perjury? I think I missed something? It does seem that a lot of Trump confidantes are going to be able to testify to his state of mind in the run up to 1/6.
  13. So, Trump filed five more motions to dismiss the indictment in DC. See them here. https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/67656604/united-states-v-trump/ I think they're all pretty weak, some laughable even. But a big flurry of activity that was somewhat expected. One of the most astonishing arguments they've made is that his acquittal in the Senate on the two impeachments is double jeopardy for these criminal charges.
  14. I kind of tend to agree. We knew from the outset, pretty much, that a RICO case of this type is designed to secure pleas from lower-level offenders. Do we know if Ellis' plea is to a felony or not? As discussed extensively, that should jeopardize their law licenses, as should a misdemeanor involving fraud or deceit. ETA: So, the underlying offense in Georgia appears to be a felony as it is punishable by 1-5 years in prison (felonies are usually >1 year). It's a little bit unclear whether aiding and abetting liability drops it to a misdemeanor. However, the peanut gallery will be glad to know that most misdemeanors involving falsity, fraud, deceit, or theft also subject lawyers to disbarment or suspension in most jurisdictions. So Jenna's erstwhile career as failed traffic prosecutor seems to be over.
  15. Actually, see it says "Race: B" so I think "Ethnicity: N" means none. I think "ethnicity" is used to identify hispanics. Regardless, pretty clear the dude needs help, hope he gets it and accepts it.
  16. So, sidebar question. Muslim Arabs haven't always been fundamentalist jihadists. They've had some pretty solid societies over history that were tolerant and educated, at least that is what I have been mostly led to believe/understand. What caused them to become such "shitheads"? Fall of the Ottoman Empire and falling behind the west? Is there any hope that the Arab world will moderate?
  17. That "our religion" thing is really breathtaking. Given that the moron party relies on an unholy alliance of fundagelical protestants, catlicks, and a few jews, they really ought to be considering what happens when the theocracy dog catches the car. I doubt the ratfuck baptis and the papists are going to exactly welcome each other with open arms. And, intellectually and in terms of political sophistication, it really is the Dominionist Catholics that are running this shit and will take the positions of power.
  18. Pretty good analysis of the Immunity dispute teed up in Chutkan's court. https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/taking-trump-s-presidential-immunity-briefing-seriously Biggest issue of presidential power since the Nixon administration, and maybe really ever given the unlikely nature of it having arisen, until now. I don't really even count Clinton v. Jones.
  19. No, none of that is within the scope of Engoron's gag order, which protects court staff, and court staff only. I thought this was a Smith rant. Most criminal defendants aren't subject to gag orders, and in the unusual case that they are, judges almost always follow the increasing sanctions contempt model: fine>bigger fine>jail.
  20. So, two examples of 5* that played as JAG+ here. Development? Or bad eval?
  21. There was some thing published in the early 90s about teams of the 80s. BYU was one of them, So was AFA. Texas wasn't on the list.
  22. Well, I think a huge factor is sheer ignorance of the problem. We went over there to make stuff and they swiped all our shit. They sent students over and we didn't think anything of it and they swiped our shit. Now that we're aware, I think we can stop some of the more obvious opportunities for them to swipe shit.
  23. Which one? Source? The DC gag order is apparently stayed for a moment pending appeal. If Chutkan doesn't continue the stay, the DC Circuit will rule on it. Given that it's stayed, I think he has a reprieve on that.
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