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Gap03

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Gap03

  1. Not quite - AZ is 11, GA is 16, and MI is 16. To restate where most think we will end up tonight (which includes AZ + NV + NE-2 in Biden's column), Biden would be at 244 EVs. Any of the following combinations get him the 26 he needs to win: WI (10) + MI (16) WI (10) + GA (16) WI (10) + PA (20) Any two of MI / PA / NC / GA
  2. Nothing would be more 2020 than a 269-269 or 270-268 EC result ...
  3. Biden outperforming Clinton significantly in early returns in Ohio. I want to believe.
  4. King is great, but I can't take Wolf. Kornacki it is ...
  5. Some great comments ...
  6. I've grown pretty fond of what the Brits adapted for him in 2017:
  7. In 2016, Trump won Upshur County by 68 pts sooooooooo ...
  8. On MSNBC, they were noting that Detroit officials had recently dropped projected turnout in the city from 60% to 50%. Does that make anyone else nervous, or do you think that the MI polls had accounted for lower turnout there?
  9. Definitely used all of his adderall at the finale rally yesterday ...
  10. EU population ~ 447m, US population ~ 328m, so divide the EU number by 1.36 to get a fair comparison to the US number. That's about 150k for the EU vs 81k for the U.S. They've got a real problem, which is why they're trying to re-institute lockdowns.
  11. Here's how I picture Meadows after Trump finally strokes out in a couple of weeks ...
  12. It feels like the effort by Trafalgar, Susquehanna & InsiderAdvantage (both brought to you by the Center for American Greatness, for fuck's sake) and Rasmussen is to create enough right-leaning polls to swing the RCP average (which doesn't account for the quality of the polls in the same way that 538 does) so that Trump can scream that he won and have it not look quite so ridiculous. It's ridiculous and transparent, but obviously sufficient for those that quote Breitbart / OANN / Gateway Pundit as legit news.
  13. Trump has weaponized the stupidity of the masses, and social media has made it virulent. If the EU authorities can't get shit under control, things are going to get real ugly, real quick in the EU. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/nov/02/latest-coron
  14. While they have the volume of neck waddle right, missing neck-gina - 2/10. WNB(uy).
  15. Based on the most recent Marist and Rasmussen (I know it's shit, just using it for consistency of split) polls, Cunningham is running 4 pts ahead of Biden (+10 vs +6 on Marist; +3 vs. -1 on Rasmussen). That's a good sign for Cunningham because it seems like, at worst, the presidential race is a dead heat in NC. If that +4 spread holds, it feels pretty likely that Cunningham wins.
  16. Fox News thinks Trump won????
  17. Mark my words - Trump is going to manage to make this debate far worse than the first one. There really is no bottom with these fuckers. If you're intent on watching, come prepared ...
  18. Our fucking president is a trash panda ...
  19. The E.U. is a bit ahead of us in this next wave, but as the colder weather kicks in, we're going to be right behind them. As many of us mentioned at the time, the fact that none of Trump or his infectees ended up dying just emboldened the dumbshits, so we're going to be fucked in a few more weeks. https://www.vox.com/21514530/europe-covid-second-wave-update
  20. I can't help but feel like that list should be re-organized so it can be sung to the tune of "It's the End of the World" by R.E.M. ...
  21. A take so shitty that even the NY Post disavows its assertions by marking it an "Opinion" piece - nice work.
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