Jump to content

gmr548

Legacy Members
  • Posts

    14784
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Everything posted by gmr548

  1. You would be surprised at how many college offenses this describes.
  2. We're going to. I'm ripping this from Scipio/Wadlington, but football is pass/fail. What was on the field yesterday would absolutely be enough to wax SJSU 56-3 or whatever. Plenty of shitty Mack/Strong/Herman teams and Sark's 2021 team managed to run up outsized margins against lesser opponents. We've already seen Arch Manning do so with many of the same flaws he exhibited yesterday. You can get away with things against SJSU, UTEP, and SHSU that you can't against Ohio State. Fuck it's going to be a long month lol
  3. Not sure I but that's the same person; but if so, woof. Hate will age a motherfucker.
  4. SJSU lost to a Central Michigan team that threw 11 passes and outrushed them by more than 3x (236-75). Offensively, they did throw for 308 but it took them 45 attempts at 53% completion. This is a bad team that should not score on the Texas first team defense. Hopefully they will rotate lots of young guys and get out of there healthy. I'm sure everyone will be stoked about a bounceback game from Arch but I doubt there will be anything to take from the next three games on that front. Of course he'll feel more comfortable and play cleaner.
  5. I think this probably how it ends up. Caleb Downs ain't walking through that door and Ohio State's LBs are really fucking good too. Still, OU will likely have the personnel, schemes, and intensity to cause the Texas offense quite a few problems unless Arch's mental game improves by leaps and bounds in 41 days.
  6. I think there's a decent chance Oklahoma is better on defense than Ohio State. Certainly up front. Our OL played pretty well but I'm not sure Ohio State's DL is the elite unit we're used to seeing from them. Now, their offense also probably presents less of a challenge for our defense too. RRS could be an absolute rock fight.
  7. I watched the video (because I hate myself) and I agree, more of those throws were there than I realized live. The majority of snaps I think Arch gets to the (or at least a) correct decision and is just late. It's reasonable to expect that anticipation to develop with time, though maybe more like next season than next month. In that sense I feel a little better. A few really were just brutal unforced breakdowns though: Obviously the first pass of the game. Gets spooked by the pursuing defender and short arms what was schemed for an easy 20 yard game right off the bat. Game in a nutshell. On the 4th down throw to Livingstone in the endzone, he's got Wingo on a slant on a designed pick play. Guaranteed first down and potentially a TD if Wingo gets some momentum. Instead Arch chooses the higher degree of difficulty with the deep out - actually thorws a decent ball but it's well covered and Livingstone can't quite make the play. Both third down drags to Wingo, the one in the red zone and the one on the last drive. The latter definitely worse. Just late to make the throw and pressing resulting in unnecessarily bad balls. Hugely consequential unforced errors. INT - Now we can't see the pattern in the TV view, but as mentioned below Arch turns his back to the defense on the play fake. The throw to Wingo is there if it's dropped over the DB and in front of Wingo. Tough catch but the DB can't do anything about it. Very possible Arch is late allowing the DB to close on what would have been a huge play if thrown on time. It seems to me the root issue for a lot of this is the composure and anticipation that comes with experience. He's been clunky with touch and timing in the short/intermediate game every time we've seen him at Texas though. While I obviously expect him to play better over the course of the year, if it looked like that coming out of fall camp, I don't expect it will improve enough to really stress the better defenses on the schedule, and Texas will see some more struggles in the passing game. Unless Texas is able to just dominate games with defense and running the ball there could be several stressful, ugly rock fights and a few more Ls in store. Side note - man, Endries had a really nice game. He is faster than I realized, faster than helm and maybe even Sanders. He should have a great year. I think this is absolutely the explanation of that stat.
  8. Obviously not, but it's equally unserious to think Ohio State couldn't read the writing on the wall during the game. They turtled. It worked until Arch found a modicum of a pulse there in Q4 and it came back to bit them a bit. But they knew early on they were winning that game if they didn't hand it to Texas. So in some sense I think the team stats and gap in total yardage are a bit of an illusion. That's not to say I don't think the Texas defense played a strong game because they obviously did.
  9. Yeah it was really jarring. It's not like Ewers where they looked bad from day 1 and just kind of never got fixed. I have never seen Arch's feet die or throw sidearmed like he did yesterday. Issues with timing, decision making, sure. Seen that before and expected more of the same. Standard young QB stuff. Chernobyl-level meltdown with loss of physical ability to throw a football for three full quarters? That was one of the stranger things I've ever seen on a football field.
  10. Also this. If it's 4th and goal from the 3-4, I think he kicks it and that's a more defensible decision. Baxter's second effort got you a couple feet from the goal line and completely changed the calculus.
  11. The solution isn't pivoting to the clearly inferior option in terms of maximizing win probability. It's not being so shitty at setting your team up for success in that situation. Also, no, losing 14-12 does not feel any different than losing 14-7. That is just aggy grade cope.
  12. I don't know. They obviously have things to improve on. They were also pretty clearly calling a very conservative game, especially after going up1 4-0 but even before then. Once Texas couldn't answer their first TD I think it was as obvious to them as it was to anyone watching the game that they were going to win so long as they didn't give Texas anything on a silver platter. If we can shrug off what Arch just put out there as nerves and be confident he'll improve then I see no reason Ohio State should be particularly concerned.
  13. This is a pointless argument. Sark is the OC and supposed QB guru. Sark took an active role in the recruitment of Arch Manning. The quality of the QB play isn't an excuse for him, it's supposed to be the differentiator.
  14. Playing Ohio State week 1 was fun. We should continue these games whether they're week 1, 2, whatever. Blacklisting opening weekend because we showed up with a QB that looked like you dropped a high schooler in the shoe for most of the game would be charmin soft. We should just be better next time.
  15. Oh no, not female cheerleaders!
  16. How could we forget when it's exactly what we watched today?
  17. I haven't even gotten a chance to watch and yet I can confidently say this is wrong lol Stop using Heisman and Arch in the same sentence unless it's a joke. Let's just hope he doesn't cost us games outright in Gainesville and Dallas.
  18. I guess you could make the argument with a serious face if you lack a 6th grade level grasp of probability.
  19. The failed 4th down on the first drive would have been a 60 yard kick. Texas then had a 4th and goal from the 1 in Q3 down 7-0 and a 4th and 3 at the 9 down 14-0 in Q4. None of these are the right place to kick a FG.
  20. What? It was in fact our one chance to get 6 points for gaining one yard, and you literally cannot get better value than that in football.
  21. Wrong, again. Points are at a premium. You'll never have a better chance at a TD again and the downside of OSU getting the ball at their own 1 is negligible. Go for the TD. The cost/benefit and impact on win probability is really, really clear cut.
  22. This is the only 4th down go/no go decision that should be scrutinized. It worked out, so it'll be forgotten, but turning the ball over to OSU on your own 35 is flirting with disaster and a new set of downs at your own 35 is not at all worth that risk even if you feel good about it.
  23. A touchdown ties the game and significantly increases your win probability. Kicking a FG, still needing a TD, and giving OSU the ball in standard field position vs. turning it over at the 1 is a negligible difference. Don't be stupid.
  24. Oh for god's sake, we are not going with this, are we?
  25. A FG over going for it on 4th and goal from the 1 would have been deadpanned as a soft move and rightfully so. You will never be offered a better deal than 6 points at the cost of 1 yard. That Texas's offense had struggled to that point isn't an argument to kick the FG. It's an argument to take that chance because your odds of getting that kind of scoring opportunity again are slim to none. Texas knew this. Ohio State knew this. Ohio State converted on 4th and goal from the 1 and Texas didn't, and that was the margin. FGs would not have changed that. I don't even know what other situation this could be applied to. If you're seriously advocating trotting out a college kicker for a 60 yard field goal on 4th and 2, you are an idiot. If you're seriously arguing for kicking a FG down 14-0 in Q4, you are an idiot.
×
×
  • Create New...