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gmr548

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Everything posted by gmr548

  1. We were just down there this last weekend; it was nice, but I found myself thinking that we should really be going in October when it cools off a little. Just brutal to be out there on the beach with the summers turning into what we have had the past couple years. Agreed, and that's kid of nice. My favorite spot to eat in Port A is San Juan. It isn't anything super special, just decent-to-good, no frills Tex Mex with great prices, exactly the sort of thing you want to smash after a day at the beach.
  2. Atlanta is a top 10 MSA, extremely car dependent (especially relative to most of the MSAs that are larger), and does not have the anti-EV O&G presence that sinks DFW and Houston. I would expect it to be right where it is. There's also a lot of investment in GA when it comes to battery manufacturing and energy storage.
  3. I mean, I think they are probably a back-end of the top 25 type team, but you saw the NCG right? Between that and who they lost, it's easy to leave them off. I think Cal could be sneaky competitive this year. Wouldn't surprise me to see them bite Auburn at home and be the best of the rest. But yeah, there's a very clear top half and bottom half out there. Going to be a wild season between lots of competitive games between the upper tier, and every single lower tier team being out for blood against USC/UCLA/UO/UW.
  4. Three are in. Surprised myself a bit and put Texas at 9. I think this year is going to be anarchy after the top 3 spots (Georgia, Michigan, Ohio State).
  5. The irony of a Republican saying this is astounding.
  6. 538 had a great piece a few years back showing that, in a supermajority of states that had tuition increases (there were a few small resource-rich states that have been able to keep it flat or cut it) from 2000 to like 2015, state funding cuts accounted for over 50% of the tuition increase at public universities, and for a lot of those it was a really high number - 80, 90, even over 100% (i.e. some universities were able to absorb some cuts elsewhere and didn't raise tuition in a dollar for dollar match to account for cuts). Median college grad earnings are way above high school graduates and that gap is as big as ever. There are definitely paths to financial success that don't include college, but in aggregate the bold isn't true unless you think the intangible value of a college education is worth nearly $1MM over your working years.
  7. Man you really like the football - day trading analogy huh? Season needs to just start.
  8. What's classy when you're rich and trashy when you're poor? Handouts from the government.
  9. They owe on Card’s NIL deal through 2031 like a bad NBA contract
  10. Starter has been a pretty arbitrary term on the DL the past two years - to a point of being detrimental at times, Broughton being a consistent feature in the rotation after it was proven he was not as good as the guys in front of him and should have been used more situationally, if at all, is a good example of that. And yet it’s already been proven that a front with those guys collectively playing a bunch of snaps can produce a good defensive unit, which is my point. To act like Sweat, Murphy, or Finkley are “new” because they happened to send someone out on the first play last year is silly because they played a bunch of snaps. There’s a lot of experience in the front.
  11. You’re smarter than this. Not even seven really. “Front seven” is kind of a dated term. Texas will rarely deploy 7 DL/LBs.
  12. I mean, then I guess you should panic about the questionable defense getting better of the stacked offense. Note I didn't say the offense can't or won't be good, just that it has more questions and requires more projection. QB is still young and was situationally terrible on critical downs and in the second half. RB losses are frankly irreplaceable and in many games Texas only had a functional running game because of those guys. OL is going to be a significantly better run blocking unit on the interior to mitigate that (Campbell hopefully helps there but one man is not going to fix that problem), and the passing game is going to have to carry more of the overall offensive weight. Worthy was comically bad at times last year, Neyor is coming off an ACL, and Whittington's healthy season, while great to see, was an anomaly. AD Mitchell and the freshman class no doubt upgrade the pass catching talent overall and I expect Worthy to bounce back, but the ability to set those guys up for success is an open question. As to the bolded, ?????? Sweat, Murphy, Collins, Broughton, Sorrell, Finkley, Ford, and Gbenda were all starters or in the rotation last year. Trill Carter wasn't but was an honorable mention all Big Ten selection last year and three year starter at Minnesota. I'll take my chances on replacing Ovie full time. As you pointed out the edge play left plenty to be desired last year, especially outside of Sorrell, and the overall defense was still strong. Overshown is a bona fide loss and that second LB spot is shaky but Anthony Hill projects nicely to filling a similar role; though it's worth noting that as a pure LB Overshown was far from elite.
  13. Sounds like Texas came out of their second scrimmage healthy. Assuming a healthy start to the year and no cataclysmic rash of injuries, I'm voting 8 wins with rough matchup groupings of: Safe Ws: Rice, Wyoming, at UH Likely Ws: Kansas, BYU, Tech Toss Ups: at Baylor, OU, K State, at TCU, at ISU Likely L: at Bama I do think this is conservative and upside for 9 wins is a lot more likely than downside at 6 or 7. I just haven't seen anything out of Sark or elsewhere that leads me to believe his team will be consistent enough to win 10+ with Bama, the unpredictable nature of the OU game, and three conference road games that will feature extremely hostile environments.
  14. Any reasonable observer knew going into this year that Texas had much bigger questions on the offensive side. The defense brings a lot back from a pretty good unit and added high level talent at all three levels. The offense lost by far its best weapon and its emotional leader. The defense should be the strength of the team at this point. I wouldn't panic over $9.95'ers in general, and especially not when it logically checks out.
  15. If that sumbitch could just tilt a little more to the east it could at least put a couple inches of rain into the Lake Mead watershed. As it stands it’ll be flash floods and runoff to the Pacific. You complaining that we lead the world in restrictions but not providing a single example of what exactly is restricted or why that is bad.
  16. Yeah, at the end of the day if Sark here with several playoff appearances you wouldn’t hear me saying his tenure failed. Just thinking out loud on your BCS = 12-team playoff concept.
  17. Can’t edit for some reason but I went back and looked - there’s no world where 2001 or 2002 Texas miss a 12-team playoff and a few other teams (2000, 2003, 2006, and 2007) would have something between a non trivial and very strong chance of qualifying. So I acknowledge difficulty in comparing eras but I think you’re shorting Mack a bit here. And in general, I’m just hoping Texas beats OU, gets to 9 wins, and plays in Arlington this year, so if Sark ends up with a national championship and five playoff berths instead of 7 or 8 then I think we can give you the W here.
  18. Interesting. We’ll have to see what becomes of the 12 team playoff. If they go to a straight top 12 instead of AQ’s as has evidently been discussed, I think you have to credit Mack for several of his top 10 teams that went to the Holiday or Cotton Bowls or wherever because there were only 2-4 at large spots. Even if the AQ’s remain that’s still 6-7 spots, notably more than Mack was working with. So it’s at least a little if not extremely favorable to Sark but I think the scheduling disparity, which you mentioned, counts for something too. Although the late 2000’s-early 2020’s B12 was tough as nails.
  19. If you’re going to watch a single game from last season to try to extrapolate what the team will look like - bad idea in general - it’s the bowl game.
  20. Hm. You know what side I’ll come down on but it’s an interesting exercise; what do you weight when defining most accomplished? Mack Brown: 75% winning percentage (both OCC and in conference play) 13 9+ win seasons, 12 of them consecutively. 9 10 win seasons, consecutively 4 CCG appearances 2 conference championships 2008 should probably be 5 CCGs and 3 championships 11-5 bowl record 3-1 in BCS bowls with the L having a major asterisk 1 NC that is also a consensus all time great team 2008 and 2009 were, at a minimum, great shots at additional national championships that were, well, we all know the story 1 Heisman winner, though not his recruit 2 additional Heisman finalists, 1 of which is GOAT that should have won a Heisman IDK how many all conference, all American, and drafted players. Dozens. You think Sark is a coin flip to match that? The conference championships aren’t apple to Apple with the SEC move and one of Mack’s biggest black marks is not having more of those, both because he was 2-2 in the games and because of underperformance against OU, which is one of his other black marks. And of course allowing rot in the program to set in. So he isn’t surly his faults but it’s still a pretty tall order to match.
  21. Y’all made me go read an Ian Boyd article, Jesus. He is not arguing Majors needs to be replaced.
  22. Can't make the opener. Two seats in section 105 - west side, upper deck, mid field. Sun should be trending down and behind you over the course of the game. Looks like these are going for ~$80/pair on the secondary market, pre-fees, so let's call it $75 obo for the pair. Can send electronically. PM me if interested.
  23. I didn't connect the two thoughts, you did: "I’ve been working my entire life to have a place on the coast, and now that it’s time, it’s all stop and now looking more and more like Colorado. Pretty fucking disheartening. But, as long as we are leading the world in restrictions, who cares!!1!1." What are you getting at?
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