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gmr548

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Posts posted by gmr548

  1. 3 minutes ago, Hank Scorpio said:

    Went to a Harris County Democrat PAC fundraiser the other day. It was focused on Harris County races, but anyone who turns out to vote for Harris County Democrats is also a vote for Beto. The guy running the PAC gave a speech about how they are going to spend the money to turn out voters and essentially said they are doing the opposite of what Hillary did in 2016. No trying to flip Republicans or get white ladies in the suburbs to vote Democrat, it was pretty much all about minority and young voter turnout. Identifying people who don't vote or only vote in presidential election years and turning them out. Also they aren't spending much money on traditional media, most of the money goes to call centers and boots on the ground canvassing neighborhoods. 

    Obviously the Harris County Democrats are excited about their chances, but this PAC guy was also very bullish on Beto. He thinks that if the voter turnout is strong in the big counties that those numbers can be enough for Beto. 

    tldr voter turnout is important. 

    I think this is ultimate the right plan. To win, the score needs to be run up in the cities and suburban voters need to flip in big enough numbers to make those areas tight. The difference is that there are a lot of untapped,  previously disengaged potential voters that would be friendly to Beto and Democrats at large in the cities. Youth and minority voters. The kind of educated, older suburban voter that needs to flip in order to sway this thing is already paying attention and is largely going to make up their own mind. It comes down to how attached they are to the (R) by the name. I don't know how much the campaign will be able to move the needle with them, and just letting them be alone with their thoughts and the never-ending GOP shitshow may be the best tool available.

  2. 1) it's ousux, get it right
    2) victory over ousux is always equally enjoyable
    3) I'd personally prefer not to have had 2 shitty games
    4) victory isn't a given
    5) so you think it would be more "amusing" to beat ousux after a loss and a close game rather than being undefeated in match up that was top 10 at worst and potentially put us in the MNC race? We differ greatly in that regard.
    6) We need to first worry about Kansas State.
    #6 should be #1. Fuck OU.

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  3. They weren’t the ones playing games.  Feinstein sat on allegations that should have been vetted by the confidential procedure the committee had.  Instead she outs the poor woman.  And then has the balls to call for an investigation to further her political stall tactic.  
    BK said he was never at any party with Ford.  From the beginning.  Her witnesses couldn’t put them under the same roof that summer.  That ended it.  
    Kavanaugh saying something didn't happen looks to be pretty damning evidence that it did based on his approach to several other questions.

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  4. It’s remarkable how many people will fight to the bitter end to be on the wrong side of history.
    In the best interest of the country and the Supreme Court, selecting another conservative justice is clearly the correct move at this point.
    But no, because fuck you.

    Seriously, this. I'm sure there are plenty of qualified conservative judges out there that Ds would object to politically, but arent rapey frat boys and would get confirmed with little real opposition - ala Gorsuch. The ckown show known as the GOP picking this battle to fight would be laughable for its stupidity if it wasn't for the reprehensible morality of it all.

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  5. 16 hours ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:

    Id be more interested in seeing what a 3 bed/2 bath, 2000 sq ft house w/ at least a double stall attached garage costs all over the country

     

    In the city. 

     

    Not 35 miles away in the burbs

    This is the right way to compare. The thread title here is misleading because it says "cities" when the comparison was metro areas. Two very different things. Dallas proper is ascending rapidly as one of the most expensive cities nationally. DFW as a whole is still relatively cheap nationally because of how big it is.

    16 hours ago, Zepol87 said:

    60k doesn't seem right for Dallas at all

     

    1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    I guess these numbers are accurate but I wonder why they mean by buying an average house in Houston.    I also know that a certain number of sales in my neighborhood are someone buying an "average" home, tearing it down, and then building a house worth 3x.   So what someone considers an average home buy was really just a lot for a future house.

    I just don't see how someone earning 60K in Houston can realistically afford much of a house.  

    See above. There is a lot of BFE and cheap housing that is part of the DFW and Houston MSAs. A lot of cheap-ish starter homes on the fringes as well, aimed at the couple pulling in 60-100k. For every million dollar house inside the loop there is a sub $200k cookie cutter house out at the Grand Parkway. 

  6. Texas is probably the team most would list as the third best in the B12 right now and we didn't just lose to Maryland, we lost a season opening revenge game with weeks to prepare. A game where we trailed essentially the whole time and where everyone watching knew damn well what the outcome was going to be even as Texas mounted a comeback. The same Maryland that has no coach, hates their own staff and is under investigation. The same Maryland that got smoked by Temple. Maryland is not good but they handled us, ostensibly the third best team in the conference. Stop shitting on the Big Ten.

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  7. Yes poor people are a drain on the country.  And given that there is zero sign that we will have less poor people in the future (hint: the numbers are set to go up), I don’t know what the right answer is either.   The shrinking middle and upper classes will either have to pay even more or we have to reduce services.  
    Lol @ the idea that this country doesn't have the money

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  8. https://www.kansas.com/sports/college/big-12/kansas-state/article218981635.html
    Bill Snyder asserts his power over K-State assistant coaches with QB switch to Delton
    When Kansas State quarterback Alex Delton took over for Skylar Thompson late in the third quarter of a 35-6 loss to West Virginia on Saturday, his presence in the huddle came as a shock to all but two people in attendance.
    No one informed Thompson he was getting benched. K-State offensive coordinator Andre Coleman and quarterbacks coach Collin Klein were also in the dark. As far as they knew, the plan was to keep plugging away at a comeback attempt with the quarterback who had started all four of the Wildcats’ games and had seemingly proven himself as the best passer on the roster.
    But Bill Snyder was ready to make a change. So much so that the K-State head coach bypassed his coaching staff and informed Delton directly that he would finish out the game following an interception by Wildcats defensive back Johnathan Durham.
    This information was confirmed by two sources with knowledge of the personnel change.
    It also lines up with what Delton and Thompson said immediately afterward. Delton told reporters that Snyder “came over to me right before the drive and told me I was going in.” Thompson, with disgust in his voice, said he was blindsided.
    Nevertheless, the QB switch is here to stay. Both sources said the Wildcats plan to start Delton against Texas later this week and that K-State gave him the majority of its first-team work in practice on Monday.
    Snyder hinted at such a move immediately following the West Virginia game, when he went out of his way to praise Delton for playing “extremely well” and to downplay Thompson for not playing “as well as he is capable.” He later walked back those comments after watching replays of the game and realizing that Thompson (11 of 17 for 145 yards, 16 yards on 12 carries) and Delton (7 of 12 for 82 yards, 18 yards on 11 carries) played “about the same.”
    Still, Snyder is ready to shake things up.
    In hopes of providing a spark for a sputtering offense that is currently averaging 21 points and 347 yards (both numbers rank ninth in the Big 12, ahead of only Iowa State), Snyder wants to revert back to the ground-oriented attack K-State has used successfully in the past. He views Delton, a gifted runner, as the better QB in that system. Expect lots of quarterback keepers against the Longhorns.

    It’s a bold move that, according to sources, Snyder has desired all along. Even though Thompson was named the starter at the end of preseason camp, Snyder’s preference was to roll with Delton and see how far the Hays junior could take the offense. Problem was, Coleman and Klein and the rest of Snyder’s assistants supported Thompson.
    Not wanting to overrule Coleman, a first-time play caller who aimed to take the offense in a new direction following Dana Dimel’s departure to UTEP, Snyder decided against using his veto power.
    Until now.
    Snyder didn’t publicly commit to either quarterback on Tuesday, saying he anticipates both will play against Texas. But he did explain why he benched Thompson against West Virginia.
    “It wasn’t his fault that we were behind the 8-ball,” Snyder said. “The point is, we didn’t have any points on the board and we just needed to do something and needed to make some type of change. And the other young guy has been playing equally as well. Both of them have their hiccups and their issues. Skylar played well ... we just needed to try to do something to get a spark.”
    It’s clear Snyder was never completely sold on Thompson as QB1. He refused to publicly anoint him as the team’s starter until the third game and, even then, rarely complimented his play. Delton has seen limited action in all four games, yet Snyder has had more positive things to say about him.
    Last week, at his Tuesday news conference, Snyder had this to say about Delton: “His opportunities are going to come. They certainly will. There is no doubt in my mind about that.”
    The QB change will likely be met with skepticism from some K-State fans. Thompson, who has thrown for 505 yards and four touchdowns, has been far from impressive this season. But he has been better than Delton. Though Delton has had his moments, including a 72-yard touchdown strike to Isaiah Zuber against Texas-San Antonio and 78 rushing yards against South Dakota, he has been turnover prone and taken sacks at inopportune times.
    It’s also unclear what kind of effect this decision might have on Coleman. Promoted from receivers coach to offensive coordinator just nine months ago, how will he react to this type of micromanagement from his head coach? He already faced an awkward transition, starting the season calling plays from the press box but moving down to the field after two clunkers. What’s his next move?
    Personnel disagreements are common on every coaching staff, but could there be a rift forming between Snyder and his young team of assistants, which not long ago seemed to energize him as he was coming off a cancer scare?
    Snyder, a former offensive coordinator, said he regularly provides suggestions on that side of the ball.
    “We constantly have dialogue about that,” Snyder said. “The fact that we aren’t getting the ball in the end zone, I don’t fault anybody in particular. I don’t fault our coaches. In all reality, I don’t really fault our players. Everybody has improvement to make. That starts with me ... We have all got to get better at what we are doing.”
    “This is an offensive staff that, when you consider the assignments of each, it’s different. They are growing together. That part of it, I think, is improving. That hasn’t shown up with points on the board, but nevertheless I see that improving. It’s getting acclimated to it and continuing to make improvement. My interaction with it hasn’t changed from Day 1.”
    Of course, others may applaud Snyder’s aggressive move, because it means Snyder is asserting himself and making a personnel change that he thinks will help the team bounce back from a 2-2 start. If he thinks the season is slipping away, perhaps he is wise to act … even if his assistants disagree.
    It’s not like Thompson has been lighting it up. The Wildcats have lost two games to ranked opponents by a combined score of 66-16. And his decision to audible out of a QB sneak and into an option pitch on fourth-and-inches against West Virginia was disastrous.
    With a shaky offensive line and drop-prone receivers, the numbers advantage that comes with running the quarterback behind a lead blocker, and the confusion that comes with zone-read plays, could be just what the doctor ordered for this offense.
    K-State averaged just 2.5 yards per rush against West Virginia.
    Delton has a positive history as a runner. When healthy, he started over Thompson last season and made an impact against Texas after Jesse Ertz exited with an injury. He rushed for 79 yards and two touchdowns on 12 carries during an overtime loss in Austin.
    He also took over for Thompson in the Cactus Bowl and led K-State to a victory over UCLA by running for 158 yards and three touchdowns on 20 carries. But he also missed the final three games of the regular season after suffering a pair of concussions.
    Delton has been waiting for a moment like this.
    “I feel like I am always ready,” Delton said following the WVU game. “I take my preparation serious and I take my play serious, so I am always going to be ready. When I come in I expect to be successful.”
     


    Could be interpreted as either desperation or wizardry...

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  9. LOL, I gotta admit while I am no expert on play calling, this was the one that stunk the most to me. On many other plays I felt they fit with what we should be doing with the players we have and seemed to be worthy of applause. In fact, I've been wondering if Herman was heavily involved in calling plays lately.
    This. I still don't mind going for it there but a speed sweep with D Young is ?????

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  10. S&P+ has K-State ranked 89th.  By comparison, KU is 88th, Tulsa is 92nd.  Their adjusted offensive rank is 107th (by comparison, TCU is 47th and we're 63rd.  Tulsa is 108th).  Their adjusted defensive rank is 71st (by comparison, we're 26th, TCU is 33rd and USC is 27th.  Tulsa is 70th).
    They rank a little better in the FEI (around 60th, overall).  But the point is that K-State is a really shitty football team this year.  We should absolutely manhandle them.
    So they grade out as Tulsa-level, who we clearly dominated and at no point were at risk of embarrassingly losing to at home. And they have Wizard in Manhattan. Yep, I feel great.

    Tongue in cheek obviously, but I'm definitely in the believe it when I see it camp. They are bad, we should win. But we've laid bigger eggs before.

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  11. Tarrant went to Trump with 51.7% of the vote. Romney won it with 57.1%. Cruz 56.7%.
    Beto needs to win Fort Bend again and try to flip Tarrant (51.7% Trump), Williamson (51.3% Trump) and Collin (55.6% Trump).  He also needs Jefferson, where Trump flipped it.
    Right. Trump was plus 8 or so in Tarrant with 51.7 percent of the vote. He was plus 9 statewide with 52 percent, so a pretty close proxy. Clinton only got in the low 40s in both. If Beto is able to flip a county that was still solidly R in 16 with similar voting trends relative to the state as a whole, it will because he gets the kind of turnout from new voters and independents that would be needed to push him to a win.

    If he flips Tarrant he is winning in Ft Bend, Williamson, Jefferson, and Nueces Counties. In that case he would also cut into the margins in Bell, Brazos, Denton and Collin Counties (R +15-20). If that happens he wins each of the six biggest counties, and a minimum of eight of the top 10. Possibly all 10. If he does that there aren't enough big R strongholds to make up the deficit Cruz will face from the score being run up in Bexar, Dallas, El Paso, Harris, and Travis. The valley would neutralize the Midland, Lubbock, and Amarillo bloc. We agree on where the key is, I'm just still skeptical bc of how kuch ground has to be made up.

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  12. But that's always been the goal - maybe Cruz only wins these rural counties with 70-75% while Beto wins Bexar, Harris, Dallas, Travis, El Paso counties with 60%+ to offset the rurals. Beto needs to do better than Sadler did in the valley (60ish%) and maybe bump that up to 70% and he has a chance.
    Especially if Beto keeps the trend of flipping Fort Bend and Tarrant.
    Tarrant was still solidly for Trump, and if I recall has been a pretty good proxy for the state as a whole. If Beto outright flips Tarrant that signals a number of things that would point to him winning.

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  13. 23 minutes ago, NowThis said:

    Georgia is too high as their D isn't as formidable as last year, losing 4 to the NFL and 3 or 4 other starters. Also lost their excellent RB.  They'll lose @ LSU and be out of the CFP picture as they will lose to Bama in December. LSU's offense is still stuck in the mud, got by Auburn but won't beat Bama who will be 15-0 if Tua is healthy. 

    Big12 is better than the Pac12 easily and even better than B1G. I'd say top to bottom it's the 2nd best conference as the ACC is trash this year. 

    Grading the B12 is pretty hard because it is a different size/structure than other P5s. Better than the B10 how? As in it would have a winning record if we lined up #1 vs #1, #2 vs #2, and so on down the line? Not likely. We've already seen Ohio State beat TCU, Maryland over Texas, and Iowa over Iowa State. I guess Kansas beat Rutgers, so there's that. It is, however, a more difficult conference to get through undefeated because you can't dodge quality opponents thanks to your division, ala the SEC East, B10 West, etc. In that sense, playing in the B12 is just as difficult as playing in the SEC West, if not more. Kansas sucks but you have to be ready for eight hard fought games otherwise.

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  14. 16 hours ago, Hamttx said:

    It does seem to be following his career MO. Few will argue that he had shown that he was fully capable of assembling a quality team. It also has shown those nagging WTF loses that would crop up during a campaign. 

    And here is what will rip your heart out. Let’s suppose Texas beats the shit out of every remaining team on he schedule by 20 points? That Maryland loss would in effect lay waste to what would otherwise be an indisputable playoff invite.

    For all of that great football to be played, only to be left out of the festivities by a committee that will use that opening day loss against Texas. ESPN is essentially painting that exact scenario with its OP on the playoff selection process in their post game page. 

    SinfulReasonableHyracotherium.gif

  15. 8 hours ago, Butch Had Not said:

    I don't overreact when a good team nearly loses to an option team like army or navy. To me it doesn't change anything in our outlook against OU.

    This is the right outlook. It is just too hard to get well prepared for that kind of attack in a few days, especially as a team that faces spread teams week in and week out. Army isn't garbage anymore either. OU didn't look great but they handled the changeup, got a W, and live to fight another day. It doesn't change anything about how Texas matches up with them because there is nothing similar between Texas and Army. Oklahoma will not score with ease every time it has the ball against Texas. Texas will not hold the ball for 45 minutes.

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  16. On 9/18/2018 at 12:00 PM, gmr548 said:

    We don't have a massive talent/ athleticism advantage and will be outcoached. Our offense isn't capable of scoring consistently on a defense of TCU's caliber and the defense has yet to contain an opponent's ground game with a mobile QB. We need multiple turnovers to win and I don't see it happening.

    TCU: 31

    Texas: 17

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    What a dumbass.

  17. 5 hours ago, LTtxfan said:

    Surprisingly even statistical game..... Surprised Texas had more passing yards.

    No doubt the 4 turnovers HUGE reason for Longhorns Victory.......

    Turnovers are the reason Texas won. Full stop. I am not saying that to discredit the team. Two, the Robinson fumble and the INT straight to Jones, both while TCU was moving the ball well, were critical, more or less unforced mistakes on TCU's part but Texas was able to capitalize, which is what good teams do (and have been doing to Texas for what seems like forever). The two Sterns INTs were really nice plays. Those 4 TOs were probably a 14 point swing, at minimum.

    • Like 1
  18. 2 hours ago, dingleberryswitzer said:

    That sounds good on paper except usc and tcu are no longer ranked. LIke you said, cant put a lot of stock in early rankings. 

    USC will struggle this year and isn't gonna look like an overly impressive win at the end of the year. TCU, on the other hand, will be fine. They have had a tough couple of weeks but they are still a good football team. They get ISU at home then a bye, they will regroup and end up 8-4 or 9-3, challenge for a spot in the conference title game, and finish ranked.

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