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Laxtonto

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Laxtonto last won the day on September 23 2023

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  1. Diddy is still in Miami and his plane left without him.. Makes you wonder why...
  2. IS-K is going to be my guess. What will make this weird is that the standard Russian response would be to drop a ton of troops into that region and slaughter everyone, but there is not enough manpower or equipment to do so without pulling parts of it out of Ukraine. So if this is a “false flag” it would be odd to try to steer it towards the IS-K unless the entire goal is to use it as an exit strategy on Ukraine by saying we are stopping our annexation here as we have achieved our “de-nazification” objective and have annexed all parts that are significantly Russian… If it is IS-K and not a false flag then things will get real complicated as what is a valid Russian response? How do you mobilize the troops (which they probably want) but then have to find out how to do the logistics and supply to support this 2nd active operation without being able to also strip troops from Chechnya?
  3. Fuck yeah!! Ready to throw away another $30!
  4. That’s a lot of words to say “these numbers are full of shit” and so if you want a real number go find a legitimate source on the ground or worse case dissect the IDF numbers and then probably work out a multiplier for it.
  5. Lets make this a little easier. It doesn't matter where values come from, there will be always variation in a set of collected numbers. The more complex the system, the greater the likelihood of significant variations. In this case, we don't have any significant variations. How is that possible? This is actually how a vast majority of in-house fraud is caught in production processes. People know what the outcome data "should" look like, but don't know enough about the input processes to really make believable fake underlying data. The numbers are obviously manipulated because they are "too perfect". Lets start with aggregate data and then go from there. Instead of having some days that there are huge spikes and other days with little loss of life (ie a major battle one day and then the IDF pulling back to regroup the next or bombing a market one day and not the next), the daily loss of life was 270+- 15% or a range of 230 - 311 . Where are the peaks and valleys in the data? Any form of casualty data of civilian populations will have a significantly greater spread than what is being portrayed. As an example, the war(s) in the Balkans showed massive variation in civilian losses on a daily (and even weekly) basis. Where are the outliers here? We should be seeing days of 400-500 and days of 50-100, not an almost perfect set of data confined to a set of boundary criteria with a mean of 270. Then you fall into the issue that the number of children casualties is not tied to the number of women casualties. How is that possible in this type of indiscriminate bombing? Then the number of women killed is strongly negatively related to the number of male casualties. So when men die in combat that day, then the daily reporting of female losses goes down predictably. But yet the loss of the children remains unrelated to the men. In what scenario is that logically possible? Then you get to the weird data artifacts like when the few days that male losses were at or close to 0, the female death toll for the day skyrockets (while the children casualty figures remained steady those days). How does that play out in a combat scenario? This data was being generated not reported, with a specific daily number in mind. More than likely they decided that the daily losses should be approximately 70% women and children and 30% males. So they did some type of random assignment and went from there. Once they had a women and children number, they then subtracted that off from the random number selected from the 230-311 "expected" casualty figure and then took out the women and children to get the males. Those steps would mirror the weird artifacts in the data. So what are the real numbers? Who knows. All I can tell you is that these values are obviously manipulated.
  6. I saw that yesterday. It is humorous to see how poorly they faked the data. Looks like something one of my undergrads would do. If you are going to make up numbers you have to understand 2 major things. 1. the dynamic relationships of the system components and the concept of variation.
  7. These guys are pretty nails on college BB and coaching changes... might be another leg into why Harbaugh was fine with leaving now..
  8. This has been a blast. This is the game format that Warhammer or Starship troopers IP should have done
  9. At this point, how does Wade stay on as special prosecutor with the potential issues of him misusing his IOLTA to hide earned income from his wife in his divorce proceedings, and how that is tied to potential tax evasion? That is a pretty damning accusation from a variety of fronts. If any of that is true he is going to be tied up in all sorts of ethics probes and a liability during the proceedings. To me, that is something that is much more tangible and black and white that may lead to a major delay in all of this instead of the continued grind back and forth about potential conflicts of interest, which now is a coin-flip based on trying to obfuscate something that most likely may have led to a simple admonishment by the court or some set of cursory additional guidelines to guarantee the autonomy of the special prosecutor due to their relationship. The other side is always going to go over everything looking for something to use to their advantage. This is standard procedure for major crime and civil cases now and it shouldn't be a shock to anyone. That is the job. You would be disappointed if your lawyers did not do everything in their power to make sure you did not get found guilty. The expectation is always going to be that the state should appear to be squeaky clean and the defense will look to do everything in its power to make sure that first, the case never makes it to trial, then second, to have the trial once started dismissed for any possible reason (either through legal brilliance or frivolous technicalities) and then third win the case on its merits in the courtroom, and then fourth appeal and drag out any guilty verdict as long as possible. Now there is enough smoke to have people question if the state is squeaky clean or if is there something else going on. It might not be "fair" to put the system or the State on trial beforehand, but that is the world we live in. People want to blame Trump or the judge for entertaining this, but it looks like the first domino in all of this is Wade trying to screw over his now ex-wife in his divorce proceedings. If that is true, he is probably out as a special prosecutor and prepare for all sorts of delays and additional hearings over all of this to eat into the timeline. Welcome to the big leagues.
  10. The question is really going to be how does it work from your side to be able to interact with the fuckery in chat during the live stream. If it is integrate in the chat platform then it rolls into the viewer interaction aspects of the stream. If it is segmented then it is posts housed here, which is cool, but not if it adds another layer of pain in the ass for you
  11. Live stream quality was good. Need to fix the chat integration with Surly so you dont have to rename yourself. Should be a fun add for Friday mornings
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