Anymore? Our intel has been missing countries developing nuclear weapons since the late 90’s (e.g., Pakistan and North Korea). I’m sure we have better spies in many countries than Israel, but not in one that Israel considers to be its existential threat like Iran. The Mossad knew where dozens of high ranking officials would be on the first night of the war and had been running a workshop manufacturing drones in Tehran for years. I do trust their intelligence on Iranian capabilities more than our assessment.
This is from the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists:
At the Fordow plant, located near the city of Qom, the Iranians have enough centrifuges (including IR-6s, their more advanced type) and uranium hexafluoride gas to produce several nuclear weapons. They could probably produce enough weapon-grade (90 percent) enriched uranium for one nuclear weapon within five to six days.
https://thebulletin.org/2025/06/the-united-states-may-destroy-the-fordow-enrichment-plant-it-wont-make-the-iranian-nuclear-threat-go-away/#post-heading
Note that the article is not a pro-Israeli slant, it says bombing Fordow probably isn’t enough, laments the breaking of the JCPOA, but still says the danger is there.
It’s easy to blame Bibi, he’s made a lot of enemies. But it’s also worth noting that the entire military and political structure of Israel seems to believe the threat assessment as well. This is chief opposition leader Yair Lapid: