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Mighty fine

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Everything posted by Mighty fine

  1. Man, I posted my last response before reading your follow up. Note, I have not studied this in great detail, so a lot of what I'm saying is based on my judgment and general knowledge of the topography. Depending on how fast lake travis drops after Mansfield fails, yes, it could conceivably reach that high.
  2. LLs post got me to thinking about what may happen if Mansfield did go. I imagine the flow regime goes subcritical to super critical through the busted dam, then a hydraulic jump downstream before the foodways narrows at the cliffs and then subcritical until about mopac, then supercritical again where the foodways spreads out. The subcritical portions will be flowing higher and slower (relatively) compared to the shallower and faster super critical sections. That said, probably isn't worth differentiating the flow profiles as either would be catastrophic
  3. In general terms, assuming level pool routing, you aren't far off. However in this case, you need to look at a more energy dynamic model since the reach distance between Mansfield and Tom Miller is not great enough to attenuate the flood wave before hitting Tom Miller. The ensuing flood wave would likely be significantly higher than the top of the dam.... pretty much just cover it up and sweep it away. It's that extreme wave height that'll flood a much greater area.
  4. In Jollyville. App says 10 percent chance of rain. Radar in same app says otherwise. Weather underground being the farm on the force field to do force field things
  5. Thanks for the response. Your first paragraph clears up one of my concerns and the second confirms my understanding of the general mechanics. One follow up question, and then I'll pass the mic: how selective is the Fed when evaluating the loan, or how often do they say no or request a lower risk profile from the borrower? Curious as to whether that would be a canary in the coal mine type indicator, or if it's something that happens with regular occurrence.
  6. Thank you for the link. I'll surf around through this data later this evening. Ponzi scheme may not be the best descriptor. My concern is this: Fed loans Institution A $x dollars on Monday, to be repaid on Tuesday. Institution A is able to repay on Tuesday, but then at the end of the Tuesday, turns out they need to borrow more money. This continues daily for a couple of months. When Institution A repays their loan, where does that money come from? Why does Institution A need continual assistance to remain liquid? Also, It seems that there is not a healthy repo market currently, and without Fed support some of these institutions may be hurting. I suppose my real question are these: is there a fatal flaw in the structure/ operation of the repo market in which the Fed participates? And what is the real risk to Everyday Joe if some unforeseen event happens?
  7. Thank you for the link. I'll surf around through this data later this evening. Ponzi scheme may not be the best descriptor. My concern is this: Fed loans Institution A $x dollars on Monday, to be repaid on Tuesday. Institution A is able to repay on Tuesday, but then at the end of the Tuesday, turns out they need to borrow more money. This continues daily for a couple of months. When Institution A repays their loan, where does that money come from? Why does Institution A need continual assistance to remain liquid? Also, It seems that there is not a healthy repo market currently, and without Fed support some of these institutions may be hurting. I suppose my real question are these: is there a fatal flaw in the structure/ operation of the repo market in which the Fed participates? And what is the real risk to Everyday Joe if some unforeseen event happens?
  8. Is there any source that shows how much is being injected daily and the feds net balance? When I first heard the story a couple of weeks ago, It assumed that the net deposit was $500B. But on further investigation of how that market operates, it sounds like it could conceivably be a situation where the fed makes $10B each day for 50 days, but each one is paid k back the next day. Now, not knowing the rules, it's also conceivable (in my lay understanding and with the data, or lack thereof, provided) that the borrowers could potentially be running the market in a ponzi scheme like operation.
  9. May not rank among greatest live covers, but Townes Van Zandt covering Dead Flowers is my favorite
  10. Meant to say start/ stop locations; I imagine the actual routes vary.
  11. I think they still use the same route as the original Cannonball races. 31st street in New York to Portofino Hotel in Redondo Beach
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