High stress games with amped up players and crowds increase to opportunity for emotion to help drive the game farther from the expected outcome in either direction. Clearly, either team could win. Injuries, fluke turnovers, and the like can move the result several TDs from where it "should" be. With that said, Texas played Alabama in a similarly amped up environment. Both teams took their best shots. Texas benefited neither from a preponderance of flukes nor other particular events that would move the result in our favor from where talent, skill, coaching, etc "should" have had it. We beat Alabama on their field by double digits, and they are a decent benchmark. Both Texas and OU have had good and bad quarters of football. Both are undefeated. Only Texas has been tested against an opponent remotely of the quality it will face this weekend, and Texas has passed the test. I can't predict the future, but my reason tells me covering by Texas is likely.