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JBJ

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Everything posted by JBJ

  1. JBJ

    Fuck Big 12 refs

    The non-tripping on Bijan stood out to me as the worst call. Worthy getting tackled without DPI is hard to explain. The illegal snap just doesn't look like one from the only angle we have. The runner isn't defenseless on the fumble, so it would have to be crown of the helmet. That was a good no-call.
  2. It is 100% this. Vegas loses more sportsbook bets than they win. They make 100% of their revenue on the juice and they have to use some of that money to pay winners.
  3. USC vs Utah is not doing much for either team. It looks like very slight upward pressure for both teams. I'd have to look through to see but it's probably because previous opponents look better this week. Oregon State pulled off a big upset. They were a common opponent of both teams - although USC also played Wazzu, who was on the receiving end. LSU's win was pretty ho-hum from the perspective of a top 20 team. (I understand what it means from a rivalry perspective.) But it's actually a net negative for them in the model. They fell in part because they have a relatively high-rated but also untested defense, which gives them plenty of space to fall when they have let downs against mediocre offenses.
  4. From le model, Texas stands pat - Michigan jumps us while Wake Forest falls. Out of all top 25 defenses, Texas is the most battle-tested (played the most good offenses) and most reliable (fewest let-down games). Most of the lightly-tested teams have washed out of the top 20 (Minnesota was there last week). I think NCSU is the most suspect, highly rated defense but lowly battle-tested.
  5. Give me Kansas, TCU, Bama, Michigan, and Utah.
  6. Texas 24 ISU 10 32 attempts 120 yards.
  7. Blocked extra point where Auburn catches it and gets turned around. He runs backwards 90 yards for a 1-pt safety.
  8. His targets/completions-allowed stat line is just as impressive: 165 passes 20 targets (12%) 8 Completions (40% of targets - 4.8% of snaps) 79 yards (3.95 YPT)
  9. I've got us at 12% chance to win out. Texas is #5, so it's not because mine is less high on Texas. TCU is currently a low-confidence top 10 team in mine, so they are the only game below 70%.
  10. The B12 is certainly the harder conference to win this year. WVU is likely on the bottom and likely better than aggy, who is low-mid in the SEC.
  11. The only reason anyone posted anything is because the commentary guy very early said we needed to adjust after OU had a single decent run. The next two wildcat plays combined for 0 yards. Most announcers are just talking to fill space; don't take them seriously.
  12. Texas 31 OU 24 Prop 287
  13. Deciding how to tell my son that we can't go to his soccer game tomorrow. TEXAS!!!
  14. Pretty sure one of the reasons it is widely used is because it's highly culturally neutral. I had to take the konger version of one for a job once before. I scored 48. I missed one of the match ones and one of the sales tax ones. It's early and I can't read.
  15. Both are outliers, but TCU is the bigger outlier. I'd expect OU to score 40+ again against Nebraska, but Nebraska to suck less on O. Healthy rematch vs TCU might look different on both sides. Wheels maybe coming off. It's hard to tell with a backup QB. He should play better in our game with a tailored gameplan and focused practice, but even with those he might still be terrible.
  16. No. It might actually be better than getting to a parking lot and getting out in traffic. I would park at the rail station for whichever airport. For both airports you'll likely transfer at Union depending on how the Game Day system is set up (it might be at Victory). If DFW Airport, the $6 local day pass is good for both systems up to Centrepoint (the DFW airport stop). Don't buy the $12 regional pass.
  17. I'm not sure you understand how this works.
  18. Not sure where to post this top 20 from my model after week 5. Columns are preseason rank, off/def rank, strength of record, CFP rank prediction for this week.
  19. Yes. I was 2 yards off prop bet and someone was 1 yard.
  20. Again there's no dpi there.
  21. Good pick up lol.
  22. That's not a penalty.
  23. Helmet hit Sorrells knee. It doesn't look.terrible but the must have caught it bad somehow.
  24. Block in the back inside the tackle box? Bold move refs.
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