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InkaUtexas

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by InkaUtexas

  1. Russian response. We sold you a bunch of shitty weapons and got a bunch of drones.
  2. Yes and no. It is where Saudi's have had some big issues, and why they hate Iran even more. I don't see them rising up for their Shia brothers and risk getting carpet stomped, which the Saudi's would do. Also there was a little dust up in Mecca in 1979 that gets overlooked by the West. (Shitty video, not any good ones out there I have found, but you get the point.)
  3. I don't remember, but with that dude it was going to be good and expensive. One night at my house I busted out a 20 year old Glenlivet (I was about 30 at the time) and got the look of "you poors" but it still had a few drinks. He kept a room at the old Fairmont in downtown Dubai. Dinner at the Emirates Palace hotel in Abu Dhabi. And still was pretty damn humble and open to talking.
  4. From what I have learned in conversations and readings (I never lived or worked there) most are assimilated. Notice in the SE the Arab group and Bandari? Yeah, that is the SE I am talking about. The Azeri's could try to break away and join their brethren.
  5. No, it could be worse. See, the Diaspora has made a killing overseas. The maker of the primary truck trailer used to supply US forces in Iraq was, yep, Iranian based in Dubai partnered with the Kuwaiti royal family. Add to that the dudes who own the Kebab consortium just in Germany. The list goes on. I did not say stop it, no way, but limit it. It is easy. Limit the amount that can be transferred on any day.
  6. Yes, there are Baluchi's there, but also other Sunni groups. Agree there would be some ideological differences. And external influence (Look north and west). Baluchis have always wanted their own place. They are a pretty big ass tribe sitting on some valuable land. Here is what they claim. Some pretty damn important ports, but also a lot of Chinese investment. No, it would not look good, and why I said no US troops. Canadians, Nordics, they do not carry the animosity. Sure high level of force protection, but it can be done. That is why you have contractors to protect those sites. Israel? yeah, they are not going to pay shit, but the Gulf Arabs will. They can fund reconstruction. They need the good press in the Shia world. Let each country adopt a province. They will try to outdo each other so hard. Risks- Iran breaks up into regions controlled by warlords. Make sure people have jobs and they tend to not fight. We failed at that in both Afghanistan and Iraq relying on third country nationals for even down to the most basic jobs. Limit the Influx of foreign private capitol from Iranian diaspora. This tends to change the national make up a lot. Limit what they can do. If you create an Iranian first policy, make residency a requirement. Return of the Clerics at the regional level to keep being angry. Why are they angry? Invaders and they lost power. So limit the number of international (ie White) troops, and let them have roles. Again, we imposed religious leaders in Iraq and Afghanistan. Also, embrace Persian legacy. Make people proud of. Teach the Rubiyat on TV. Etc... Again, we stifled both in Iraq and Afghanistan trying to push Western culture. And at the regional level, well shit, if one province wants women to have their hair covered, so what? Not every state has the same laws. Allow that. It will slow down the calls for Radical growth.
  7. Most of the country is Shia, so except for the SE I don't think you will see sectarian violence. There expect more terror hits (bombings, assasinations, Pakistani involvement). Kurds will be quiet and want to be part of any coalition. See Syria. Best thing that we could send in would be an Iranian academic who has lived in Sweden and not seen as tainted by US backing. No Beltway boys. Keep US Boots limited, like we did the early days in Afghanistan. Massive rapid development projects. Simple shit people need. Food, medical, power. Fix irrigation. USAID has all those tools ready. Oh wait. So who would lead a Peacekeeping force? Cannot be US, Arab (Sunni) and doubt we would let China. Russia will want to but cannot project the force so would be like us, small troops and an "advisory" force. This was similar to the initial days in Afghanistan. Canada could lead backed by Latin America, the Nordic states, some Africans to augment.
  8. Yeah, we are going to join. In what capacity remains to be seen. Logistics to active bombing. We all know what he means by unconditional surrender. And there has to be people in Iran who watched how we dealt with Syria. Assad leaves, we recognize and pledge aid.
  9. The newly formed TD in the Pacific heading into Central Mexico looks promising.
  10. Yeah, saw that, but that does not show a fire. The first reports were not in the Gulf yet, and not Emirati water. So what got rescued where?
  11. Not seeing anything on mainstream about the ships in the Gulf being hit. Anyone else?
  12. Well guess we know where the tankers are heading.
  13. Yeah, the USSR/Russia role is rarely brought up in Iran's trouble.
  14. Or air cover for an IDF ground raid. Plus their pilots will need to sleep at some time. So anti-missle CAP over the Gulf and deep air cover especially if the SAM's are basically gone.
  15. Tankers. Don't think the IAF would hit those. Iran has quite a few anti-ship missles near the entrance.
  16. History is circles with different cycles. And yes, I saw something earlier. Bunch of ships were jammed going into the straits. Caused some interesting havoc but did not see a specific incident. But I was wrong I guess.
  17. So what would the schedule be tomorrow?
  18. Hits on the big three. We now get mandates via social media. Nice.
  19. Was sitting with an Emirati general on his fishing boat one day. Just off their Economic Zone. Basically a very controlled area. "See those Islands" he says. Yep, as I sip a nice scotch. "They have runways. Israel built them for their jets in case of emergency landings." Shocked look on my face, not due to the scotch. "Yep, we prefer them to the Clerics. Shia bastards." This dude had spent his life up in the mountains fighting against Iranian rebels. He did not like them one bit.
  20. Off to watch the NBA. Someone liven up this thread when we are back.
  21. Trump leaving the G7 early. Said due to Middle East tensions. Trump to depart G7 early and return to US "because of what’s going on in the Middle East" From CNN’s Kaitlan Collins President Donald Trump is expected to depart the G7 early and return to Washington tonight. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on social media about the president’s plan to cut short his attendance at the summit in Kananaskis, Canada. “President Trump had a great day at the G7, even signing a major trade deal with the United Kingdom and Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Much was accomplished, but because of what’s going on in the Middle East, President Trump will be leaving tonight after dinner with Heads of State,” Leavitt wrote on X. Trump had been scheduled to depart Canada on Tuesday after a news conference. Soon before the White House announced his early departure, Trump posted on Truth Social that “Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!” as the conflict between Iran and Israel escalates. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-attack-strikes-news-06-16-25-intl-hnk
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