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Posted
5 minutes ago, Dbeasy said:

Dudes. Texas is out. Accept it. They are one of the best 12 teams in the country, and probably one of the top 5, but it doesn’t matter. The cosmic tumblers of the universe didnt align. 

Yep. We gave ourselves a chance beating aggy, but there wasn’t enough chaos elsewhere for us. Oh well. Go win the bowl game and finish 10-3 

Posted
23 minutes ago, Dbeasy said:

Dudes. Texas is out. Accept it. They are one of the best 12 teams in the country, and probably one of the top 5, but it doesn’t matter. The cosmic tumblers of the universe didnt align. 

NYT model has us at 5%. That strikes me as about right. It’s a super unlikely outcome but what else do I have better to do right this minute?  Tomorrow will be work and shit. Today can discuss and dream. 

Posted
18 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Yep. We gave ourselves a chance beating aggy, but there wasn’t enough chaos elsewhere for us. Oh well. Go win the bowl game and finish 10-3 

There wasn’t any. It’s been a truly bizarre year in that sense. During the OU v LSU game Texas got all the way up to +138 to make the playoffs. Thats like a 40% chance?  33%?  Something like that. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
47 minutes ago, satyanash said:

Vandy actually dropped a spot after crushing #19 Tennessee in Neyland, their fans are furious too.

The real crime is BYU and Miami shoehorned in ahead both of us.

Maybe we should have never scheduled Texas Tech and then we would be undefeated...

Posted

i think you're just upset that i didn't mention the 1887 Edmunds-Tucker Act disenfranchised the First Presidency of all assets valued over $50000 which makes the cold start from that day forward even more impressive when considering #teamkolob has $293 Billion under management by ensign peak advisors

Posted
1 hour ago, cafe society said:

The committee says a lot of shit that they go back on.  That's a constant.

This is the reality. There is no consistent framework. It's whatever each year's random selection of biased humans decide to weigh. It comes down to simple mental biases: Texas has 3 losses compared to 2. Nevermind they played 5 current top-15 teams and one of those was a 7-point road loss to the defending champ who hasn't had another single-digit game all year. Vandy is named Vandy instead of Notre Dame or Oklahoma. They must suck! Utah's AD is the chairman of the committee.

The sad part is the message it sends about OOC games. Teams are way better off playing a middling ACC or Big 12 program than someone like OSU or Notre Dame. People will counter with examples of playoff teams that had tough OOC games (ND, A&M, tOSU), to which I say - where would that team be ranked if they didn't play that game and got an easy win instead? A&M would still be in the playoffs easily even with a weak-ass SEC schedule. ND would be top 5. OSU would still be #1. Basically, it wouldn't make a difference at all, especially if you have a tough SEC schedule on top like Texas/Bama.

Basically, if Texas had played Tartleton State instead of Ohio St, they would probably be ranked 8 or 9. If they had beat OSU, they would probably be ranked 6-8 (maybe pass ATM and/or OM). The risk/reward of playing that game is nowhere close to worth it. 

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