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babysdaddy

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Everything posted by babysdaddy

  1. yes, the 'market' has effectively been attempting to force the Fed's hand by bidding up financial assets in anticipation of a rate cut in March. Didn't really make sense given how far away we are from the 2% number the Fed wants.
  2. Because of this. Which means March rate cuts aren't happening. Which means valuations are too high. Thanks for coming to my Ted talk
  3. Who is actually in charge? If he’s too mentally incompetent to be charged with crimes then he should resign immediately
  4. I quit following that story but Reuters/Washington Post says is was Ukraine special forces https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/senior-ukrainian-officer-coordinated-nord-stream-attack-washington-post-2023-11-12/
  5. Pretty difficult to argue with a robust real GDP number in the 4th quarter of 3.3% following the Q3 number of 4.9%. Increased consumer spending in both goods and services, increases in state and local government spending and nonresidential fixed investment, and increased federal government spending led the way. Gross nominal GDP for the trailing 4 quarters was just a shade under $28 Trillion. Inflation rate increases have subsided that gave a boost to real disposable personal income increasing 2.5% for the quarter. Overall real GDP for 2023 was up 2.5% after an increase of 1.9% in 2022. Nominal was up 6.3% in 2023 after a 9.1% increase in 2022. If we review consumer balance sheets, specifically the liabilities, 66% of debt outstanding are mortgages and 90+% of those are still at the historically low rates of previous years indicating consumers are not feeling the pinch of higher interest rates. The robust nominal GDP numbers have actually caused the Debt to GDP percentage to decrease the last couple of years, even with massive annual deficits (meaning the US has more borrowing capacity). Those concerning increased interest rates have actually provided additional income to investors in the form of higher return on cash balances.
  6. He’s going to win, but not because he’s doing awesome and everyone loves him
  7. that's how you know, without a doubt, that QE will be back at some point. Suppressing rates is the only way the show goes on.
  8. Nikki isn't pulling the upset. I was wishcasting that but after Iowa and NH she should realize it is over. Can only think she is staying in and hoping that these trials will somehow shift support away from Trump but, based on polling, the initial indictments did nothing but shift support to him. So, here we are. Trump v Biden. And it's not going to be close. Biden is going to mop the floor with a very very simple message of are you going to vote for a Felon for President? The answer, for any non-MAGA individual, is a very clear 'no'. No debates, no parsing of policy, no discussion of immigration, international conflicts, or inflation. Just pure mental incompetence (#bothsides) and one felon.
  9. And Tim Scott apparently going to endorse Trump. Welp.
  10. I hate that I love the Cowboys. It's an abusive relationship that I'm stuck in forever.
  11. yeah, Tucker says you're wrong. And he'd have an orange martyr to point to.
  12. I'm willing to bet there are a lot of people ready to vote for her. +600 to get the GOP nod. She's going to get 2nd in Iowa, win NH and SC.
  13. Well Christie thinks she's going to get worked by Trump. But I'll continue my delusional hope that she's able to take him out. And it's better that he lose than die. Can you imagine the conspiracy theories if he dies after he wins the nomination but prior to the general? Holy fuck you talk about the Republic melting down
  14. So polls suggest she's within single digits in NH, hence Trumps attacks. But let's say she finishes 2nd in Iowa, very close (potentially wins) in NH, then wins SC. Do we actually have a race at that point? I assume everyone here would prefer her vs. Trump as the nominee.
  15. Ackman is such a whiny bitch. And I didn’t know we had such a special poster here. The Reid outs lone viewer. Impressive Also, Why is this in the cloak room?
  16. Wapo story. It isn’t going well there https://puck.news/post-modernism-theories/
  17. Bored so I did a little look at the most active threads/threads with the most posts. Of the top 4 threads, 10 posters out of 2000 unique in the CR account for 15.8% of the posts. 13,868 out of 87,741. Only lefties in the top 10 but that could be because the righties keep getting crowdsourced or it is self selection bias because the most active threads are like catnip to Dems. Top 4 are 'gqp', 'story about pathetic man', '45 indicted', and 'how fox news works'.
  18. I was scrolling and waiting for the captainant self fellatio post but leaving disappointed. Know this is about the internet but a very real experience happened to me with a gym. Started off nice gym with child care included, then charged for child care, then increased prices, then removed child care, then raised prices again, then reduced number of available gyms. that's when I dumped it.
  19. line went from OSU -1 to OSU -5.5.....so money thinks it's going to be a smooth buttfucking
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