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babysdaddy

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Everything posted by babysdaddy

  1. Fly direct in to Sonoma (STS) out of Dallas and avoid the bridge. In my younger days I ran the Presidio 10k where they drop you on the other side of the GG and you run back across. Woke up with my babymama and we looked outside and the weather was dicey but she wanted to go and undefeated and such. We hopped up and got on the bus to go get dropped off. Crossing the bridge I looked west and saw a fucking monsoon brewing. Glanced at her and shook my head. Running back across that bridge the rain was blowing sideways, I was cold af, and waiting for it to collapse so I could die. Miserable. Only saving grace was she felt bad so she ran with me up until the end (she'd normally have beat me by 10 minutes) and I sprinted to the end and beat her for my only racing victory over 15 years.
  2. I thought I was the only one. Crossing the Bay Bridge or the Golden Gate used to make me sweat.
  3. One trick pony is here doing his one trick pony dance.
  4. I was reliably told Texas is failing and is a failed state. Why do people keep moving here??
  5. is that what happened to AKs face? Looks like his left nostril has kind of collapsed
  6. Th yes yes but whatabout Threads???? how will we get the news
  7. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/02/us/politics/biden-trump-times-siena-poll.html
  8. I will continue watching https://www.fxnetworks.com/shows/shogun/viewers-guide/characters/kiku
  9. Because of these rural cunts the Pubs are going to end up with Matt Gaetz or MTG or the hand job specialist running for president in 2028
  10. thanks for bumping. Have missed all of this and will start season 2 asap
  11. yes, the 'market' has effectively been attempting to force the Fed's hand by bidding up financial assets in anticipation of a rate cut in March. Didn't really make sense given how far away we are from the 2% number the Fed wants.
  12. Because of this. Which means March rate cuts aren't happening. Which means valuations are too high. Thanks for coming to my Ted talk
  13. Who is actually in charge? If he’s too mentally incompetent to be charged with crimes then he should resign immediately
  14. I quit following that story but Reuters/Washington Post says is was Ukraine special forces https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/senior-ukrainian-officer-coordinated-nord-stream-attack-washington-post-2023-11-12/
  15. Pretty difficult to argue with a robust real GDP number in the 4th quarter of 3.3% following the Q3 number of 4.9%. Increased consumer spending in both goods and services, increases in state and local government spending and nonresidential fixed investment, and increased federal government spending led the way. Gross nominal GDP for the trailing 4 quarters was just a shade under $28 Trillion. Inflation rate increases have subsided that gave a boost to real disposable personal income increasing 2.5% for the quarter. Overall real GDP for 2023 was up 2.5% after an increase of 1.9% in 2022. Nominal was up 6.3% in 2023 after a 9.1% increase in 2022. If we review consumer balance sheets, specifically the liabilities, 66% of debt outstanding are mortgages and 90+% of those are still at the historically low rates of previous years indicating consumers are not feeling the pinch of higher interest rates. The robust nominal GDP numbers have actually caused the Debt to GDP percentage to decrease the last couple of years, even with massive annual deficits (meaning the US has more borrowing capacity). Those concerning increased interest rates have actually provided additional income to investors in the form of higher return on cash balances.
  16. He’s going to win, but not because he’s doing awesome and everyone loves him
  17. that's how you know, without a doubt, that QE will be back at some point. Suppressing rates is the only way the show goes on.
  18. Nikki isn't pulling the upset. I was wishcasting that but after Iowa and NH she should realize it is over. Can only think she is staying in and hoping that these trials will somehow shift support away from Trump but, based on polling, the initial indictments did nothing but shift support to him. So, here we are. Trump v Biden. And it's not going to be close. Biden is going to mop the floor with a very very simple message of are you going to vote for a Felon for President? The answer, for any non-MAGA individual, is a very clear 'no'. No debates, no parsing of policy, no discussion of immigration, international conflicts, or inflation. Just pure mental incompetence (#bothsides) and one felon.
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