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KYHorn

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by KYHorn

  1. "Aid to Ukraine" is really an investment in American manufacturing. $51.2 billion has gone into the US defense industrial base to date. Once all funds are obligated, it will be over $60 billion. Top recipient states: 1. Arkansas - $4.25 billion 2. Alabama - $3.31 billion 3. Pennsylvania - $2.83 billion 4. Arizona - $2.72 billion 5. Texas - $2.04 billion 6. West Virginia - $1.98 billion 7. California - $1.96 billion 8. Florida - $1.59 billion 9. Missouri - $968 million 10. New York - $943 million Note that not all contracts and investments are reflected on the map, so it won't match the total obligations. Only prime contractors and select key subcontractors are mapped. The defense industrial supply chain stretches into all 50 states, and many states are underrepresented due to the nature of the weapon systems provided to Ukraine (e.g. no aircraft =very little for South Carolina & Washington). If your state isn't highlighted that doesn't mean that there are no funds from the Ukraine Supplementals flowing into your state.
  2. No response? WSJ: Russia Suspected of Plotting to Send Incendiary Devices on U.S.-Bound Planes "Western security officials say they believe that two incendiary devices, shipped via DHL, were part of a covert Russian operation that ultimately aimed to start fires aboard cargo or passenger aircraft flying to the U.S. and Canada. The devices ignited at DHL logistics hubs in July, one in Leipzig, Germany, and another in Birmingham, England."
  3. I mean that'd be nice but he doesn't even mention a source. Is there an actual report about this? Throughout the 2.5 years I don't recall much being said about her stance.
  4. US-made jam-resistant drones helped Ukrainians cut through Russia EW - Defense One The company's V-BAT drones "were launched 40 km from the front line, they flew 100 km, detected 11 Buk anti-aircraft missile systems, aimed at them and triggered HIMARS missile strikes," - Brandon Tseng, who founded Shield AI Ukraine ordered more than 200 vehicles from Shield AI after it demonstrated its capabilities in combat conditions in August according to another article in WSJ.
  5. Fair point. I'm tired of the restrained path we've laid out for Ukraine and have become despondent enough about it that alternative paths (however unlikely they may be to result in something positive) start to become more appealing.
  6. I wasn't aware of this. With the modern tools available and often used for these very purposes, surely they can use that DNA to find a match.
  7. Talk me out of this because it has been creeping into my head for the past couple of months. Setting aside all other CR considerations: An election that results in more of the same policies is more likely to mean Ukraine continues to lose slowly while Russia's economy and military continue to be substantially depleted. Put another way, will a Harris admin approach this differently and with much greater resolve and courage than the current admin? I haven't seen much to suggest otherwise. This increases the likelihood of a meaningful Russian breakthrough at some point, but even without that, Russia is able to take more territory and Ukraine loses more bargaining power than it already has for when the time comes to settle this. An election that results in a new admin where they are determined to end it now could result in significant and terrible concessions for Ukraine, but given the person in charge is unpredictable and highly sensitive to how he is perceived, the risk that it is seen as a "weak deal" would be an effective deterrent to giving up much to Russia and could actually end up strengthening the USA's resolve vis-à-vis the president and, therefore, Ukraine's bargaining power. Again, this is highly dependent on capriciousness, so it's more likely to result in extremes. But, if it is appearing increasingly likely that the alternative admin would continue down the path of slow decline, then the chance of the more favorable result for Ukraine might actually lie with the counter-intuitive admin.
  8. A brief, sober look at the current status of the war https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/10/29/ukraine-is-now-struggling-to-survive-not-to-win https://archive.is/kU0HV#selection-1093.465-1093.578
  9. "Chervona Kalyna" brigade of Ukraine’s NG repelled a Russian meat assault in the Pokrovsk area. Ukrainian defenders countered effectively, using coordinated firepower from artillery, drones, and firearms despite thorough preparations by the Russian forces, including a rapid approach and heavy grenade attacks. The brigade successfully held the position, repelling the terrorist assault.
  10. Update around Kurakhivka-Kurakhove. Russian troops have taken Hyrnik -after earlier premature information- and are now geolocated in the industrial area west of Kurakhivka. It is highly unlikely that Ukrainian troops are still in Kurakhivka, Zoryane and the area east of Zoryane. They have probably retreated to the west to take up new defensive positions there.
  11. No, he never actually left Austin, so the only monuments he visited were these.
  12. Probably true but I imagine an inflationary cycle plus the experience of watching home prices skyrocket on Zillow during COVID and beyond ramps this sentiment up significantly
  13. Some sobering reality here. The lack of an articulate and convincing plan from the current administration, who should know better, while they watch Ukraine lose more and more land and thus bargaining chips, is endlessly frustrating. The rest of the thread is informative.
  14. I guess this can go here.
  15. Seem like misses? Bad enough to justify a response, or maybe it'll end up being bluster
  16. BREAKING: The first units of the DPR military have already arrived in the combat zone This was reported by The Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine's Defense Ministry. In particular, on October 23, the appearance of North Korean soldiers was recorded in Kursk Region of the Russian Federation. The Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine estimates that a total of about 12 thousand DPRK military personnel have been transferred to Russia. Of them - 500 officers, including three generals Most of them won't ever see a Ukrainian. Behold, your future:
  17. I think the best explanation of this is peoples' inability to remain in a state of cognitive dissonance or to live and think incongruently for very long. There's no homeostasis in "Trump is bad but I will vote for him": either Trump is good and voting for and supporting him is good, or Trump is bad and voting for and supporting him is bad.
  18. ^disregard that. Meant to post this
  19. Rumors about a Trump video have been going around Twitter for a few days with the MAGA types preparing their followers for "fake AI misinformation", etc. Will be interesting if more comes of it, but you'd think the video would be out by now
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