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Chopper

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Chopper

  1. There's a very active thread in DT. I'm not sure why the CR thread exists. Or I forgot.
  2. I expect we'll hear a lot more about it. link https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/columnist/2024/09/15/trump-denounces-project-2025-swing-state-voters/75195330007/
  3. This was just last year. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=npLyogW3E90
  4. Fuck worrying about the public polls, of which almost all lack quality or relevance. Instead, watch the money and where the candidates spend their time. https://www.politico.com/newsletters/inside-congress/2024/09/16/house-dems-sleeper-seats-suddenly-in-sight-00179407
  5. Here's why Obama and Reagan didn't have a problem with potential assassins when they went golfing. It boils down to Trump is selfish, doesn't gaf about anyone but himself, reckless and lazy. Shocking stuff.
  6. I'm sure there's a very small percentage of people who don't decide who they're going to vote for until they get in the ballot box. In the case of Diaper Dotard, that percentage has to be very small because he's been around so long and people who aren't going to vote for him will know so far ahead of time. The more pressing and unpredictable issue for a campaign is getting their voters to take the time to vote. Keep in mind that for every poll you see, there's not only a sampling error (the +/- 3 (or so) percentage points based on whether the sample being polled is a match to the entire voting population) but other built-in errors, such as whether the sample polled are actually likely voters. There are barely any high-quality state polls anymore. Good polling is expensive, and our media has been captured by corporate interests which are for the most part only concerned with profits. That's why there's so many shitty national polls. It didn't used to be this way. For example, Gallup used to do public polling on behalf of media clients but there's no longer demand for the type of extensive pre-election research they'd do in the public sphere.
  7. Here's how the same rag covers a death in their backyard. Compare it to the fender bender hundreds of miles away.
  8. Bringing the war into the open.
  9. Some of y'all may find this informative about polling crosstabs. I know I did. In the past I've just paid attention to the top line number and whether it's a regarded pollster. While I recognize that polling has become more difficult over the years, I didn't realize the huge internal variants between polls. Podhorzer is the former political director of the AFL-CIO, a Sr fellow at the Center for American Progress. Short blog post explaining - Why Polling is Opinion Journalism https://www.weekendreading.net/p/why-polling-is-opinion-journalism
  10. Exactly why I posted it. Simple and inarguable. But far too rare.
  11. I'm trying to recall if I've ever seen a government official allow themselves to be quoted saying anything similar.
  12. Plus no chance of getting blasted by their fucking video replay.
  13. Australia government official: “For the life of me, I can’t see how Elon Musk or anyone else, in the name of free speech, thinks it is OK to have social media platforms publishing scam content, which is robbing Australians of billions of dollars every year. Publishing deepfake material, publishing child pornography. Livestreaming murder scenes. I mean, is this what he thinks free speech is all about?”
  14. Space Karen also now fighting with the Australian government.
  15. They offer an exclusive deal for all the imbeciles on rumble - the same deal they offer for anyone else.
  16. Shot Chaser https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/-just-exploded-springfield-woman-says-never-meant-spark-rumors-haitian-rcna171099
  17. Storm Shadow update: Biden and Prime Minister Starmer concluded their meeting about an hour ago and discussed Ukraine. No announcement was immediately forthcoming. Petraeus has thoughts, though and I sense they're going to go ahead with it, but we'll know when we know.
  18. The Pope themselves says you can still go to heaven if you vote for Kamala Harris in 2024.
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