Jump to content

Chopper

Certifiably Surly
  • Posts

    7726
  • Joined

  • Days Won

    4

Everything posted by Chopper

  1. also he conditions the result on "without flipping a single county"
  2. AP has some interesting detail about yesterday's pager explosions
  3. Yeah, hopefully there's no collateral damage because bombing a funeral is dirty af.
  4. Toropets had the highest safety rating for storage of bombs and missiles:
  5. Fuckin' Elon lost some weight, huh?
  6. Going to share (complimentary free link below) an article by Josh Marshall. It's a small morale boost for those who, me included, are stressed and anxious about the election. I have a csb about the 3 old school pollsters he mentions at the top but no time to tell it right now. https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/maybe-it-wont-be-that-close/sharetoken/af3d20bf-2efd-4a68-8d36-cd82326f8f29
  7. Mike Masnick has a deeper understanding and more thoughtful review of the new book. This is the conclusion. here https://www.techdirt.com/2024/09/17/twitters-pre-musk-plans-mirrored-elons-vision-until-he-abandoned-trashed-or-ignored-them/
  8. wasn't pw'd for me...I'd tell you how to get around it but... thanks for the dickish behavior.
  9. Just 2 out of 11 sample wtf moments from Character Limit https://www.rollingstone.com/culture/culture-features/how-elon-musk-destroyed-twitter-wtf-character-limit-book-1235099284/ edit - they put it behind the pw after I linked it. Here's a unpw'd link https://archive.ph/u5qcI (don't tell tony it's here, thx)
  10. Getting too many texts is a thing. Also pagers comm systems are more reliable, and a pager is more durable than a phone. Per doctor friend.
  11. FT
  12. Yes this is apparently as close to the definition of a targeted attack as it gets.
  13. supply chain probably compromised, rather than a cyber attack https://www.wired.com/story/pager-explosion-hezbollah/
  14. This is probably in the Ted Cruz thread already but no reason it can't be here too
  15. I know this was in regards to something else but in general when internal polling is made public, it's no more reliable than a public poll. The polling may be better, the polling may be worse, there would usually be an ulterior motive for releasing it. Treat all polls as suspect.
  16. Texas Tribune today https://www.texastribune.org/2024/09/16/texas-republican-party-south-texas-fundraising-outreach/
  17. There's a very active thread in DT. I'm not sure why the CR thread exists. Or I forgot.
  18. I expect we'll hear a lot more about it. link https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/columnist/2024/09/15/trump-denounces-project-2025-swing-state-voters/75195330007/
  19. This was just last year. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=npLyogW3E90
  20. Fuck worrying about the public polls, of which almost all lack quality or relevance. Instead, watch the money and where the candidates spend their time. https://www.politico.com/newsletters/inside-congress/2024/09/16/house-dems-sleeper-seats-suddenly-in-sight-00179407
  21. Here's why Obama and Reagan didn't have a problem with potential assassins when they went golfing. It boils down to Trump is selfish, doesn't gaf about anyone but himself, reckless and lazy. Shocking stuff.
  22. I'm sure there's a very small percentage of people who don't decide who they're going to vote for until they get in the ballot box. In the case of Diaper Dotard, that percentage has to be very small because he's been around so long and people who aren't going to vote for him will know so far ahead of time. The more pressing and unpredictable issue for a campaign is getting their voters to take the time to vote. Keep in mind that for every poll you see, there's not only a sampling error (the +/- 3 (or so) percentage points based on whether the sample being polled is a match to the entire voting population) but other built-in errors, such as whether the sample polled are actually likely voters. There are barely any high-quality state polls anymore. Good polling is expensive, and our media has been captured by corporate interests which are for the most part only concerned with profits. That's why there's so many shitty national polls. It didn't used to be this way. For example, Gallup used to do public polling on behalf of media clients but there's no longer demand for the type of extensive pre-election research they'd do in the public sphere.
×
×
  • Create New...