Trump? I thought the subject was Israel. Either way, your logic is ridiculously flawed. You've been drinking all day right? NTTAWWT. You should bail from this conversation, which you also should have never started.
Perhaps we should first discuss the ridiculous number of wildass assumptions you've made - about the situation at-hand, about Israel, and about its relationship with the US government.
What about Israel's recent behavior leads you to believe they've thought through all possible scenarios? What about the current existing US government leads you to believe they want to involve themselves directly into a problem that from all appearances does not seem to be one that can be won from the air -- as was Yemen, where the foolish US involvement lasted all of 2 weeks before the US tucked tail. What about this situation leads you to believe it can be won from the air? What about it leads you to believe there's any winning at all?
Why do you think a bully would have "secured backing of the biggest bully prior to throwing the first punch"?? I mean seriously, what the fuck? Is that what bullys do? I'm seriously flummoxed about your bully insights, particularly where the bully is all-knowing and understands how the cards are going to be dealt and wraps up all the necessary allies and commitments even before the fight has begun. That's some theory you have. I don't even want to get into what Trump may or may not do because he's seriously unstable and has no idea himself.