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texastough

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Everything posted by texastough

  1. Belarus has already been sanctioned pretty significantly. I'm sure not to the same extent as Russia, but for instance all the trade sanctions apply equally to Belarus because everyone knows that otherwise, all the microchips and other shit Russia needs would just flow through Belarus to Russia.
  2. More than the Vlad fellating, its HB's conclusions based off stuff like that. Oh, gas prices are going to be high for a few years, Now We'Re aLL FucKeD!! Or, Europe was able to pivot away from its decades long reliance on Russian gas in less than a year, with minimal short term pain to completely decouple from a totally fucked country run by a genocidal maniac.
  3. Sorry to derail the Tucker Carlson thread . . . Putin's days have to be numbered at this point, right? The absolute shitshow he has created is a catastrophe for everyone in Russia -- whether you're a plebe who is getting mobilized, laid off, or can't find any products on the shelves; a mom or wife of a dead or maimed soldier; an oligarch losing billions; or military brass getting thrown under the bus (or out a window) for the abject military failure. Surely there's a way for 140 million to get rid of one dude? I think the best case scenario for the world when that happens, is to break Russia up with each region becoming its own sovereign/independent republic. Normally that wouldn't be possible but with the military being completely gutted after this, I would think/hope separatist regions have a real chance this time.
  4. Thank you. I'm going to flip if another journalist or keyboard general talks about the "stalled" Kherson offensive. Its not stalled you dumb motherfuckers, its going exactly according to plan, i.e. to destroy logistics and escape routes while mostly keeping Ukrainian troops out of harms way. Actually it is going more according to plan than the Kharkiv offensive. The Kharkiv offensive took back a lot of ground, but a lot of Russians escaped the Izium "cauldron" to drop back to the Donbas. The only Russians escaping from Kherson are doing it on a rowboat. The vast majority of them are going to cave spectacularly pretty soon.
  5. We're finally tackling America's obesity problem! (re: food prices)
  6. Seems like the spearhead attack group has been taking an operational halt ever since they reached the Oksil a couple of days ago. I think different AFU groupings are the ones trying to clean out Lyman and Kreminna.
  7. Fuck man I hope Russia doesn't declare war! Then I guess they'd stop fooling around and get serious!
  8. its getting fucking spicy for the invaders
  9. Yep, with whats happening on the ground, this thread 'bout to heat up. Putin has reportedly taken command of the Russian forces, but with the disarray/collapse happening now, I'm sure his attention is being pulled mostly toward maintaining power/control over the Russian people. With nobody really commanding the military, the collapse of the entire Russian forces in Ukraine will only come quicker. What happens in Moscow when Ukraine is chasing the last fleeing orcs over the Kerch bridge? It may happen pretty soon.
  10. My federal rules of procedure and rules of evidence are super rusty. Anyone know whether positions taken by Trump in this proceeding could have a res judicata effect, or at least be admissible in a criminal proceeding about him stealing the docs? Because if so, this also basically forces Trump to commit to his defense for the criminal proceeding in a day or two. It would be pretty fatal to take a different position than in this case.
  11. There is no way Trump can concede that no privilege applies to the classified documents. That is almost as good as an admission of guilt in the coming criminal prosecution. My guess is their brief argues that the personal and governmental records were commingled at MAL, and potential privileges could apply to, for example, personal/presidential documents that made reference to classified documents. In other words, argue that it still takes a special master to sort out how all the records were being used/reviewed by Trump. Admittedly its a shitty argument but its the best I can come up with. Either way its a brilliant strategy to put Trump in this position.
  12. Without looking into it at all, my first guess is that if there is no issue/dispute as to privilege for those 100 documents, and thats all DOJ really wants, it would moot the request for a special master
  13. Aww turn that frown upside down. Ukraine is on the counteroffensive, they are currently kicking ass and taking names
  14. Kickass interview with a Ukrainian warrior, lots of details about battles early in the war https://wartranslated.com/interview-with-afu-lieutenant-colonel-pavlo-rozlach/
  15. While there may not be much news from the front right now, Ukraine is still reporting Russian casualty numbers and there's been a big uptick in the last week. For most of August, the average was 100-200 per day. Since the "counteroffensive" began, here are the numbers: August 29, 350; Aug. 30, 450; Aug. 31, 350, Sept. 1, 450; Sept. 2, 350. Total of 1,950 in 5 days. FWIW
  16. That is a really good piece. Here's an excerpt: If this type of progress is being consistently made by Ukraine (and it is), hollowing out the core of Russian positions in entire sectors, why would Ukraine risk high casualties in a costly wider infantry assault while there are still targets that HIMARS, M777s, drones, and other longer-range weapons can take out at little to no risk, all while the enemy’s morale, numbers, and supply situation weaken? Many of these targets are far behind the front lines, meaning there is now nowhere Russian forces in the region can feel safe, a situation disastrous for morale. Weakening the positions behind the front lines also means that if the main line collapses, much more than just that main line will collapse and it is more likely the whole sector could fall quickly. Instead of weakness or any inability, this methodical, deliberative targeting by Ukraine signals confidence in its ability to continue to damage Russia at times and pacing of its choosing, a mature patience on the part of Ukraine that will yield significant results over time at relatively low cost. Yet plenty of experts and reporters seem puzzled, as massive formations of Ukrainian forces not pouring into Kherson city and forcefully pushing the Russian lines back mean, from their perspective, there must not be any real Ukrainian counteroffensive or that it is stalled. But Ukraine is not basing the timing of its operations to satisfy the impatience of itchy Twitter fingers of reporters and analysts who find it easier to tweet, write, and comment about heavy “action,” and it seems many takes on the war in the south are missing the bigger picture. Contrary to such views, the offensive is very much underway, with Ukraine simply taking a prudent, risk-averse strategy while it can still easily hit Russian targets far behind the front lines. Unlike Russia, Ukraine actually highly values the lives of its soldiers, a major factor in morale, as Ukrainian soldiers can count on their commanders to not throw their lives away carelessly or needlessly, unlike the clear, callous indifference that permeates Russian command (which I have detailed before). And the very nature of the conflict is now defined by Russia’s inability to produce anything but marginally successful advances (if any progress at all) and Ukraine’s purposeful approach to strike Russian targets one-by-one with precision, distance weapons while keeping its own forces as much out of harm’s way as it can where it can. And Ukraine can do all this knowing it is and will be getting more and better weapons and equipment from the West as we well as more well-trained Ukrainian troops from an increasing Western series of training missions.
  17. There's a follow up tweet that lays out the details
  18. What if there are documents showing how fpotus helped plan Jan 6 among everything seized at MAL
  19. Trump can’t appeal any relief granted to him in trial court, but he can appeal denials by the judge. It shouldn’t take a special master long to determine what’s trump property and what’s government property out of what the fbi took
  20. Seems lots of folks, both "experts" and some posters here, are handwringing about a relatively static frontline and basically interpreting that one data point to mean that Ukraine lacks the capability to go on a major offensive and retake significant territory anytime soon. I don't know shit, but that sounds a lot like everyone predicting Ukraine would fall within days when the war began. Some describe the current situation as a stalemate. But is it really a stalemate when Ukraine is continuing to degrade Russian forces at a significantly higher rate than their own losses? HIMARS are wreaking havoc on Russian logistics and command centers. Russia is still trying to mount lots of local offensives, which for the most part are being repelled and in lots of cases with heavy losses. On top of that, the flow of arms to Ukraine is increasing, and fresh troops are being trained to NATO standards. If you are the Ukrainian military, would you prefer to mount a major offensive before or after tens of thousands of trained reinforcements and $3 billion more in arms arrive, and HIMARS finishes destroying its targets? Before or after rubbing out Russian offensives that degrade Russian forces at a 4:1 clip over Ukraine's? To me, Ukraine is simply setting conditions and using the same strategy that took back the north -- destroy logistics and such until Russian cannot effectively defend, much less go on the offensive. If you read the tea leaves, I also think Ukraine has a plan. This is something I've been thinking about since Ukraine announced the southern offensive. At the time, I was asking why on earth Ukraine would announce that? Now I believe it was purposeful disinformation aimed at drawing a lot of Russian forces to Kherson oblast. The immediate effect of that was to take pressure off the Donbas front line, where artillery had just closed the Sieverdonesk pocket. Causing a lot of Russian BTG's to be transferred to Kherson meant that they were in a much more precarious logistical position, not only across a major river but also as far from Russian resupply as anywhere on the frontline. But if the announcement of the southern counteroffensive was a purposeful headfake, I don't believe it was done only to take pressure off the Donbas frontlines. Ukraine knows that it needs to make some advances soon to maintain support for the war. I think it was because the main counteroffensive will begin elsewhere. Today the Mayor of Melitopol tweeted that residents should evacuate before winter, purportedly due to lack of gas for heat. I'm going to make another bold prediction and say its because thats where the counteroffensive will start. After Ukraine has set all the conditions it can, and tipped the balance of military power as far as it can in its favor -- I believe within the next month or two -- Ukraine makes a major push into Zaporizhia oblast. If successful, it would divide Russian forces in half, with a big part of the southern half pinned across the Dnipro in Kherson with absolutely no hope of resupply. Those forces would fold. At the same time, Ukraine could advance on the east well behind the front, where Russia has had a lot of time to dig in, set mines, etc. Will it work? No idea. Ukraine probably only has one shot to make this happen soon, if it fails then we are in for a long war. But Ukraine is being helped by NATO military expertise and intelligence, not to mention the factors above, and definitely has morale on its side. I think when it happens Russian forces fold like a cheap track suit. P.S. I'm also waiting for undercover operatives to put a detonator in an ammo car on a train thats about to head over the Kerch bridge.
  21. IMO, Russia is using the ZPP first and foremost as a base where they know they won't get blown up by Ukraine. But being the sadistic opportunists they are, I think they are also using the threat to either/both cause Ukraine to capitulate or erode western support for Ukraine (through people demanding to stop the war). While they are dumb, I don't think they are dumb enough to go through with it, because I think the west responds by declaring Russia a terrorist state and probably with a no fly zone leading to Russian defeat pretty quickly. We need to stand strong and call the bluff.
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