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statsman

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Everything posted by statsman

  1. Surprised Westbrook never did it in his seasons as OKC totem. Did none of those playoff disasters make it to five games?
  2. Solid post. I mentioned UH because I was trying to think of a program whose ambitions outpaced their reach I agree about the danger of the NCAA regaining control. The problem with the NCAA is that it’s a democracy, and there are a hell of a lot more OSU sized programs than tOSU sized programs. Lilliputians will always try to tie down Gulliver.
  3. The big unknown is how the $20M is to be allotted. Is it a Title IX style even spread across all sports, men’s and women’s? Or do schools get to allocate unevenly, based on revenue from each sport? If it’s the former, schools may decide that they’re not going into the roll for $20M each year so they can give 75% to non-revenue sports. If it’s the latter, I expect a bunch of dicey accounting to basically have the university pay it. Which is what schools do now when they do their annual federal filings about revenue and expenses. Football drives the AD budgets. Schools don’t have to make money annually on athletics; it’s an economic winner long term. It keeps boosters engaged and giving, even to academic efforts, even at schools much smaller than UT. Texas is one of a handful of schools where competitive funding of football at the highest level isn’t a problem. For the vast majority of FBS, they have been seeking a way to use university general funds to pay players, and now they have it.
  4. This is the only part I disagree with. Your statement is true for Texas and the handful of schools in a similar financial position. For the other 100 FBS schools, that can’t scrape together $10M per year for football through a collective, this is a godsend. Now, they get to tap into university funding, instead of soliciting donors (although that will still happen for NIL). All they have to do is weather political criticism for state and national funding paying for football players (which they have always had to do, to a much lesser extent). Spelling it out- let’s take UH as an example. Suppose their annual AD spending exactly matches all their revenue. Do you have any doubt that, now that it is allowed, they will budget $20M for athletes’ pay? I don’t. Where will the money come from, if revenue doesn’t increase? I believe it will come from the school. Does anyone believe that UH’s AD would say, “We’d like to spend the $20M for our athletes, but we don’t have the money, so we won’t. We’ll just let those players go to TCU and Baylor.”? I don’t.
  5. I agree. There are a lot more Oklahoma State-type programs (that will now pay $20M per year to their athletes, on top of what small NIL they have) than Texas-type programs, though. This gives them a lifeline. This won’t be an easy transition. UT can afford this without going into regular university funding. ITEP and UTSA can’t. How does the BoR handle this?
  6. As I posted- “regular resources”. That is regular university funding. Think tuition, state funding (if public) and endowments. Most universities (not UT, which is the exception) subsidize athletics to seven figures (going from memory, when I looked years ago). It usually gets tsk-tsked by independent observers (the universities don’t care). This move will take that number to eight figures, annually. It’s not a surprise. NIL went from genuine marketing pay to outright “pay for play” a couple of years faster than I thought. I wondered when the universities with less athletic revenues, desperate to compete, would start paying players out of general funds.
  7. This seems to help the smaller schools, that were hurting in NIL resources? Now they have a $20M budget to pay, out of AD revenue. It seems that is $20M less to pay elsewhere (coaches, facilities, travel, equipment), but the shameless poor will just pay that deficit out of regular resources. A bad look; the private schools won’t care.
  8. I listened to the induction podcast. So, Grant Teaff is involved with the TSHOF, in Waco, and was in attendance. Know how sometimes, a coach speaking in a rival’s town, will tell self-deprecating stories of being beaten by the hosts? I have heard Royal and Brown do that a few times. It shows class and self-confidence to praise an old foe while being honored by them. Would you be surprised to hear Jackie didn’t do that? He gave a shout out to Teaff, in the audience, and then told a story of how he countered a Teaff motivational ploy before a game with a better one by him (Sherrill), and won the game. Sherrill is a weird dude.
  9. We will know he really studied up if, after a first season ass-kicking, he says, “They better get their licks in now, while they can”.
  10. How did they get this? Insider?
  11. Yeah. I really expected to see a mix of shit B1G games (Purdue vs. Rutgers for example), but the worst one looks like Northwestern at Maryland. Most of the B1G games have at least one tier 1 or two tier 2 teams. I guess Fox really wants this to work.
  12. Isn’t Sark a guy who inserts himself as needed, in the recruiting? Like, he’s not the “hands off” manager in that aspect, unless you have proven (like Banks? Choice?) that you don’t need his help?
  13. Ah, yes, the good old “Rude Awakening” trope. I guess they have to have something to put hope in. On the Sooner boards, they’re banking on Texas being typically overrated and falling back to the level of the past 14 years.
  14. It was an old guy, because it was the Homecoming game, because old players come to the game wearing their decades old uniforms. And they cannibalize the young opponents. Hope that helps.
  15. In 1975, #2 undefeated Aggy beat one loss Texas 20-10, in B/CS (that was the game where they intentionally took out QB Marty Akins’ knees). The Ags had the inside lane on not only the Cotton Bowl, but the MnC after the win. Of course they lost the next game, upset by Arkansas, and then lost the Liberty Bowl to USC. They finished 10th and Texas finished (after a bowl win over top 10 Colorado) 6th. Poor Aggies.
  16. I have no legal knowledge to base an opinion of the validity of this argument on, but as a regular dumbass fan, I have to question the strategy of Florida’s collective arguing that the recruit should have known better than to trust the collective to honor a contract that they don’t have to. Going forward.
  17. Thinking Texas Football is pretty good. One of its best parts is coverage of opposing teams. Know how the typical “analyst” looks at Texas and says, “They had three WRs drafted; their cupboard must be bare” and leaves it at that? He doesn’t make that mistake with opposing teams; he digs at least one more, and often two more levels.
  18. Last year, I too bought my PS magazine at B&N. I asked about DCTF, and they said they’d get it later. They never did (at the two I checked, in Hurst and FW). I ended up buying my DCTF at a Walmart (magazine rack, no special display like they had years ago). Is DCTF having distribution and/or sales problems? I ask, because it would be ok with me if they went out of business. They are a shadow of what they used to be, and I only buy to keep my collection complete. (I get that the mag may mean more to HS football enthusiasts).
  19. I buy three mags every year: Phil Steele for the quantitative data and analyses (where he shows his work) Wadlington’s “Thinking Texas Football” for the qualitative commentary Dave Campbell’s Texas Football (to keep my collection complete since 1960, and I won’t cry if they just shut down) The “first to the news stand” mags are a waste; often they lack the latest portal data. I like Steele’s power Poll of all 118 (or whatever) teams. Its useful for estimating a final record, as his errors tend to balance out over a season.
  20. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-joel-klatt-show-a-college-football-podcast/id1037085984?i=1000656122662 Klatt has a great podcast. In this o e, he talks about how the Big Noon schedule develops. A lot of B1G talk, no Big XII talk, until he gets to chatting about Fox Friday night games (which he and Gus don’t do). He says there will be B1G and Big XII games on Friday nights. Does the Big XII schedule reflect their Friday night games yet?
  21. I listened to part of the ON3 Sooner Scoop “Unofficial 40” podcast (it is impossible to listen to all of it, unless you care deeply about collegiate softball). It’s a great example of how fanbases obsess on their teams and know little about others. They suggested Lole flipped to Texas because he was concerned about the competition for playing time at OU (because, in their minds, Murphy and Sweat leaving means there has to be an empty cupboard behind?). Also, they are already counting Damonic Williams as a dominant player. They also suggested the reason OU was inactive on Edges in the portal was due to there not being any really good ones (Trey Moore?). They talked a lot about not going to the portal if you like your young players and can count on them developing. To that last point- those young, developing players? You better have NIL built in for that, or you’re just going to develop them for Ole Miss or Oregon. Or Missouri, like they lost that freshman OL to.
  22. I’m in favor of letting markets decide. For a lot of non-revenue sports, the scholarship (and preferred admission) is compensation enough.
  23. The “university provided payments” are a way for poor programs to pay out of AD revenue. Caps are proposed, again, to allow poorer programs to compete. if it came to a vote, it would pass, because the majority of programs are envious of the wealthier ones. (Tip- if an AD or coach is quoted as saying, “Something must be done about this! It’s not sustainable!”, they’re poor). I could envision a situation where the FCS, G5 and Mid2 leagues make such an agreement, and the richer schools form their own division.
  24. This morning, running errands, I decided the OTF podcast, where Bobby Burton interviews a leader of TexasOne Fund would be the thing to listen to. WOW! It was so impressive! For comparison, a couple of months ago, I listened to an OU ON3 75 minute podcast interview with the director of the OU collective. It was almost exclusively talk dealing with issues of having enough money, what’s required to be competitive in recruiting, whether the money is apportioned efficiently, how they determine players’ values, and so on. In comparison to TexasOne, it was just so…crass. The OTF podcast explains the exposure the athletes get to mentors, to community charities (and the other community leaders that help with charities), regular education in financial literacy, and so on. Night and day difference. We can be proud of how our donations are used.
  25. I have a friend who named this @The Rude Awakening Trope”, coming from the Ags. The only possible logic to it- this idea that Texas will crumble under a weekly SEC grind- comes from an Ag theory that there is something in the water in Austin that turns football players into pussies. I guess it’s all they have. I don’t think they will take it well at all if Texas has more success in the SEC than they have had.
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