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Vegas64

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Everything posted by Vegas64

  1. From Forbes today: https://www.forbes.com/sites/chasewithorn/2025/04/01/forbes-worlds-billionaires-list-2025-the-top-200/
  2. Be careful out there, GoLL. You are the hero we need.
  3. As someone who used to travel to St. Joe for work (don't ask), this is a WILD take to me. Then I had a friend who bought a second home there, the amount of days in a year it's great is not worth it and there are more MAGA Trump flags and people than the Redneck Riveria.
  4. As a wholly average person firmly situated in the middle class, I just did my taxes (a few hours ago) and it was painful. Paying 24% is brutal. Tax the billionaires more, relieve the choking of the middle class, and exempt the poor (poverty or below) entirely. That's a plan 99% of American's can get behind. Unfortunately the 1% will never let it happen.
  5. I think what you are describing is what we used to call "social conditioning". The small, incremental nudges over time to shape behavior, usually in conformance to what we would call a social standard (social mores). A few problems to this in modern times: 1) Most socialization is not in person anymore so it takes the teeth out of the confrontation. All you've done is put a person on the defensive and then they will go to the place of actual socialization in modern times (the internet) and get validation and re-confirmation via their echo chamber and network. They will re-entrench that THEY were the victim, and some big male patriarchal bully was abusive to them and toxic to them in public! 2) Society isn't a tiny fishbowl anymore with more-or-less a shared moral fabric, so trying to regress someone with outlying (antisocial) behavior to the mean isn't a thing anymore. We are very fragmented now so you can argue that the neighborhoods or demographics share a social norm, which unfortunately, seem to be trending towards the yuppie selfish person with the dog being more the norm than us crotchety old white men. Doesn't matter that we are right in this matter.
  6. I didn't. I just read this thought which I didn't know either (and maybe it was covered in the documentary, but I doubt a ton of people have seen it);
  7. Ah that's right. I remember the jokes about getting throat cancer and oral sex from years gone by that I think were Val related. 65 is still too young.
  8. Whoa. Didn't even know he was sick. 65 is young, but I recall he looked very bloated and unhealthy in his later years which made his Doc Holliday rendition, ironically, look downright fit.
  9. I'm with you on the sentiment, but I think if you are serious about "good luck getting a conviction" you haven't been south of Midtown, like ever. Chelsea, West Village, Greenwich, SoHo, Tribeca, Wall St., FiDi... Plenty of Insurance bootlickers to kiss the ring and the guy was clearly guilty, circumstantially of course.
  10. Generally speaking everyone wins here. The mom wins (no chasing an annuity, gets it all upfront and with 0% discount), the man wins (he sees a premium value to offloading her and the kid off his books) and the kid wins (free from a bad or toxic co-parenting situation if the father doesn't want to be there, or if he does, a quality relationship without the sceptre of money constantly hanging over it). If the woman plays her cards right, she can really make a good life for her kid and herself.
  11. wtf are you talking about? Is this AI hallucinating?
  12. Get a life, nerd.
  13. Wait a minute. Why is paying up front all at once a bad thing? That's a huge W in my book. Putting aside basic Time Value of Money, you are ensuring getting paid and taking all the risk off the table. Risk of him losing his money, blowing his money by being stupid, getting hurt and losing income, getting arrested doing something stupid and losing income, etc. How can anyone think this is a negative thing?
  14. The meme kids seem to be having a field day, is what I'm hearing from the teenager class:
  15. Trump's economy is cheeks, dude.
  16. I agree with you 100%. In general we are seeing (in my view) the natural end result of when human civilization and societies come together for a tenuously held and sued-by-the-threat-of-force peace golden era. History is littered with the ebbs and flows of such periods and it's generally great for mankind when we can prolong it, due to all the advancements and qualities we can focus on versus when societal growth grinds to a halt for the tactical-- armament, re-armament, having babies to repopulate the young men slaughtered in wars, replacing slain kings/leaders, fighting against internal infighting that undermines military and political strength, etc. We seem to be plummeting towards the end of a great era. I'm so on the ledge you can call me Heath Ledger
  17. From Semafor (below) that confirms that when unofficial negotiations between Biden’s team and Iran collapsed, U.S. officials cited Iran’s refusal to cooperate on UN nuclear inspections. Specifically, Iran resisted addressing uranium traces found at undeclared sites and blocked International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors. This lack of transparency led Western nations to pass a censure resolution against Iran at the IAEA. https://www.semafor.com/article/06/05/2024/iran-west-tensions-nuclear-transparency-uranium-inspections
  18. He's right in that this election was lost because it was mismanaged by Biden's handlers who refused to acknowledge a decline in accuity and while I wouldn't go so far as "shouted down" people trying to bring it up (though there was a ton of you "YOU JUST DON'T FORFEIT INCUMBANCY ADVANTAGE HIGH GROUND!!"), that is ultimately what sunk the election. No real primary of candidates to determine who the people would vote for, a last minute feel to the switching horses midstream, etc.
  19. So then you guys see the dilemma. Talks, sanctions, plans (e.g. The Obama and to a lesser extent the Biden way) doesn't work because Iran is disingenous. Threats and Sabre-Rattling (e.g. The Trump way) doesn't work, it incentives and speeds up development (which is already sped up over years past due to advancements) Nothing works, so we will fight over them or with them. Is there a seperate ledge for nuclear war / WWIII or is it shared with the Fall of the American Republic ledge?
  20. The fact that this is "news" and headline worthy is just a win for Morgan Wallen's fame and whatever, which is stupid. Maybe more stupid is the guy who went on AGT or X factor or whatever Mass produced, mainstream America TV Reality show in Hollywood, California, to whore himself out and get famous is now too legit 2 quit for NYC. NYC is the best city in the world, or one of. It's all brand curation and narrative, I guess. Pop Star: Country boi edition.
  21. I have never heard or seen any of these things and still haven't because I don't want to click on your link based on your description. I am just posting because I'm wondering how the word Jubilee got used in this context. I understood Jubilee differently, as a word and definition (a sort of reset or forgiving of debts that occurs every 25 years or something like that).
  22. I was in a cheap hotel room last week (think: Courtyard or Holiday Inn type hotel) and eating the runny eggs and greasy bacon with weak coffee when a little dog started running around the eating area. Someone had brought it down with them without a leash and lost control. Everyone was annoyed, but it's our fault for being poor I guess.
  23. Something to think about re: U of A $5k, UCSB $50k If you can swing it and you aren't mortgaging the house to do it there might be a hard-to-quanitfy value in the network and relationships kiddo can make at UCSB that U of A won't offer. Having the network effects of your "betters" and leveling up the caste of folks in terms of education, money, class, etc. can only help in a world where connections are going to be all the more important. I'm not saying being a nepo baby is worth aspiring for or getting a Mr./Mrs. degree, but I know for me, half of my success and opportunities I can draw a direct line from some of the "betters" I met at UT and my fraternity. Assuming UCSB has a bunch of big wigs from VC's and Tech firms and the Entertainment industry and BioTech/Pharma, etc. whose kids probably see UCSB as a safety school. That said, how do you put a dollar value to a hypothetical? Just throwing out another consideration besides "awesome beach and weather".
  24. I think the reasoning is that they are making a bomb regardless, so it's last ditch desperation. I read today that what took a year in Obama's day to enrich the uranimum and make a nuke, they can now do in days and since Trump's election they've gone from enriching 16 lbs of uranium per month to 75 lbs (and apparently for civilian use you only need a fraction of that, so clearly they are building). It's a moot point, they getting nukes if they don't already have them by summer. The questions become, so what? What then? Also, editing to add, it should be noted that Iran being belligerent is bipartisan. Under Biden they gave him a hard time and stonewalled Biden's admin in talks and stiff-armed UN inspectors after being more or less busted when investigators tried to get access to inspect sites Iran never declared and were off-radar using, that had Uranium traces and footprints. Iran gonna Iran.
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