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Vegas64

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Everything posted by Vegas64

  1. You got the right stuff baby, uh huh uh huh
  2. I get what you are saying in that this administration will not regulate federally so by default not allowing states to create their own regulation is allowing for no regulation. I think it's pragmatic to say we don't know and it's fair to be on either side of the issue is my only point.
  3. It helps with the factual part of it. I mentioned things like RAG for hallucinations, as well as SLMs, MCPs which, as limited as they are today, are just the beginning. I think it's foolish to think that we are not going to figure out how to get our colletive arms around providing a great user experience and reducing the hallucinations and bad factual answers.
  4. one good braeking bad meme deserves another.
  5. As I understand it, the output is just as good as the data. A story as old as time with data and analytics (e.g. garbage in, garbage out). I'm not technical enough to understand the roadmap, but from what I can see there is already exponential advancements everytime a new model is released to eventually get to a point where it's pretty rock solid. Things like reasoning, model switching, RAG, MCP, and the like for today-- who knows what tomorrow will bring.
  6. A couple of rejoinders, if I may: I completely agree with your first bullet point (yes, I took the liberty). The velocity of the transformation is what is unprecedented and painful (and beautiful). The analogy I've seen is "it’s like we’re all accountants and Microsoft Excel came to be full maturity overnight". I think in such a massive disruption, there will be room for "new players to enter the chat" and new companies that become leaders and displace older ones who don't adapt or transform. To your second point, of course. But the AI doomers that paint a dystopian view of life I think are off base. Not that they can't be correct but that they are so sure that they are correct. Third point: It's been argued, I think that the democratized wealth in a capitalistic democratic republic like ours was manufactured and artificially created coming out of WWII, and was the exception not the norm. I think we are entering a period that could be argued as even more democratic than before in that we are deomcratizing access to expertise across the board. Information disparity via exclusive circles, schooling, families with knowledge and lessons to pass on to their kids (e.g. the things we would identify as privilege and which largely acts as a prerequisite for things like income despairity) will be leveled. Most people around the world will have access for free or for cheap to good legal advice, good medical advice, personalized tutors, business advice, whatever. Knowledge that used to be extremely expensive and exclusive. Huge.
  7. Well said and fully agree. I think my quibble was with the complaining about it. It's not the teachers or school fault, largely. Gotta keep the Gen Z's with attention spans of goldfish interested, I guess! haha
  8. They do. I think the point is you sound out of touch by complaining about it and feeling entitled to not having to support or spend (above and beyond) what you already spend in taxes to fill the gap until it's filled by policy (if at all). You are griping about things outside the schools and teachers control.
  9. Agreed. Agentic AI is going to be a huge deal across all verticals IMO. I heard on a podcast an amazing interview with one of these AI founders and thought it was actually quite empathetic (and honest) in that he essentially said, "the job displacement narrative is totally reasonable and you are a fool or worse yet a liar if you are peddling it as fantasy for everyone. If you are a call center in Manilla or a paralegal, there is a real conversation that needs to be had about job displacement and it's not naive, but it dismisses the second order of facts that there are huge upsides and positives as well". Add into that, not every red nickel saved is going straight to shareholders. Those firms will be out-innovated, out-competed and out-manuevered. A lot of that savings is going into strategic investements. Last thing and unrelated, but I thought it was interesting the detail around the court ruling from a couple days ago:
  10. You are complaining about having to give a gift card, call it $500 a year in sum, to a school that you are paying for already via property tax. Now try being a parent or grandparent of private school kids paying full tuition but still paying into a public school and not having a way to flex that down. My point isn't that private school families should not have to pay for public school. My point is, It is what it is and you shouldn't complain.
  11. It's kicking the can down the road, but the distance (in terms of months or years or decades) of how far the can flies is absolutely the metric by which you judge success and failure.
  12. I'm a retired history teacher who has too much time on his hands and super interested in technology from an angel investor perspective and from a sociological perspective (just bought Daniel Susskind's new book, A World Without Work). As someone who is not technical, I've found AI to be very liberating. It's not quite (and never will be) something that levels the playing field with someone like you who is very technical, but the number of semantic agents, vibe coding, and AI-enabling tools is very democratizing. There are very few real transformational periods to live through. PC revolution and mobile were obviously in our lifetime. AI is happening now and it's messy and painful but also beautiful and glorious.
  13. What do you mean a teenager never has a job? Do you think that AI is going to render teenager jobs and summer jobs useless? The reason I think relaxing regulation on AI in the storming, norming and forming phase of AI going from hype cycle to mature is because that is how technology, historically, gets to an optimal state of value. The invisible hand of capitalism will have influence as well. AI and tech supremacy can be argued as a zero sum game. And if we (over)regulate today, there is real risk of losing the AI race to countries who won't (e.g. China, India, EU, Israel, etc.). To deny regulation hampers competitiveness is to deny the very "just the facts ma'am" type reality and pragmatism you claim to be serving in your AI doom.
  14. ChatGPT is the bare minimum. For whatever role you have there are now fit-for-purpose AI tools to help up. There is a funny meme out there of the YC slides "Cursor for [enter your department/vertical]"
  15. I'm actually not sure where I stand on the regulation stuff yet. The bill as I understand it is banning a patchwork of regulations via state laws. And even then states could enforce their own AI regulation, they just would be locked out of some AI funding and otehr stuff, right?
  16. It's one voice. And if it becomes the reality then it goes against everything we've ever seen or known in the history of technology in the world. Statistically so improbable it's completely irrational to use that as a buttress for your belief and worldview IMO. The story of technology going back into forever (since literally dawn of man) is that OF COURSE technology displaces jobs, but the history of all of humanity is we find new things to do pretty effectively. Even Brisket. And especially Brisket's children and their children.
  17. Do you believe, to the detriment of demonstrable reality and facts and history, every provocative thing you hear? In just the recent past we have had customers claim they are going to get rid of people and use AI and completely walk that back. The obvious reality is that yes, of course there will be some human labor diminshed and savings involved with using AI. Story as old as time. But with new business and tech shifts, new business models and human working models will arise.
  18. You should really use a more fit-for-purpose AI tool than a general LLM like ChatGPT. Use MidJourney and narrow in on the prompting and you'd get something super fantastic is my guess.
  19. I get why people are AI doomers, but I think this is extremely short-sighted, myopic and even a bit silly. Technological paradigm shifts are scary when you are 58 years old like we are. But the world is not ending and things will shake out and new technology and business norms will eventually become...normal and boring. Like you using a macbook and lexus nexus and doing discovery via e-filing or whatever in your day to day life versus paper and pen. You sound a lot like the draftsman who bemoaned how 3 floors of hundreds of manual drafting drawers with a great degree and skill and healthy income were thrown out for one guy to do CAD. Or the thousands of bookkeepers and manual recorders organizations employed who with an upper middle class life were eliminated overnight with the advents of ERPs. Life will go on and new avenues will open. The only thing that makes this unique is the speed at which the transition is happening because AI seemingly popped overnight in 2022 and disruption is happening across the board at the same time.
  20. That was rock bottom. There is only up from there.
  21. Just read the article. What jumps out to me is this: A) "We know that social inequality and hierarchy was central to society" B) "However, we've found some ancient ruins that suggest an alternative egalitarian set up" This reads to me like if in the future archeologists said, "Listen we know America 4000 years ago was very stratified and oligarchical and increasingly fascist and there was great income and life inequality, but based on us digging up the spiritual camp and hippie commune in the desert outside of Bakersfield, maybe they were actually not this way!" We digress...
  22. This was my point. And there is a difference between mere existence and executing and being effective.
  23. This implies caste systems and haves and have nots, does it not?
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